UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
KSK Nika
Referee: D. Reznikov
Oleksandria
Match Timeline
Kolos Kovalivka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
D. Denisenko · Assist: O. Demchenko
Kolos Kovalivka
40'
O. Demchenko
Kolos Kovalivka
🟨
43'
Bryan Castillo
Oleksandria
🟨
43'
Eduard Kozik
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
46'
D. Myshnyov ↔ M. Amaral
Oleksandria
🔄
46'
A. Bol ↔ N. Prokopenko
Oleksandria
🔄
46'
Jhonnatan ↔ T. Cara
Oleksandria
🔄
63'
P. Yade ↔ H. Touati
Oleksandria
🔄
72'
I. Kane ↔ A. Gusol
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
72'
D. Denisenko ↔ A. Rrapaj
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
85'
O. Demchenko ↔ D. Khrypchuk
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
85'
A. Tahiri ↔ Z. Zakharii
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
86'
B. Butko ↔ M. Rodrigues
Oleksandria
86'
D. Khrypchuk · Assist: A. Rrapaj
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
90+1'
Elias ↔ A. Chelyadin
Kolos Kovalivka

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oleksandria Win 20.7%
Draw 12.4%
Kolos Kovalivka Win 66.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oleksandria0.75
Kolos Kovalivka1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oleksandria Oleksandria
WWDLW
18 GF / 52 GA
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
WLDWL
24 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
0.96
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
10
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
6
1.46
Shots on Goal
2.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oleksandria Oleksandria 26 matches
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 25 matches
Oleksandria Statistic Kolos Kovalivka
2 Wins 10
7 Draws 10
17 Losses 5
18 Goals For 24
52 Goals Against 21
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
10 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 10
15 Failed To Score 9
1.46 Shots On Goal 2.78
4.25 Total Shots 8.7
2 Corners 2.83
25.4% Ball Possession 36.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kolos Kovalivka's more proactive style and Oleksandria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Oleksandria have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Kolos Kovalivka carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 40 points while Oleksandria sit 15 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kolos Kovalivka.

Oleksandria Analysis

With 13 points from 25 games and a place of 15, Oleksandria still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 18:49, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Tedi Cara (4 goals), Hussayn Touati (3 goals), Bryan Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from S. Buletsa (3 assists), Tedi Cara (2 assists), Hussayn Touati (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kolos Kovalivka Analysis

Kolos Kovalivka sit 6 with 40 points after 25 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Klymchuk (7 goals), Anton Salabay (3 goals), Elias (3 goals), with creative support from Vladyslav Veleten (4 assists), A. Tsurikov (3 assists), N. Gagnidze (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Oleksandria won 5 times, Kolos Kovalivka won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Oleksandria's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Oleksandria 4-1-4-1 / Kolos Kovalivka 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Oleksandria wins 5, draws 3, Kolos Kovalivka wins 6

