PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Referee: J. Benitez

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds 2.20
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
2.20
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.2%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
2.05
Probability Distribution
Olimpia Win 63.3%
Draw 4.8%
Cerro Porteno Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Olimpia1.27
Cerro Porteno1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Olimpia Olimpia
WWDLW
27 GF / 11 GA
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
WLDWL
26 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.65
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
5
5.5
Shots on Goal
4.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Olimpia Olimpia 17 matches
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 18 matches
Olimpia Statistic Cerro Porteno
12 Wins 11
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
27 Goals For 26
11 Goals Against 14
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 9
1 Failed To Score 6
5.5 Shots On Goal 4.94
15.81 Total Shots 13.94
4.63 Corners 5.17
57% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Olimpia expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cerro Porteno in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro Porteno having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cerro Porteno.

Olimpia Analysis

Olimpia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 39 points after 16 matches. The return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at -:-, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Alcaraz (6 goals), S. Ferreira (3 goals), G. Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from H. Quintana (2 assists), R. Sanchez (2 assists), A. F. Rodriguez Armoa (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a balanced approach.

Cerro Porteno Analysis

Cerro Porteno come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 33 points after 16 matches. With 10 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of -:-, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Cecilio Domínguez (5 goals), I. Aliseda (4 goals), J. Iturbe (3 goals), with creative support from Cecilio Domínguez (2 assists), I. Aliseda (2 assists), J. Morel (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Olimpia won 6 times, Cerro Porteno won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Olimpia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Olimpia 4-3-3 / Cerro Porteno 4-4-2
H2H summary: Olimpia wins 6, draws 8, Cerro Porteno wins 1
Stats
Olimpia Olimpia
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
3 Corner Kicks 1
3 Fouls 3
1 Offsides 1
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Goal 1
0 Shots off Goal 0
3 Blocked Shots 0
1 Shots insidebox 1
2 Shots outsidebox 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 0
96 Total passes 82
63 Passes accurate 59
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Olimpia
Formation
Cerro Porteno
Gaston Olveira
Gaston Olveira
Raul Caceres
Raul Caceres
Gustavo Vargas
Gustavo Vargas
Bryan Bentaberry
Bryan Bentaberry
Mateo Gamarra
Mateo Gamarra
Richard Sánchez
Richard Sánchez
Richard Ortiz
Richard Ortiz
Juan Fernando Alfaro
Juan Fernando Alfaro
Eduardo Delmas
Eduardo Delmas
Adrián Alcaraz
Adrián Alcaraz
Ivan Leguizamon
Ivan Leguizamon
Alexis Martín Arias
Alexis Martín Arias
Gustavo Velázquez
Gustavo Velázquez
Matías Pérez
Matías Pérez
Abel Luciatti
Abel Luciatti
Marcelo Chaparro
Marcelo Chaparro
Cecilio Dominguez
Cecilio Dominguez
Fabrizio Peralta
Fabrizio Peralta
Jorge Morel
Jorge Morel
Carlos Franco
Carlos Franco
Jonathan Torres
Jonathan Torres
Pablo Vegetti
Pablo Vegetti
Olimpia 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Gaston Olveira
G
27
Raul Caceres
D
14
Gustavo Vargas
D
2
Bryan Bentaberry
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
26
Richard Sánchez
M
6
Richard Ortiz
M
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
20
Eduardo Delmas
F
17
Adrián Alcaraz
F
29
Ivan Leguizamon
F
Substitutes
25
Sebastián Lentinelly
G
22
Juan Vera
D
4
Lucas Morales
M
30
Alan Rodríguez
D
37
Romeo Benítez
M
28
Hugo Quintana
M
3
Alejandro Silva
M
19
Rubén Lezcano
M
7
Fernando Cardozo
F
8
Alex Franco
M
9
Hugo Sandoval
F
11
Sebastián Ferreira
F
Cerro Porteno 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Alexis Martín Arias
G
23
Gustavo Velázquez
D
22
Matías Pérez
D
6
Abel Luciatti
D
35
Marcelo Chaparro
D
10
Cecilio Dominguez
M
16
Fabrizio Peralta
M
5
Jorge Morel
M
28
Carlos Franco
M
27
Jonathan Torres
F
19
Pablo Vegetti
F
Substitutes
25
Roberto Fernández
G
33
Rodrigo Gómez
D
18
Rodrigo Melgarejo
D
13
Guillermo Benitez
D
14
Lucas Quintana
D
40
Mateo Klimowicz
M
8
Cristhian Paredes
M
20
Wílder Viera
M
32
Cesar Bobadilla
M
9
Luis Amarilla
F
11
Juan Iturbe
F
24
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
F
Last matches: Olimpia
17.07.26
Fri
Olimpia
Flamengo
2
4
L
23.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
10.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
03.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
25.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
12.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
2
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
28.03.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
4
1
W
21.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
0
W
17.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
21.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
0
0
D
08.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
01.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
W
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
24.07.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
2
0
W
24.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
2
0
W
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
11.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
14.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
04.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
28.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
14.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
H2H: Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno
19.04.26
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
3
0
W
21.02.26
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
0
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
1
D
03.08.25
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
03.05.25
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
2
W
23.02.25
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
27.10.24
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
3
0
W
18.08.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
1
D
17.02.24
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
13.08.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
2
2
D
04.03.23
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D
16.10.22
H2H
Cerro Porteno
Olimpia
1
2
W
Last matches: Olimpia
15.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
03.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
04.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
28.03.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
4
1
W
17.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
25.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
0
0
D
01.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
W
25.01.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
1
W
H2H at home: Olimpia
19.04.26
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
3
0
W
03.08.25
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
23.02.25
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
27.10.24
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
3
0
W
17.02.24
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
04.03.23
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D
Last matches: Cerro Porteno
21.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
1
0
W
15.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
3
L
08.05.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Junior
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
11.04.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Cerro Porteno
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
31.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
21.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
18.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Rubio NU
0
2
L
07.03.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Guarani
2
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
2 de Mayo
0
0
D
27.01.26
Div
Cerro Porteno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
W
H2H away: Cerro Porteno
19.04.26
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
3
0
L
03.08.25
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
3
W
23.02.25
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
1
L
27.10.24
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
3
0
L
17.02.24
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
29.10.23
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
04.03.23
H2H
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
2
2
D
Showing odds from: Bet365
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.20
Draw 3.10
Away 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.00
Draw 2.10
Away 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.62
Draw 2.38
Away 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Under 1.5 3.25
Over 2.5 2.05
Under 2.5 1.75
Over 3.5 3.50
Under 3.5 1.28
Over 0.5 1.07
Under 0.5 9.00
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 4.5 1.08
Over 5.5 17.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 34.00
Under 6.5 1.00

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)