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07.10.2026 22:30
Estadio Germano Kruger
Referee: Paulo Belence Alves Dos Prazeres Filho, Brazil
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
Vinicius Diniz · Assist: Aylon
Operario-PR
🟨
36'
Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
⚽
44'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
🟨
45+5'
Hildeberto Pereira
Operario-PR
🟨
45+2'
Darlan
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Aylon ↔ Moraes
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Neto Paraiba ↔ Miranda
Operario-PR
⚽
54'
Everton Morelli · Assist: Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
🔄
56'
Gabriel Feliciano ↔ Vinicius Mingotti
Operario-PR
🔄
62'
Matheus Trindade ↔ J. Zuluaga
Operario-PR
🔄
66'
Leandro Maciel ↔ Matheus Sales
Botafogo SP
🔄
66'
Rafael Gava ↔ Marco Antonio
Botafogo SP
🔄
70'
Darlan ↔ Hebert
Botafogo SP
🔄
70'
Hygor ↔ Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
🔄
71'
Caio Dantas ↔ Pedro Vilhena
Operario-PR
🔄
87'
Wesley Santos ↔ Ze Hugo
Botafogo SP
🟨
89'
Juan Zuluaga
Operario-PR
🟨
90'
Joseph
Operario-PR
🟥
90+1'
José Cuenú
Operario-PR
🟨
90+1'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP

Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 52%
Draw 21.9%
Botafogo SP Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.31
Botafogo SP1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
L D W D W
10 GF / 8 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
L W D L L
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
13
4.26
Shots on Goal
3.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 31 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 31 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Botafogo SP
13 Wins 9
9 Draws 8
9 Losses 14
43 Goals For 34
41 Goals Against 37
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
17 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 19
20 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 11
4.26 Shots On Goal 3.39
14 Total Shots 12.23
4.74 Corners 6.1
51.6% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Operario-PR's more proactive style and Botafogo SP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Botafogo SP. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Botafogo SP in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo SP having the stronger overall control. Botafogo SP arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Operario-PR Analysis

So far, Operario-PR have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 48 points from 31 matches. The record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 43:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Boschilia (12 goals), Vinícius Diniz (5 goals), Pablo (5 goals), with creative support from Boschilia (4 assists), Mikael Doka (4 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 35 points from 31 games and a place of 16, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats with a 34:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Morelli (7 goals), Hygor (4 goals), Vilar (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Kelvin (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 3 times, Botafogo SP won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Operario-PR's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-2-3-1 / Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 3, draws 5, Botafogo SP wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 20 10 7 66:32 34 70
W W W D W
2 37 19 11 7 49:26 23 68
W D W D D
3 37 19 9 9 53:38 15 66
W D L D W
4 37 18 8 11 38:31 7 62
L W L W W
5 37 16 14 7 44:33 11 62
L D D W D
6 37 17 7 13 57:51 6 58
W L W L D
7 37 17 7 13 39:41 -2 58
W W W D W
8 37 15 13 9 45:35 10 58
W D L D D
9 37 14 13 10 50:42 8 55
L D W L D
10 37 15 9 13 49:50 -1 54
W L W L L
11 37 14 10 13 52:42 10 52
L W W L D
12 37 14 9 14 45:39 6 51
W D W W W
13 37 11 14 12 34:32 2 47
L L L L L
14 37 11 14 12 44:44 0 47
L W L D D
15 37 12 10 15 40:49 -9 46
L W L D L
16 37 11 10 16 38:47 -9 43
L L L D L
17 37 11 7 19 35:47 -12 40
W L L D W
18 37 8 8 21 45:58 -13 32
L L L W D
19 37 8 5 24 27:55 -28 29
W W W W L
20 37 3 6 28 21:79 -58 15
L L D D L
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