CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
GSP Stadium
Referee: A. Kyriakos
Omonia Nicosia
Match Timeline
Aris
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
M. Tankovic
Omonia Nicosia
22'
R. Mmaee
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
32'
S. Yago ↔ Y. Bourhane
Aris
🔄
46'
N. Panagiotou ↔ S. Simic
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
46'
D. Gaustad ↔ A. Kakoullis
Aris
57'
R. Mmaee
Omonia Nicosia
🟨
64'
Charalampos Charalampous
Aris
🟨
70'
Stefan Simic
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
74'
R. Effaghe ↔ A. Kokorin
Aris
🔄
74'
C. Charalampous ↔ V. Nikolic
Aris
🟨
75'
Willy Semedo
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
77'
L. Balogun ↔ R. Ergas
Aris
🔄
86'
M. Tankovic ↔ S. Jovetic
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
88'
C. Eiting ↔ I. Kousoulos
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
88'
Ewandro ↔ A. Christou
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
90'
C. Kyriakidis ↔ Fabiano Freitas
Omonia Nicosia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Omonia Nicosia Win 69.1%
Draw 9.7%
Aris Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Omonia Nicosia1.73
Aris1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
WWDLW
96 GF / 31 GA
Aris Aris
WLDWL
63 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
15
BTTS Yes
18
22
Over 2.5
21
2.1
Shots on Goal
2.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 45 matches
Aris Aris 35 matches
Omonia Nicosia Statistic Aris
30 Wins 15
7 Draws 10
8 Losses 10
96 Goals For 63
31 Goals Against 40
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
15 BTTS Yes 18
35 Over 1.5 30
22 Over 2.5 21
15 Over 3.5 13
25 Clean Sheets 14
6 Failed To Score 5
2.1 Shots On Goal 2.06
5.31 Total Shots 5.53
2.05 Corners 1.97
21% Ball Possession 19%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Omonia Nicosia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 74 points compared to Aris in 6 on 48, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aris. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Omonia Nicosia expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Aris in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aris having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Omonia Nicosia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Omonia Nicosia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 74 points from 31 games, Omonia Nicosia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 23 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 74:21, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Mmaee (21 goals), W. Semedo (17 goals), Ewandro Costa (5 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Aris Analysis

Aris sit 6 with 48 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, while the 55:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Montnor (8 goals), R. Effaghe (8 goals), Andronikos Kakoullis (6 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Omonia Nicosia won 6 times, Aris won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:18 from Omonia Nicosia's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Omonia Nicosia 4-4-2 / Aris 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Omonia Nicosia wins 6, draws 6, Aris wins 3