Lineups

Oleksandria
Formation
Kolos Kovalivka
V. Dolgyi
V. Dolgyi
B. Butko
B. Butko
M. Ferreira
M. Ferreira
A. Bol
A. Bol
M. Oharkov
M. Oharkov
Jhonnatan
Jhonnatan
D. Myshnyov
D. Myshnyov
S. Buletsa
S. Buletsa
D. Vashchenko
D. Vashchenko
B. Castillo
B. Castillo
P. Yade
P. Yade
I. Pakholyuk
I. Pakholyuk
A. Ponedelnik
A. Ponedelnik
E. Kozik
E. Kozik
M. Burda
M. Burda
A. Tsurikov
A. Tsurikov
D. Denisenko
D. Denisenko
Elias
Elias
O. Demchenko
🎯
O. Demchenko
I. Kane
I. Kane
A. Tahiri
A. Tahiri
A. Salabay
A. Salabay
Oleksandria 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
V. Dolgyi
G
91
B. Butko
↓ 86'
D
26
M. Ferreira
86
A. Bol
↓ 46'
D
23
M. Oharkov
D
44
Jhonnatan
↓ 46'
M
9
D. Myshnyov
↓ 46'
M
10
S. Buletsa
M
20
D. Vashchenko
M
99
B. Castillo
🟨 43'
F
37
P. Yade
↓ 63'
M
Substitutes
72
N. Makarenko
G
22
D. Skorko
D
17
A. Andreichyk
D
40
D. Chernysh
M
49
M. Amaral
↑ 46'
M
79
D. Khmelovskyy
M
77
D. Kremchanin
F
97
N. Prokopenko
↑ 46'
D
67
M. Rodrigues
↑ 86'
M
11
A. Shulyanskyi
M
27
T. Cara
↑ 46'
M
24
H. Touati
↑ 63'
M
Kolos Kovalivka 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
I. Pakholyuk
G
77
A. Ponedelnik
D
3
E. Kozik
🟨 43'
D
6
M. Burda
D
9
A. Tsurikov
D
47
D. Denisenko
⚽ 24' ↓ 72'
M
55
Elias
↓ 90+1'
M
7
O. Demchenko
⚽ 40' 🎯 24' ↓ 85'
M
14
I. Kane
↓ 72'
M
11
A. Tahiri
↓ 85'
F
17
A. Salabay
M
Substitutes
71
A. Korobchenko
G
52
A. Nedozymovannyi
G
5
V. Bondarenko
D
45
D. Khrypchuk
⚽ 86' ↑ 85'
D
81
Y. Popravka
D
2
Z. Rukhadze
D
19
D. Alefirenko
M
8
A. Chelyadin
↑ 90+1'
M
15
A. Gusol
↑ 72'
M
99
A. Rrapaj
🎯 86' ↑ 72'
M
27
T. Stepanenko
M
29
Z. Zakharii
↑ 85'
F
Last matches: Oleksandria
18.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Inhulets
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Chornomorets
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
5
2
W
09.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
0
1
L
05.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Ruh Lviv
3
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Polessya
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Veres Rivne
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Karpaty
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
3
3
D
19.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
0
5
L
14.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
LNZ Cherkasy
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Rustavi
1
0
W
Last matches: Kolos Kovalivka
18.07.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Kudrivka
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka II
4
0
W
21.05.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Obolon'-Brovar
0
2
L
13.05.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Kudrivka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Ruh Lviv
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
16.03.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
UCSA
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
1
1
D
07.03.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
4
L
01.03.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Polessya
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Muras United
3
0
W
H2H: Oleksandria vs Kolos Kovalivka
18.07.26
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
2
1
L
02.05.26
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
3
L
01.11.25
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
1
1
D
07.03.25
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
0
1
W
31.08.24
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
2
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
0
0
D
21.10.23
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
15.05.23
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
0
2
W
05.11.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
4
1
W
05.03.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
22.08.21
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
0
1
W
07.07.21
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
2
0
L
05.05.21
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
2
L
06.12.20
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
1
1
D
27.06.20
H2H
Kolos Kovalivka
Oleksandria
2
1
L
Last matches: Oleksandria
08.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Inhulets
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Chornomorets
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Oleksandria
SK Poltava
5
2
W
05.06.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Livyi Bereh
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
1
2
L
20.04.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Veres Rivne
0
3
L
19.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Dynamo Kyiv
0
5
L
06.03.26
Pre
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
13.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Rustavi
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Hobro
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Neftchi
1
2
L
29.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
FC Fredericia
0
0
D
26.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Llapi
3
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Shkendija
1
1
D
16.01.26
Fri
Oleksandria
Zira
3
2
W
12.12.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Kudrivka
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Ruh Lviv
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Oleksandria
Polessya
0
3
L
H2H at home: Oleksandria
02.05.26
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
3
L
31.08.24
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
2
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
05.11.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
4
1
W
05.03.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
05.05.21
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
2
L
Last matches: Kolos Kovalivka
10.07.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
3
2
W
21.05.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Ruh Lviv
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
4
L
01.03.26
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Karpaty
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
21.01.26
Fri
Kolos Kovalivka
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
13.12.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Kudrivka
3
1
W
26.10.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
SK Poltava
2
2
D
19.10.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
28.09.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
1
L
14.09.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
3
1
W
10.08.25
Pre
Kolos Kovalivka
Polessya
1
0
W
H2H away: Kolos Kovalivka
02.05.26
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
3
W
31.08.24
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
2
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
W
05.11.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
4
1
L
05.03.22
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
05.05.21
H2H
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
0
2
W

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga