PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Referee: A. Gimenez
Olimpia
Match Timeline
Deportivo Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
E. Delmas · Assist: R. Lezcano
Olimpia
🔄
46'
C. Figueredo ↔ B. Medina
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
46'
M. Schupp ↔ B. Ferreira
Deportivo Recoleta
51'
G. Guggiari · Assist: K. Parzajuk
Deportivo Recoleta
VAR
59'
Hugo Quintana
Olimpia
🟨
59'
Marcos Pereira
Deportivo Recoleta
60'
A. Alcaraz
Olimpia
🔄
61'
R. Lezcano ↔ L. Abreu
Olimpia
🔄
62'
A. Alcaraz ↔ S. Ferreira
Olimpia
🔄
65'
P. Rios ↔ L. Mendoza
Deportivo Recoleta
🟨
66'
Luis Abreu
Olimpia
67'
A. Wlk · Assist: B. Ferreira
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
72'
A. Wlk ↔ A. Gonzalez
Deportivo Recoleta
🔄
82'
R. Benitez ↔ H. Sandoval
Olimpia
🔄
82'
E. Delmas ↔ A. F. Franco Zayas
Olimpia
🔄
82'
H. Quintana ↔ F. Alfonso
Olimpia
🔄
85'
G. Guggiari ↔ R. Ortiz
Deportivo Recoleta
90'
H. Sandoval · Assist: F. Alfonso
Olimpia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 99%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
99%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Olimpia Win 99%
Draw 0%
Deportivo Recoleta Win 1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olimpia1.46
Deportivo Recoleta1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olimpia Olimpia
WWDLW
30 GF / 16 GA
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
WLDWL
31 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.55
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
10
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
12
5.05
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olimpia Olimpia 20 matches
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 20 matches
Olimpia Statistic Deportivo Recoleta
12 Wins 7
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 9
30 Goals For 31
16 Goals Against 28
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
10 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
5.05 Shots On Goal 3.65
14.95 Total Shots 10.5
4.53 Corners 3.75
53.9% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Recoleta. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olimpia expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Deportivo Recoleta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Recoleta having the stronger overall control. Olimpia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 43 points compared to Deportivo Recoleta in 8 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 43 points after 20 matches. The record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 32:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Alcaraz (6 goals), G. Vargas (3 goals), S. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from H. Quintana (2 assists), R. Sanchez (2 assists), A. F. Rodriguez Armoa (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Recoleta Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Deportivo Recoleta have collected 25 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 29:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Wlk (11 goals), A. Gonzalez (6 goals), W. Baez (4 goals), with creative support from W. Baez (7 assists), K. Parzajuk (3 assists), J. Noguera (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia won 3 times, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Olimpia's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Olimpia 4-1-4-1 / Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
H2H summary: Olimpia wins 3, draws 2, Deportivo Recoleta wins 1
Stats
Olimpia Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
6
3 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
442 Total passes 318
370 Passes accurate 243
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Olimpia
Formation
Deportivo Recoleta
S. Lentinelly
S. Lentinelly
R. Caceres
R. Caceres
J. Vera
J. Vera
B. Bentaberry
B. Bentaberry
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
J. F. Alfaro
J. F. Alfaro
R. Lezcano
🎯
R. Lezcano
E. Delmas
E. Delmas
H. Quintana
H. Quintana
R. Benitez
R. Benitez
A. Alcaraz
A. Alcaraz
A. Marsengo
A. Marsengo
C. Figueredo
C. Figueredo
M. Pereira
M. Pereira
L. Monzon
L. Monzon
P. Rios
P. Rios
G. Guggiari
G. Guggiari
F. Galeano
F. Galeano
J. Espinola
J. Espinola
M. Schupp
M. Schupp
K. Parzajuk
🎯
K. Parzajuk
A. Wlk
A. Wlk
Olimpia 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
25
S. Lentinelly
G
27
R. Caceres
D
22
J. Vera
D
2
B. Bentaberry
D
30
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
D
5
J. F. Alfaro
M
19
R. Lezcano
🎯 38' ↓ 61'
M
20
E. Delmas
⚽ 38' ↓ 82'
M
28
H. Quintana
↓ 82'
M
37
R. Benitez
↓ 82'
M
17
A. Alcaraz
⚽ 60' ↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
1
G. Olveira
G
3
A. Silva
M
11
S. Ferreira
↑ 62'
F
9
H. Sandoval
⚽ 90' ↑ 82'
F
8
A. F. Franco Zayas
↑ 82'
M
14
G. Vargas
D
21
C. Olmedo
D
35
F. Alfonso
🎯 90' ↑ 82'
F
33
L. Ramirez
D
7
F. Cardozo
F
23
R. Perez
M
39
L. Abreu
↑ 61' 🟨 66'
M
Deportivo Recoleta 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
A. Marsengo
G
14
C. Figueredo
↓ 46'
D
4
M. Pereira
🟨 59'
D
32
L. Monzon
D
18
P. Rios
↓ 65'
D
39
G. Guggiari
⚽ 51' ↓ 85'
M
8
F. Galeano
M
6
J. Espinola
M
31
M. Schupp
↓ 46'
M
11
K. Parzajuk
🎯 51'
F
29
A. Wlk
⚽ 67' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
13
O. Toledo
G
20
M. Canete
M
27
J. C. Dominguez Castillo
33
A. Gonzalez
↑ 72'
M
23
J. Nunez
M
21
C. Garay
M
5
N. Marotta
D
28
L. Mendoza
↑ 65'
D
9
R. Ortiz
↑ 85'
F
15
B. Medina
↑ 46'
D
36
B. Ferreira
🎯 67' ↑ 46'
37
J. Falcon
F
Last matches: Olimpia
23.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
10.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
03.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
25.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
12.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
2
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
28.03.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
4
1
W
21.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
0
W
17.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
21.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
0
0
D
08.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
01.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
W
28.01.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
25.01.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
1
W
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
23.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
2
1
W
11.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
2
3
L
03.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
24.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
18.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
04.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
26.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
14.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
L
09.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
26.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
2
2
D
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
13.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
02.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
H2H: Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta
15.05.26
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
14.03.26
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
0
1
W
10.10.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
1
0
L
30.07.25
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
01.06.25
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
0
0
D
29.03.25
H2H
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia
1
1
D
Last matches: Olimpia
03.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
04.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
28.03.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
4
1
W
17.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
25.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
0
0
D
01.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
W
25.01.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
1
W
H2H at home: Olimpia
15.05.26
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
30.07.25
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
01.06.25
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Recoleta
11.05.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Ameliano
2
3
L
24.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
1
2
L
30.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
23.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense
2
3
L
18.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Guarani
1
3
L
01.03.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
20.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
06.02.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
0
W
29.01.26
Div
Deportivo Recoleta
Rubio NU
1
1
D
H2H away: Deportivo Recoleta
15.05.26
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
L
30.07.25
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
L
01.06.25
H2H
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
0
0
D

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)