CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
GSP Stadium
Referee: K. Fellas
Omonia Nicosia
Match Timeline
AEK Larnaca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Stefan Simic
Omonia Nicosia
30'
H. Milicevic
AEK Larnaca
🟨
32'
Ewandro Costa
Omonia Nicosia
🟨
38'
Gus Ledes
AEK Larnaca
🟨
45+1'
Jorge Miramón
AEK Larnaca
🟥
58'
Đorđe Ivanović
AEK Larnaca
🟨
60'
Hrvoje Miličević
AEK Larnaca
🔄
62'
Ledes Gustavo ↔ Jimmy Suarez
AEK Larnaca
🔄
62'
Miramon ↔ R. Bajic
AEK Larnaca
🔄
64'
M. Maric ↔ S. Jovetic
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
64'
C. Eiting ↔ A. Christou
Omonia Nicosia
🟨
67'
Mathías González
AEK Larnaca
🔄
71'
R. Mudrazija ↔ G. Naoum
AEK Larnaca
76'
S. Coulibaly
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
79'
M. Odubajo ↔ M. Mayambela
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
79'
A. Dionkou ↔ J. Balkovec
Omonia Nicosia
🔄
88'
Mathias Gonzalez ↔ C. Thoma
AEK Larnaca
🔄
88'
A. Cardero ↔ C. Loukaidis
AEK Larnaca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Omonia Nicosia Win 75.4%
Draw 0%
AEK Larnaca Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Omonia Nicosia1.63
AEK Larnaca1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
WWDLW
101 GF / 31 GA
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
WLDWL
73 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
1.49
0.66
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
15
BTTS Yes
23
23
Over 2.5
20
2.18
Shots on Goal
1.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 47 matches
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 49 matches
Omonia Nicosia Statistic AEK Larnaca
32 Wins 25
7 Draws 12
8 Losses 12
101 Goals For 73
31 Goals Against 42
2.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
0.66 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
15 BTTS Yes 23
37 Over 1.5 34
23 Over 2.5 20
15 Over 3.5 9
27 Clean Sheets 19
6 Failed To Score 10
2.18 Shots On Goal 1.59
5.39 Total Shots 4.52
2.02 Corners 1.85
21.2% Ball Possession 21.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AEK Larnaca. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Omonia Nicosia expected to line up in 4-4-2 and AEK Larnaca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AEK Larnaca having the stronger overall control. Omonia Nicosia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Omonia Nicosia Analysis

Omonia Nicosia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 77 points after 32 matches. The return of 24 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 77:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Mmaee (23 goals), W. Semedo (17 goals), M. Tankovic (6 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

