CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio El Teniente

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
O'Higgins Win 46.9%
Draw 22.3%
Union La Calera Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
O'Higgins1.42
Union La Calera1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WWDLW
45 GF / 47 GA
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WLDWL
34 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
19
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
16
4.32
Shots on Goal
3.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

O'Higgins O'Higgins 32 matches
Union La Calera Union La Calera 27 matches
O'Higgins Statistic Union La Calera
13 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
14 Losses 12
45 Goals For 34
47 Goals Against 39
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
19 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 9
4.32 Shots On Goal 3.57
12.72 Total Shots 10.62
5.24 Corners 5.62
50.1% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with O'Higgins expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Union La Calera in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union La Calera having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union La Calera.

O'Higgins Analysis

With 24 points from 20 games and a place of 11, O'Higgins still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 24:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Francisco González (3 goals), Thiago Vecino (3 goals), Arnaldo Castillo (3 goals), with creative support from Bryan Rabello (2 assists), Felipe Faúndez (2 assists), Francisco González (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union La Calera Analysis

With 14 points from 20 games and a place of 16, Union La Calera still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 17:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Kevin Méndez (3 goals), Sebastián Sáez (3 goals), Francisco Jose Pozzo (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Méndez (4 assists), Christopher Díaz (3 assists), Nicolás Avellaneda (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, O'Higgins won 6 times, Union La Calera won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from O'Higgins's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: O'Higgins 4-2-3-1 / Union La Calera 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: O'Higgins wins 6, draws 5, Union La Calera wins 4