GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
13.05.2026 16:30
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Referee: R. Obrenovic
Olympiakos Piraeus
Match Timeline
Panathinaikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
36'
S. Hezze ↔ L. Scipioni
Olympiakos Piraeus
VAR
42'
Onyemaechi Bruno
Olympiakos Piraeus
45'
Rodinei
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
46'
S. Andino ↔ A. Zaroury
Panathinaikos
🟨
50'
Costinha
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
62'
V. Taborda ↔ F. Djuricic
Panathinaikos
🔄
62'
S. Kontouris ↔ M. Siopis
Panathinaikos
🔄
73'
M. Taremi ↔ A. El Kaabi
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
73'
G. Martins ↔ Andre Luiz
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
78'
A. Gnezda Cerin ↔ P. Chirivella
Panathinaikos
🔄
83'
K. Swiderski ↔ A. Jagusic
Panathinaikos
🟨
87'
Lorenzo Scipioni
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
90+1'
Pedro Chirivella
Panathinaikos

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
47.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
79.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Olympiakos Piraeus Win 43.1%
Draw 17.4%
Panathinaikos Win 39.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olympiakos Piraeus1.3
Panathinaikos1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
WWDLW
59 GF / 32 GA
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
WLDWL
63 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.31
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
14
BTTS Yes
25
14
Over 2.5
22
5.15
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 40 matches
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 48 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus Statistic Panathinaikos
21 Wins 19
11 Draws 18
8 Losses 11
59 Goals For 63
32 Goals Against 50
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
14 BTTS Yes 25
29 Over 1.5 35
14 Over 2.5 22
6 Over 3.5 11
22 Clean Sheets 17
10 Failed To Score 14
5.15 Shots On Goal 4.31
16.88 Total Shots 12.27
6.4 Corners 4.52
56.6% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Panathinaikos. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olympiakos Piraeus expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Panathinaikos in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panathinaikos having the stronger overall control.

Olympiakos Piraeus Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 62 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 49:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. El Kaabi (18 goals), M. Taremi (10 goals), Chiquinho (4 goals), with creative support from Chiquinho (6 assists), D. Podence (5 assists), Rodinei (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Panathinaikos Analysis

Panathinaikos arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 51 points after 30 matches. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 45:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alexander Jeremejeff (8 goals), Anastasios Bakasetas (5 goals), K. Swiderski (5 goals), with creative support from D. Calabria (4 assists), Anastasios Bakasetas (3 assists), Tete (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olympiakos Piraeus won 5 times, Panathinaikos won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Olympiakos Piraeus's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
Predicted formations: Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1 / Panathinaikos 5-4-1
H2H summary: Olympiakos Piraeus wins 5, draws 7, Panathinaikos wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round