Lineups

Omonia Nicosia
Formation
Aris
C. Kyriakidis
C. Kyriakidis
A. Dionkou
A. Dionkou
S. Coulibaly
S. Coulibaly
N. Panagiotou
N. Panagiotou
J. Balkovec
J. Balkovec
Ewandro
Ewandro
C. Eiting
C. Eiting
M. Maric
M. Maric
W. Semedo
W. Semedo
R. Mmaee
⚽ 2
R. Mmaee
M. Tankovic
M. Tankovic
Vana Alves
Vana Alves
M. Sane
M. Sane
L. Balogun
L. Balogun
S. Yago
S. Yago
Anderson Correia
Anderson Correia
G. Kastanos
G. Kastanos
C. Charalampous
C. Charalampous
D. Gaustad
D. Gaustad
Gustavo Paje
Gustavo Paje
J. Montnor
J. Montnor
R. Effaghe
R. Effaghe
Omonia Nicosia 4-4-2
Starting XI
98
C. Kyriakidis
↓ 90'
2
A. Dionkou
D
5
S. Coulibaly
D
30
N. Panagiotou
↓ 46'
D
29
J. Balkovec
D
11
Ewandro
↓ 88'
M
6
C. Eiting
↓ 88'
M
14
M. Maric
M
7
W. Semedo
🟨 75'
M
19
R. Mmaee
⚽ 22' ⚽ 57'
F
22
M. Tankovic
⚽ 11' ↓ 86'
M
Substitutes
40
Fabiano Freitas
↑ 90'
G
23
F. Uzoho
G
21
G. Masouras
D
28
M. Odubajo
D
27
S. Simic
↑ 46' 🟨 70'
D
31
I. Kousoulos
↑ 88'
M
44
N. Erakovic
M
8
S. Jovetic
↑ 86'
F
82
A. Christou
↑ 88'
10
A. Chatzigiovanis
M
18
M. Mayambela
M
85
A. Neofytou
F
Aris 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Vana Alves
G
19
M. Sane
D
27
L. Balogun
↓ 77'
D
20
S. Yago
↓ 32'
D
7
Anderson Correia
D
28
G. Kastanos
M
76
C. Charalampous
↓ 74' 🟨 64'
M
29
D. Gaustad
↓ 46'
M
30
Gustavo Paje
66
J. Montnor
M
99
R. Effaghe
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
25
W. Foderingham
G
90
E. Sofroniou
G
2
G. Kalulu
D
9
A. Kokorin
↑ 74'
F
14
Y. Gomis
F
18
Y. Bourhane
↑ 32'
M
22
V. Nikolic
↑ 74'
M
40
R. Ergas
↑ 77'
D
45
R. McCausland
M
75
M. Theodosiou
80
A. Kakoullis
↑ 46'
F
88
C. Fi Akamba
M
Last matches: Omonia Nicosia
22.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
5
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
3
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
06.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
3
2
W
18.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
14.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
2
D
15.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Olympiakos
5
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
2
0
W
02.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
26.02.26
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
22.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
14.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Enosis
3
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
4
2
W
01.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Krasava Ypsonas
1
0
W
25.01.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
5
3
W
18.01.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Anorthosis
2
0
W
Last matches: Aris
22.05.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
3
4
L
16.05.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
0
2
L
06.05.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
25.04.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
3
0
W
14.04.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
1
D
05.04.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
15.03.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
2
2
D
20.02.26
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Aris
Akritas
1
1
D
09.02.26
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
0
1
L
01.02.26
1.
Aris
AEL
1
2
L
25.01.26
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
3
5
L
17.01.26
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
10.01.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Aris
Olympiakos
0
0
D
H2H: Omonia Nicosia vs Aris
02.05.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
W
21.03.26
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
25.01.26
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
3
5
W
05.10.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
12.05.25
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
3
3
D
06.04.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
19.01.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
06.10.24
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
0
L
17.04.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
10.04.24
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
W
06.04.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
W
25.02.24
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
1
2
W
07.01.24
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
0
L
25.09.23
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
2
D
21.07.23
H2H
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
2
0
L
Last matches: Omonia Nicosia
22.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
5
2
W
10.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Olympiakos
5
0
W
02.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
14.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Enosis
3
0
W
01.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Krasava Ypsonas
1
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Anorthosis
2
0
W
22.12.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
4
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
01.12.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
Dynamo Kyiv
2
0
W
09.11.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
2
2
D
27.10.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
1
W
05.10.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
FSV Mainz 05
0
1
L
22.09.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
5
0
W
17.09.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
H2H at home: Omonia Nicosia
02.05.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
19.01.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
17.04.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
W
25.09.23
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
2
D
Last matches: Aris
16.05.26
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Aris
Pafos
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
0
2
L
05.04.26
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
1
2
L
08.03.26
1.
Aris
Enosis
4
0
W
20.02.26
1.
Aris
Krasava Ypsonas
1
1
D
14.02.26
1.
Aris
Akritas
1
1
D
01.02.26
1.
Aris
AEL
1
2
L
17.01.26
1.
Aris
Ethnikos Achna
3
0
W
04.01.26
1.
Aris
Olympiakos
0
0
D
14.12.25
1.
Aris
Apollon Limassol
2
0
W
07.12.25
1.
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
L
21.11.25
1.
Aris
Pafos
1
2
L
26.10.25
1.
Aris
Anorthosis
1
1
D
05.10.25
1.
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
22.09.25
1.
Aris
AEK Larnaca
2
3
L
30.08.25
1.
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
1
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
Aris
AEK Athens FC
1
3
L
31.07.25
UEF
Aris
Puskas Academy
2
0
W
H2H away: Aris
02.05.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
06.04.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
1
L
19.01.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
17.04.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
06.04.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
L
25.09.23
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
2
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 6 3 88:24 64 87
W W D W W
2 36 20 9 7 62:33 29 69
W D D W L
3 36 20 7 9 52:41 11 67
L W W L W
4 36 18 8 10 66:38 28 62
W D W L L
5 36 15 7 14 53:45 8 52
L L L L W
6
Aris Away
36 14 9 13 61:45 16 51
L L L W L
7 33 11 12 10 35:40 -5 45
L W W W D
8 33 13 5 15 41:46 -5 44
W L D L W
9 33 12 6 15 31:42 -11 42
W W L D D
10 33 11 7 15 36:44 -8 40
D L D D W
11 33 10 10 13 32:44 -12 40
W W W L L
12 33 10 5 18 31:58 -27 35
L L W W W
13 33 10 3 20 34:53 -19 33
L W L W L
14 33 1 2 30 11:80 -69 5
D L L L L