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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
17.10.2026 14:00
Boundary Park

Oldham vs Cheltenham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.4%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oldham Win 49.4%
Draw 4.6%
Cheltenham Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oldham1.29
Cheltenham1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oldham Oldham
WWDLW
15 GF / 20 GA
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WLDWL
19 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oldham Oldham 13 matches
Cheltenham Cheltenham 12 matches
Oldham Statistic Cheltenham
3 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 4
15 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 18
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 3
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.3
13.89 Total Shots 8.8
5.67 Corners 4.1
46.2% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cheltenham's more proactive style and Oldham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cheltenham. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Oldham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Cheltenham carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 15 points while Oldham sit 21 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Oldham Analysis

With 7 points from 8 games and a place of 21, Oldham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:13 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Kavanagh (2 goals), K. Appiah-Forson (1 goals), M. Fondop-Talum (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), K. Appiah-Forson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cheltenham Analysis

Cheltenham arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 15 points after 9 matches. The record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 16:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. McCann (5 goals), A. Weimann (4 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), with creative support from A. Weimann (1 assists), R. Broom (1 assists), J. Tomkinson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Oldham won 4 times, Cheltenham won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Oldham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Oldham 4-2-3-1 / Cheltenham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oldham wins 4, draws 2, Cheltenham wins 2

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League