CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio El Teniente
Referee: Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz, Chile
O'Higgins
Match Timeline
Universidad de Concepcion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Jorge Peña
O'Higgins
🟨
22'
Bryan Ogaz
Universidad de Concepcion
26'
C. Waterman · Assist: A. Urzi
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
43'
David Retamal
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
61'
Arnaldo Castillo
O'Higgins
🟨
62'
Bastián Ubal
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
62'
J. Leiva ↔ T. Vecino
O'Higgins
🔄
64'
P. Parra ↔ C. Mesias
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
72'
Martin Sarrafiore ↔ B. Yanez
O'Higgins
🔄
72'
B. Rabello ↔ M. Maturana
O'Higgins
🔄
76'
A. Urzi ↔ A. Uribe
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
76'
B. Ogaz ↔ D. Sabando
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
81'
Felipe Ogaz ↔ B. Schamine
O'Higgins
🔄
82'
J. Espejo ↔ E. Paez
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
82'
C. Waterman ↔ M. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
85'
Diego Antonio Sabando Sanhueza
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
89'
Nicolás Garrido
O'Higgins

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
O'Higgins Win 89.5%
Draw 6.6%
Universidad de Concepcion Win 3.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
O'Higgins1.56
Universidad de Concepcion1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WLDWL
9 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
8
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
6
3.93
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

O'Higgins O'Higgins 16 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 11 matches
O'Higgins Statistic Universidad de Concepcion
9 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 5
23 Goals For 9
21 Goals Against 19
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
3.93 Shots On Goal 4.27
11.93 Total Shots 12.82
4.73 Corners 5.64
48.6% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by O'Higgins's more proactive style and Universidad de Concepcion's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad de Concepcion. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with O'Higgins expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universidad de Concepcion in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Concepcion having the stronger overall control. Universidad de Concepcion arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. O'Higgins arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 19 points compared to Universidad de Concepcion in 12 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

O'Higgins Analysis

O'Higgins come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 19 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, with a 17:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Thiago Vecino (4 goals), A. Castillo (3 goals), F. Gonzalez (3 goals), with creative support from F. Gonzalez (4 assists), Bryan Rabello (2 assists), Felipe Ogaz (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

With 14 points from 11 games and a place of 12, Universidad de Concepcion still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 9:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Diaz (1 goals), Agustín Urzi (1 goals), C. Waterman (1 goals), with creative support from A. Diaz (1 assists), C. Waterman (1 assists), Bryan Ogaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, O'Higgins won 3 times, Universidad de Concepcion won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from O'Higgins's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (96.1%)
Predicted formations: O'Higgins 4-2-3-1 / Universidad de Concepcion 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: O'Higgins wins 3, draws 2, Universidad de Concepcion wins 2
Stats
O'Higgins O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
16
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
10
Blocked Shots
2
16 Corner Kicks 0
17 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
36 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Goal 1
16 Shots off Goal 3
10 Blocked Shots 2
29 Shots insidebox 2
7 Shots outsidebox 4
0 Goalkeeper Saves 10
466 Total passes 359
389 Passes accurate 274
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

O'Higgins
Formation
Universidad de Concepcion
O. Carabali
O. Carabali
F. Faundez
F. Faundez
N. Garrido
N. Garrido
M. Brizuela
M. Brizuela
L. Pavez
L. Pavez
J. Leiva
J. Leiva
Felipe Ogaz
Felipe Ogaz
F. Gonzalez
F. Gonzalez
B. Rabello
B. Rabello
Martin Sarrafiore
Martin Sarrafiore
A. Castillo
A. Castillo
J. Sanhueza
J. Sanhueza
J. Espejo
J. Espejo
D. Retamal
D. Retamal
B. Ubal
B. Ubal
Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
P. Parra
P. Parra
B. Ogaz
B. Ogaz
F. Mater
F. Mater
A. Urzi
🎯
A. Urzi
C. Waterman
C. Waterman
J. Fuentealba
J. Fuentealba
O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
O. Carabali
G
3
F. Faundez
D
21
N. Garrido
33
M. Brizuela
D
6
L. Pavez
D
11
J. Leiva
↓ 62'
M
8
Felipe Ogaz
↓ 81'
24
F. Gonzalez
M
10
B. Rabello
↓ 72'
M
7
Martin Sarrafiore
↓ 72'
M
9
A. Castillo
🟨 61'
F
Substitutes
1
Pena Jorge
🟨 -5'
G
22
A. Robledo
D
20
L. Diaz
D
26
R. Godoy
F
29
B. Yanez
↑ 72'
F
32
T. Vecino
↑ 62'
F
15
B. Rojas
D
14
M. Maturana
↑ 72'
M
28
B. Schamine
↑ 81'
M
Universidad de Concepcion 4-3-3
Starting XI
13
J. Sanhueza
G
21
J. Espejo
↓ 82'
D
5
D. Retamal
🟨 43'
D
6
B. Ubal
15
Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
D
14
P. Parra
↓ 64'
M
16
B. Ogaz
↓ 76' 🟨 22'
M
8
F. Mater
M
7
A. Urzi
🎯 26' ↓ 76'
F
18
C. Waterman
⚽ 26' ↓ 82'
F
10
J. Fuentealba
F
Substitutes
12
D. Matamala
G
4
O. Gonzalez
D
22
A. Uribe
↑ 76'
M
2
E. Paez
↑ 82'
M
28
L. Kmet
17
M. Gonzalez
↑ 82'
D
19
C. Mesias
↑ 64'
D
25
H. Salgado
29
D. Sabando
↑ 76' 🟨 85'
F
Last matches: O'Higgins
19.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Nublense
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Cobresal
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Huachipato
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
U. Catolica
1
0
W
05.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Palestino
2
4
L
25.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Concepción
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
O'Higgins
Magallanes
3
1
W
Last matches: Universidad de Concepcion
14.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
U. Catolica
1
5
L
30.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Colo Colo
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
1
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Huachipato
1
5
L
15.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino
1
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
H2H: O'Higgins vs Universidad de Concepcion
16.05.26
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
20.01.21
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
24.09.20
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
O'Higgins
1
4
W
13.10.19
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
1
2
L
26.05.19
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
O'Higgins
1
1
D
02.11.18
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
4
2
W
03.02.18
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
O'Higgins
0
2
W
Last matches: O'Higgins
31.05.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Everton de Vina
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Huachipato
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
O'Higgins
U. Catolica
1
0
W
05.03.26
CON
O'Higgins
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Colo Colo
0
1
L
18.02.26
CON
O'Higgins
Bahia
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
D. La Serena
1
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
O'Higgins
Concepción
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
O'Higgins
Magallanes
3
1
W
H2H at home: O'Higgins
16.05.26
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
20.01.21
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
13.10.19
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
1
2
L
02.11.18
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
4
2
W
Last matches: Universidad de Concepcion
14.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
U. Catolica
1
5
L
23.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Huachipato
1
5
L
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
0
3
L
H2H away: Universidad de Concepcion
16.05.26
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
W
20.01.21
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
0
0
D
13.10.19
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
1
2
W
02.11.18
H2H
O'Higgins
Universidad de Concepcion
4
2
L

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso