UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
KSK Nika
Referee: D. Kubryak
Oleksandria
Match Timeline
Kryvbas KR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
D. Chernysh ↔ D. Myshnyov
Oleksandria
🔄
46'
M. Oharkov ↔ D. Vlasyuk
Oleksandria
🔄
46'
B. Castillo ↔ T. Cara
Oleksandria
🔄
46'
B. Lin ↔ J. Maya
Kryvbas KR
🟨
57'
Danyil Vlasiuk
Oleksandria
🟨
58'
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Kryvbas KR
🔄
63'
H. Touati ↔ M. Rodrigues
Oleksandria
🔄
68'
G. Herbert ↔ T. Butenko
Kryvbas KR
🔄
68'
O. Kamensky ↔ M. Bodnar
Kryvbas KR
70'
J. Maya · Assist: T. Butenko
Kryvbas KR
🟨
74'
Jocelin Behiratche
Oleksandria
🔄
75'
J. Behiratche ↔ M. Ferreira
Oleksandria
81'
M. Rodrigues · Assist: D. Vlasyuk
Oleksandria
🔄
85'
C. Paraco ↔ V. Mulyk
Kryvbas KR

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oleksandria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Kryvbas KR Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oleksandria1.08
Kryvbas KR1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oleksandria Oleksandria
WWDLW
23 GF / 60 GA
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR
WLDWL
52 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
1.79
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
13
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
20
1.39
Shots on Goal
3.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oleksandria Oleksandria 30 matches
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 29 matches
Oleksandria Statistic Kryvbas KR
3 Wins 13
7 Draws 8
20 Losses 8
23 Goals For 52
60 Goals Against 45
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
13 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 12
1 Clean Sheets 7
16 Failed To Score 8
1.39 Shots On Goal 3.19
3.89 Total Shots 7.69
1.89 Corners 3.27
23.2% Ball Possession 31.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kryvbas KR's more proactive style and Oleksandria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Oleksandria have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Kryvbas KR carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 47 points while Oleksandria sit 15 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oleksandria expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kryvbas KR in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kryvbas KR having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kryvbas KR. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Oleksandria Analysis

Oleksandria sit 15 with 16 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 23:57 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Tedi Cara (6 goals), Bryan Castillo (3 goals), Hussayn Touati (3 goals), with creative support from S. Buletsa (4 assists), Tedi Cara (3 assists), Bryan Castillo (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kryvbas KR Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Kryvbas KR have collected 47 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 52:45 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Mendoza (11 goals), C. Paraco (8 goals), Yehor Tverdokhlib (8 goals), with creative support from G. Mendoza (9 assists), Yehor Tverdokhlib (7 assists), Jan Jurčec (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Oleksandria won 6 times, Kryvbas KR won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Oleksandria's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
Predicted formations: Oleksandria 4-1-4-1 / Kryvbas KR 4-3-3
H2H summary: Oleksandria wins 6, draws 4, Kryvbas KR wins 3

