CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
01.05.2026 16:00
GSP Stadium
Referee: K. Koppel
Olympiakos
Match Timeline
Omonia Aradippou
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Vieirinha
Olympiakos
🔄
46'
Mauricio ↔ A. Loucoubar
Olympiakos
🔄
46'
S. Lomonaco ↔ J. Assehnoun
Omonia Aradippou
53'
I. Pikis
Olympiakos
🟨
56'
Vieirinha
Olympiakos
🟨
56'
Jaly Mouaddib
Omonia Aradippou
🟨
62'
Jeremy Van Mullem
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
64'
N. Havelka ↔ Jorginho
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
64'
G. Pontikos ↔ P. Zachariou
Omonia Aradippou
65'
J. Assehnoun
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
66'
Joao Mario ↔ R. Moreira
Olympiakos
🔄
75'
V. Kovalenko ↔ M. Charalampous
Olympiakos
🟨
81'
Iasonas Pikis
Olympiakos
🔄
82'
R. Edwards ↔ C. Kallis
Omonia Aradippou
🔄
84'
I. Pikis ↔ A. Bajrovic
Olympiakos
🔄
84'
V. Bradonjic ↔ G. Tocka
Olympiakos
🔄
89'
J. van Mullem ↔ K. Evripidou
Omonia Aradippou
🟨
90+3'
Henrique Gomes
Olympiakos
🟨
90+3'
Rasmus Thelander
Omonia Aradippou

Olympiakos vs Omonia Aradippou Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Olympiakos Win 27.5%
Draw 7.1%
Omonia Aradippou Win 65.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olympiakos1.03
Omonia Aradippou1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olympiakos Olympiakos
WWDLW
26 GF / 42 GA
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
WLDWL
26 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
14
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
10
0.52
Shots on Goal
1.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olympiakos Olympiakos 30 matches
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 30 matches
Olympiakos Statistic Omonia Aradippou
7 Wins 10
10 Draws 6
13 Losses 14
26 Goals For 26
42 Goals Against 38
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
14 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 13
0.52 Shots On Goal 1.52
2.37 Total Shots 3.67
0.7 Corners 0.96
14.1% Ball Possession 12.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Omonia Aradippou. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olympiakos expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Omonia Aradippou in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Omonia Aradippou having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Olympiakos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Olympiakos Analysis

Olympiakos sit 12 with 31 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 26:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Joao Mario (6 goals), I. Pikis (4 goals), J. Tavares (3 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Omonia Aradippou Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Omonia Aradippou have collected 36 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, while the 26:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Giorgos Pontikos (6 goals), Jaly Mouaddib (4 goals), S. Georgiou (4 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Olympiakos won 5 times, Omonia Aradippou won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:10 from Olympiakos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Olympiakos 3-4-2-1 / Omonia Aradippou 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Olympiakos wins 5, draws 2, Omonia Aradippou wins 2

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4 26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)