Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
77.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Ogre United
Tukums
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ogre United
21 matches
Tukums
22 matches
| Ogre United | Statistic | Tukums |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 10 |
| 16 | Losses | 9 |
| 17 | Goals For | 38 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 2.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.91 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tukums having the stronger overall control. Tukums carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 17 points while Ogre United sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tukums. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
With 7 points from 18 games and a place of 10, Ogre United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 16:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Cudars (5 goals), E. Evelons (2 goals), K. Johnson (2 goals), with creative support from M. Kalnins (2 assists), K. Cudars (1 assists), M. Ivulans (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 17 points from 18 games and a place of 7, Tukums still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats with a 32:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Oloko (16 goals), R. Deruzinskis (6 goals), Leoni (4 goals), with creative support from B. Samoilovs (7 assists), R. Deruzinskis (2 assists), Anmanis Kaspars (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ogre United won 1 times, Tukums won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Ogre United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.
Lineups
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Kalju Nomme
Tukums
Panevėžys
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 62 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72:20 | 52 | 61 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Away
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Home
|
24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23:61 | -38 | 14 |
D
L
W
L
W
|