OH Leuven vs Charleroi Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
51.5%
|
- |
OH Leuven
Charleroi
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
OH Leuven
34 matches
Charleroi
36 matches
| OH Leuven | Statistic | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 17 | Losses | 17 |
| 33 | Goals For | 43 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.21 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 13.26 | Total Shots | 12.22 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 5.17 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with OH Leuven expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Charleroi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charleroi having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Charleroi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 18 points from 34 games and a place of 6, OH Leuven still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 33:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Kaba (6 goals), Ewoud Pletinckx (5 goals), Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi (4 goals), with creative support from Siebe Schrijvers (4 assists), T. Verlinden (4 assists), L. Lakomy (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Charleroi sit 5 with 21 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 40:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Guiagon (8 goals), A. Bernier (5 goals), Y. Titraoui (4 goals), with creative support from P. Guiagon (5 assists), Etienne Camara (3 assists), Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, OH Leuven won 7 times, Charleroi won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from OH Leuven's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Charleroi
Away
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 12 |
OH Leuven
Home
|
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 13 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
L
|