CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio El Teniente
Referee: J. Cabero
O'Higgins
Match Timeline
Palestino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
8'
Bastián Yáñez
O'Higgins
VAR
8'
Bastián Yáñez
O'Higgins
🟨
22'
Felipe Faúndez
O'Higgins
🔄
46'
V. A. Espinoza Hevia ↔ A. A. Ceza Gavilan
Palestino
🔄
46'
J. Abrigo ↔ F. T. Montes Romero
Palestino
🔄
46'
I. Alegria ↔ G. Tapia Paez
Palestino
🔄
64'
M. Brizuela ↔ N. Garrido
O'Higgins
🔄
64'
I. Schor ↔ M. Maturana
O'Higgins
🔄
73'
W. Bou ↔ T. Aviles
O'Higgins
🔄
73'
I. A. Garguez Gomez ↔ B. Carrasco
Palestino
🟨
75'
Martín Maturana
O'Higgins
🟨
78'
Dilan Zúñiga
Palestino
🔄
83'
R. Fernandez ↔ A. Gomez
Palestino
🔄
84'
J. Leiva ↔ S. Toloza
O'Higgins
🔄
84'
A. Castillo ↔ T. Vecino
O'Higgins
🟨
90+6'
Luis Pavez Muñoz
O'Higgins
🟨
90+4'
Gonzalo Tapia
Palestino
90'
G. Tapia Paez · Assist: C. Munder
Palestino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
O'Higgins Win 38.2%
Draw 20.1%
Palestino Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
O'Higgins1.4
Palestino1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
O'Higgins O'Higgins
WWDLW
40 GF / 42 GA
Palestino Palestino
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
17
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
16
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

O'Higgins O'Higgins 29 matches
Palestino Palestino 25 matches
O'Higgins Statistic Palestino
12 Wins 12
5 Draws 4
12 Losses 9
40 Goals For 43
42 Goals Against 36
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
17 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 6
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.53
12.83 Total Shots 14.11
5.26 Corners 4.21
50.5% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. O'Higgins have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Palestino. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with O'Higgins expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Palestino in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palestino having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

O'Higgins Analysis

O'Higgins sit 12 with 23 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 22:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Francisco González (3 goals), Thiago Vecino (3 goals), Arnaldo Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from Felipe Faúndez (2 assists), Francisco González (1 assists), Thiago Vecino (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Palestino Analysis

Placed 5 with 27 points from 18 outings, Palestino continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 26:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nelson Da Silva (4 goals), César Munder (2 goals), Gonzalo Tapia (2 goals), with creative support from Nelson Da Silva (2 assists), Nicolás Meza (2 assists), Bryan Carrasco (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, O'Higgins won 7 times, Palestino won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:19 from O'Higgins's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: O'Higgins 4-2-3-1 / Palestino 4-3-3
H2H summary: O'Higgins wins 7, draws 1, Palestino wins 7