Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Omonia Nicosia
47 matches
AEK Larnaca
49 matches
| Omonia Nicosia | Statistic | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Wins | 25 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 101 | Goals For | 73 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 2.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.49 |
| 0.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.86 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 27 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 2.18 | Shots On Goal | 1.59 |
| 5.39 | Total Shots | 4.52 |
| 2.02 | Corners | 1.85 |
| 21.2% | Ball Possession | 21.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AEK Larnaca. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Omonia Nicosia expected to line up in 4-4-2 and AEK Larnaca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AEK Larnaca having the stronger overall control. Omonia Nicosia come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Omonia Nicosia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 77 points after 32 matches. The return of 24 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 77:21, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Mmaee (23 goals), W. Semedo (17 goals), M. Tankovic (6 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
AEK Larnaca come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 61 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 18 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 54:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Hrvoje Miličević (10 goals), Riad Bajić (9 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Omonia Nicosia won 5 times, AEK Larnaca won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Omonia Nicosia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Omonia Nicosia
Home
|
26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | 46 | 61 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
| 2 |
AEK Larnaca
Away
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | 18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | 22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|