ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
26.09.2026 16:30
Boundary Park
Oldham
Match Timeline
Salford City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
Luke Molyneux · Assist: Joe Powell
Salford City
⚽
19'
Kelly N'Mai
Salford City
⚽
21'
Calum Kavanagh · Assist: Keenan Appiah-Forson
Oldham
🟨
34'
Abraham Odoh
Salford City
🟨
45+2'
Macaulay Langstaff
Salford City
🔄
45'
Noah Chilvers ↔ Kane drummond
Oldham
⚽
57'
Brendan Sarpeng-Wiredu · Assist: Luke Molyneux
Salford City
🔄
62'
Ben Woodburn ↔ adebola oluwo
Salford City
🔄
62'
Abraham Odoh ↔ Jorge Grant
Salford City
🔄
75'
Ryan Delaney ↔ Elliott Nevitt
Oldham
🔄
78'
Kelly N'Mai ↔ Matt·Butcher
Salford City
🔄
79'
Luke Molyneux ↔ Luke Garbutt
Salford City
🔄
81'
Mike·Fondop-Talum ↔ Favour fawunmi
Oldham
⚽
81'
adebola oluwo · Assist: Luke Garbutt
Salford City
🔄
84'
Macaulay Langstaff ↔ Daniel Udoh
Salford City

Oldham vs Salford City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.2%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.81 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oldham Win 44.9%
Draw 21.4%
Salford City Win 33.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oldham1.27
Salford City1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oldham Oldham
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Salford City Salford City
WLDWL
19 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oldham Oldham 11 matches
Salford City Salford City 11 matches
Oldham Statistic Salford City
3 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
7 Losses 3
14 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 14
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
5 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.86
14.57 Total Shots 15.43
5.43 Corners 6.29
44.4% Ball Possession 60.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Oldham's more proactive style and Salford City's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Salford City. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oldham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Salford City in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Salford City having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Oldham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Oldham Analysis

Oldham sit 14 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Kavanagh (1 goals), K. Appiah-Forson (1 goals), F. Fawunmi (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Salford City Analysis

Salford City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 7 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:9 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Powell (2 goals), M. Langstaff (1 goals), R. Graydon (1 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (2 assists), K. Cesay (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 2 times, Salford City won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Oldham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.6%)
Predicted formations: Oldham 4-2-3-1 / Salford City 5-3-2
H2H summary: Oldham wins 2, draws 1, Salford City wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
2 7 3 4 0 10:4 6 13
W D D D W
3 7 3 4 0 11:6 5 13
W W D D D
4 7 3 3 1 11:6 5 12
W W W D D
5 7 3 3 1 14:11 3 12
D W D W D
6 7 4 0 3 12:11 1 12
L L W W W
7 7 3 2 2 13:10 3 11
L W D L W
8 7 3 2 2 10:8 2 11
W W D D L
9 7 2 5 0 7:5 2 11
D D D D D
10 7 2 4 1 9:7 2 10
D L W D D
11 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
12 7 3 1 3 8:9 -1 10
W D W W L
13 7 3 1 3 8:11 -3 10
L L W W L
14 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W D L D W
15 7 2 3 2 8:10 -2 9
D D L L W
16 7 2 1 4 8:9 -1 7
L L L D W
17 7 2 1 4 7:10 -3 7
W D L W L
18 7 2 1 4 5:11 -6 7
D W L L W
19 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D D L L D
20 7 1 3 3 4:5 -1 6
D L D D L
21 7 1 3 3 10:13 -3 6
D L W D L
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League