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24.10.2026 16:15
Den Dreef
Referee: J. Boterberg
OH Leuven
Match Timeline
Lommel United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Takuya Ogiwara
OH Leuven
⚽
35'
S. Appuah · Assist: D. Konadu
Lommel United
🟨
40'
Shawn Adewoye
Lommel United
🟨
45+2'
Stredair Appuah
Lommel United
🔄
46'
L. Lakomy ↔ E. Addai
OH Leuven
⚽
65'
R. Mirisola · Assist: W. Balikwisha
OH Leuven
⚽
67'
E. Addai · Assist: D. Opoku
OH Leuven
🟨
71'
Robin Mirisola
OH Leuven
🔄
73'
J. Tolinsson ↔ N. Rommens
Lommel United
🔄
73'
J. Pelupessy ↔ T. Reyners
Lommel United
🔄
80'
D. Opoku ↔ T. Vlietinck
OH Leuven
🔄
80'
R. Mirisola ↔ K. Vaesen
OH Leuven
🔄
80'
S. Adewoye ↔ H. Oware
Lommel United
🔄
85'
S. Appuah ↔ N. Corthouts
Lommel United
🔄
90+4'
T. Ogiwara ↔ A. Fontanarosa
OH Leuven
⚽
90'
J. van Duiven · Assist: S. Nypan
Lommel United

OH Leuven vs Lommel United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.2%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
OH Leuven Win 29.9%
Draw 11.9%
Lommel United Win 58.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
OH Leuven1.71
Lommel United1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
OH Leuven OH Leuven
D W D L L
4 GF / 6 GA
Lommel United Lommel United
W D L L W
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
9
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
8
2.38
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

OH Leuven OH Leuven 16 matches
Lommel United Lommel United 14 matches
OH Leuven Statistic Lommel United
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 5
28 Goals For 20
31 Goals Against 23
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
9 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
2.38 Shots On Goal 3
13.13 Total Shots 11.13
3.38 Corners 3.75
47.5% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with OH Leuven expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Lommel United in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lommel United having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lommel United. Lommel United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 11 points while OH Leuven sit 15 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

OH Leuven Analysis

OH Leuven approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Wouter George (2 goals), Davis Opoku (2 goals), Óscar Gil (1 goals), with creative support from Wouter George (2 assists), Davis Opoku (1 assists), Siebe Schrijvers (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lommel United Analysis

So far, Lommel United have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 11 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tom Reyners (3 goals), Don-Angelo Konadu (3 goals), Lucas Schoofs (2 goals), with creative support from Jason van Duiven (3 assists), Juho Talvitie (2 assists), Nicolas Rommens (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, OH Leuven won 10 times, Lommel United won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:15 from OH Leuven's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: OH Leuven 3-4-3 / Lommel United 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: OH Leuven wins 10, draws 2, Lommel United wins 3

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 26:8 18 27
W W W W W
2 10 8 2 0 29:7 22 26
W W D W W
3 10 8 1 1 19:6 13 25
L W W W D
4 10 8 0 2 21:12 9 24
W L W W W
5 10 6 1 3 13:11 2 19
W L W W W
6 10 4 3 3 18:14 4 15
L W W L D
7 10 4 3 3 13:11 2 15
W D W D L
8 10 4 2 4 25:25 0 14
L D W W W
9 10 3 3 4 15:16 -1 12
D L L L L
10 10 3 3 4 13:18 -5 12
W W W D L
11 10 3 2 5 12:16 -4 11
L L L L L
12 10 3 1 6 16:22 -6 10
L W L L L
13 10 3 1 6 13:20 -7 10
L D L L W
14 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
W D D W D
15 10 2 2 6 18:21 -3 8
L L L L L
16 10 2 1 7 13:23 -10 7
L W L L W
17 10 1 3 6 13:22 -9 6
W L L L D
18 10 1 1 8 4:22 -18 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League