Lineups

Oleksandria
Formation
Kryvbas KR
N. Makarenko
N. Makarenko
A. Shulyanskyi
A. Shulyanskyi
J. Behiratche
J. Behiratche
A. Bol
A. Bol
M. Oharkov
M. Oharkov
D. Vashchenko
D. Vashchenko
H. Touati
H. Touati
D. Chernysh
D. Chernysh
S. Buletsa
S. Buletsa
P. Yade
P. Yade
B. Castillo
B. Castillo
V. Makhankov
V. Makhankov
J. Jurcec
J. Jurcec
V. Vilivald
V. Vilivald
C. Rojas
C. Rojas
Thiago Borges
Thiago Borges
G. Herbert
G. Herbert
A. Araujo
A. Araujo
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
B. Lin
B. Lin
C. Paraco
C. Paraco
O. Kamensky
O. Kamensky
Oleksandria 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
72
N. Makarenko
G
11
A. Shulyanskyi
M
50
J. Behiratche
↓ 75' 🟨 74'
D
86
A. Bol
D
23
M. Oharkov
↓ 46'
D
20
D. Vashchenko
M
24
H. Touati
↓ 63'
M
40
D. Chernysh
↓ 46'
M
10
S. Buletsa
M
37
P. Yade
M
99
B. Castillo
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
V. Dolgyi
G
26
M. Ferreira
↑ 75'
17
A. Andreichyk
D
77
D. Kremchanin
F
9
D. Myshnyov
↑ 46'
M
67
M. Rodrigues
⚽ 81' ↑ 63'
M
90
D. Vlasyuk
🎯 81' ↑ 46' 🟨 57'
D
27
T. Cara
↑ 46'
M
44
Jhonnatan
M
Kryvbas KR 4-3-3
Starting XI
30
V. Makhankov
G
2
J. Jurcec
D
4
V. Vilivald
D
3
C. Rojas
D
16
Thiago Borges
D
10
G. Herbert
↓ 68'
F
6
A. Araujo
M
8
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
M
18
B. Lin
↓ 46'
M
9
C. Paraco
↓ 85'
F
21
O. Kamensky
↓ 68' 🟨 58'
M
Substitutes
1
B. Khoma
G
23
D. Sychev
G
15
J. Jones
D
19
Y. Mayakov
D
25
T. Butenko
🎯 70' ↑ 68'
F
28
J. Maya
⚽ 70' ↑ 46'
M
20
M. Bodnar
↑ 68'
F
24
V. Mulyk
↑ 85'
F
Last matches: Oleksandria
09.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
0
1
L
05.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Ruh Lviv
3
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Polessya
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
3
L
27.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Veres Rivne
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Karpaty
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
3
3
D
19.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
0
5
L
14.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Rustavi
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Hobro
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Neftchi
1
2
L
29.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
FC Fredericia
0
0
D
26.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Llapi
3
1
W
Last matches: Kryvbas KR
17.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
3
L
12.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Veres Rivne
3
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
SK Poltava
3
3
D
26.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Dynamo Kyiv
5
6
L
19.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kudrivka
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
LNZ Cherkasy
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Polessya
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Zorya Luhansk
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Sogndal
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
05.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Brentford U21
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Daejeon Citizen
3
3
D
19.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Aarhus
2
4
L
15.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
FC Midtjylland
0
3
L
13.12.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
H2H: Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR
23.05.26
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Oleksandria
3
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
0
W
28.09.24
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Oleksandria
0
1
W
02.12.23
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Oleksandria
2
1
L
30.07.23
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
0
W
29.04.23
H2H
Hirnyk
Oleksandria
2
1
L
18.10.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
2
0
W
12.07.22
H2H
Hirnyk
Oleksandria
1
1
D
17.07.21
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
2
2
D
30.08.20
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
0
0
D
12.08.20
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
3
1
W
04.04.15
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
1
1
D
27.08.14
H2H
Hirnyk
Oleksandria
0
2
W
Last matches: Oleksandria
05.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
3
L
20.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Veres Rivne
0
3
L
19.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
0
5
L
06.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Rustavi
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Hobro
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Neftchi
1
2
L
29.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
FC Fredericia
0
0
D
26.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Llapi
3
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Shkendija
1
1
D
16.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Zira
3
2
W
12.12.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Kudrivka
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Ruh Lviv
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Polessya
0
3
L
24.10.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Karpaty
0
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
1
0
W
H2H at home: Oleksandria
23.05.26
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
0
W
30.07.23
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
0
W
18.10.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
2
0
W
17.07.21
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
2
2
D
30.08.20
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
0
0
D
12.08.20
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
3
1
W
04.04.15
H2H
Oleksandria
Hirnyk
1
1
D
Last matches: Kryvbas KR
12.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Veres Rivne
3
1
W
01.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
SK Poltava
3
3
D
12.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kudrivka
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Polessya
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Sogndal
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
19.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Aarhus
2
4
L
15.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
FC Midtjylland
0
3
L
01.12.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
08.11.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Dynamo Kyiv
0
4
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
21.09.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
5
4
W
18.08.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Zorya Luhansk
3
2
W
01.08.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
1
2
L
H2H away: Kryvbas KR
23.05.26
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
0
L
30.07.23
H2H
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D