AEK Larnaca Analysis

AEK Larnaca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 61 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 54:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Hrvoje Miličević (10 goals), Riad Bajić (9 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Omonia Nicosia won 5 times, AEK Larnaca won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Omonia Nicosia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Omonia Nicosia 4-4-2 / AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Omonia Nicosia wins 5, draws 6, AEK Larnaca wins 4
Stats
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
11
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 4
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 2
11 Blocked Shots 0
17 Shots insidebox 1
7 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
431 Total passes 297
354 Passes accurate 238
2.60 expected_goals 0.84
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Omonia Nicosia
Formation
AEK Larnaca
C. Kyriakidis
C. Kyriakidis
M. Odubajo
M. Odubajo
S. Coulibaly
S. Coulibaly
S. Simic
S. Simic
A. Dionkou
A. Dionkou
C. Eiting
C. Eiting
M. Maric
M. Maric
Ewandro
Ewandro
M. Tankovic
M. Tankovic
W. Semedo
W. Semedo
R. Mmaee
R. Mmaee
A. Paraskevas
A. Paraskevas
Miramon
Miramon
C. Kyriakou
C. Kyriakou
H. Milicevic
H. Milicevic
P. Ioannou
P. Ioannou
Ledes Gustavo
Ledes Gustavo
P. Pons
P. Pons
A. Cardero
A. Cardero
Mathias Gonzalez
Mathias Gonzalez
D. Ivanovic
D. Ivanovic
R. Mudrazija
R. Mudrazija
Omonia Nicosia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
98
C. Kyriakidis
28
M. Odubajo
↓ 79'
D
5
S. Coulibaly
⚽ 76'
D
27
S. Simic
🟨 27'
D
2
A. Dionkou
↓ 79'
D
6
C. Eiting
↓ 64'
M
14
M. Maric
↓ 64'
M
11
Ewandro
🟨 32'
M
22
M. Tankovic
M
7
W. Semedo
M
19
R. Mmaee
F
Substitutes
23
F. Uzoho
G
40
Fabiano Freitas
G
8
S. Jovetic
↑ 64'
M
10
A. Chatzigiovanis
M
18
M. Mayambela
↑ 79'
D
20
E. Andreou
M
21
G. Masouras
D
29
J. Balkovec
↑ 79'
D
31
I. Kousoulos
M
44
N. Erakovic
M
82
A. Christou
↑ 64'
85
A. Neofytou
F
AEK Larnaca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
51
A. Paraskevas
G
21
Miramon
↓ 62' 🟨 45+1'
D
25
C. Kyriakou
D
15
H. Milicevic
⚽ 30' 🟨 60'
D
2
P. Ioannou
D
7
Ledes Gustavo
↓ 62' 🟨 38'
M
17
P. Pons
M
86
A. Cardero
↓ 88'
M
41
Mathias Gonzalez
↓ 88'
9
D. Ivanovic
🟥 58'
M
32
R. Mudrazija
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
1
Z. Alomerovic
G
12
K. Komar
G
6
Jimmy Suarez
↑ 62'
M
11
R. Bajic
↑ 62'
F
14
A. Garcia
D
29
G. Naoum
↑ 71'
M
35
C. Thoma
↑ 88'
M
36
C. Loukaidis
↑ 88'
M
37
D. Gerasimou
F
39
M. Petousis
Last matches: Omonia Nicosia
22.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
5
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
3
0
W
06.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
3
2
W
18.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
14.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
2
2
D
15.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Olympiakos
5
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
2
0
W
02.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
26.02.26
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
1
3
L
22.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
14.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Enosis
3
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
4
2
W
01.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Krasava Ypsonas
1
0
W
25.01.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
5
3
W
18.01.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Anorthosis
2
0
W
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
22.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
W
16.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
2
D
06.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
0
W
03.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
25.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
2
0
W
18.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
1
1
D
14.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
05.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
16.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
06.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
3
0
W
01.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
1
1
D
22.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
14.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
0
1
L
08.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
31.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Enosis
5
0
W
25.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
1
W
18.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Krasava Ypsonas
2
1
W
H2H: Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca
10.05.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
14.04.26
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
W
14.01.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
15.12.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
17.09.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
07.05.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
2
1
L
30.04.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
22.04.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
03.01.25
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
W
16.09.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
21.04.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
2
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
31.01.24
H2H
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
2
1
L
29.10.23
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
Last matches: Omonia Nicosia
22.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
5
2
W
02.05.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
3
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Olympiakos
5
0
W
02.03.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
14.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Enosis
3
0
W
01.02.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Krasava Ypsonas
1
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Anorthosis
2
0
W
22.12.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
4
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
01.12.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
Dynamo Kyiv
2
0
W
09.11.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
2
2
D
27.10.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
2
1
W
05.10.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
Omonia Nicosia
FSV Mainz 05
0
1
L
22.09.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
5
0
W
17.09.25
1.
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
H2H at home: Omonia Nicosia
10.05.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
14.01.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2
1
W
17.09.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
30.04.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
16.03.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
16.09.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
29.10.23
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
Last matches: AEK Larnaca
22.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
4
3
W
03.05.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
18.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
1
1
D
05.04.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
16.03.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
22.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
1
2
L
08.02.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
25.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
2
1
W
10.01.26
1.
AEK Larnaca
Aris
0
1
L
22.12.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
AEL
1
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
BK Hacken
1
1
D
01.12.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
1
1
D
27.11.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka
0
0
D
22.11.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
4
1
W
02.11.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
2
1
W
23.10.25
UEF
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
1
0
W
18.10.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Enosis
2
0
W
27.09.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Krasava Ypsonas
4
0
W
17.09.25
1.
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
0
1
L
H2H away: AEK Larnaca
10.05.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
14.01.26
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
2
1
L
17.09.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
L
30.04.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
16.03.25
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
16.09.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
1
W
29.10.23
H2H
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 6 3 88:24 64 87
W W D W W
2 36 20 9 7 62:33 29 69
W D D W L
3 36 20 7 9 52:41 11 67
L W W L W
4 36 18 8 10 66:38 28 62
W D W L L
5 36 15 7 14 53:45 8 52
L L L L W
6 36 14 9 13 61:45 16 51
L L L W L
7 33 11 12 10 35:40 -5 45
L W W W D
8 33 13 5 15 41:46 -5 44
W L D L W
9 33 12 6 15 31:42 -11 42
W W L D D
10 33 11 7 15 36:44 -8 40
D L D D W
11 33 10 10 13 32:44 -12 40
W W W L L
12 33 10 5 18 31:58 -27 35
L L W W W
13 33 10 3 20 34:53 -19 33
L W L W L
14 33 1 2 30 11:80 -69 5
D L L L L