LATVIA VIRSLIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds 1.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.9%
1.10
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.36
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Ogre United Win 18.7%
Draw 4.5%
Rīgas FS Win 76.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ogre United0.95
Rīgas FS2.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ogre United Ogre United
WWDLW
27 GF / 71 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
102 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
2.32
2.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
18
BTTS Yes
23
18
Over 2.5
25
0
Shots on Goal
1.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ogre United Ogre United 28 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 44 matches
Ogre United Statistic Rīgas FS
3 Wins 32
5 Draws 7
20 Losses 5
27 Goals For 102
71 Goals Against 41
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 2.32
2.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
18 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 35
18 Over 2.5 25
14 Over 3.5 18
1 Clean Sheets 18
9 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 1.13
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 1.25
0% Ball Possession 14%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rīgas FS. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 65 points while Ogre United sit 10 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Ogre United Analysis

With 14 points from 26 games and a place of 10, Ogre United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 26:68, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 65 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 21 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a 62:17 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 12 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ogre United won 0 times, Rīgas FS won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:12 from Ogre United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Ogre United - / Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ogre United wins 0, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 3
Last matches: Ogre United
22.08.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
3
L
09.08.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
27.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
2
2
D
19.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
0
4
L
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
02.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
Last matches: Rīgas FS
23.08.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
13.08.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
1
2
L
10.08.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
6
1
W
06.08.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
1
1
D
27.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
H2H: Ogre United vs Rīgas FS
22.06.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
L
02.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
06.03.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
L
Last matches: Ogre United
22.08.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
3
L
19.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ogre United
02.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
06.08.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
1
1
D
27.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
1
0
W
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
H2H away: Rīgas FS
02.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 19.00
Draw 9.50
Away 1.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 15.00
Draw 3.25
Away 1.36
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 10.00
Draw 4.00
Away 1.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Under 1.5 6.50
Over 2.5 1.36
Under 2.5 3.00
Over 3.5 1.83
Under 3.5 1.83
Over 0.5 1.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.00
Under 4.5 1.36
Over 7.5 12.00
Under 7.5 1.01
Over 5.5 5.00
Under 5.5 1.14
Over 6.5 8.50
Under 6.5 1.05
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 15.50
Draw 7.30
Away 1.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 12.10
Draw 2.94
Away 1.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 11.70
Draw 4.10
Away 1.28
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.06
Under 1.5 6.05
Over 1.75 1.08
Under 1.75 5.70
Over 2.0 1.09
Under 2.0 5.30
Over 2.25 1.20
Under 2.25 3.72
Over 2.5 1.30
Under 2.5 2.97
Over 2.75 1.36
Under 2.75 2.70
Over 3.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.89
Over 0.5 1.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Over 3.0 1.44
Under 3.0 2.43
Over 4.5 2.66
Under 4.5 1.37
Over 3.25 1.63
Under 3.25 2.12
Over 3.75 1.97
Under 3.75 1.73
Over 4.0 2.21
Under 4.0 1.53
Over 4.25 2.43
Under 4.25 1.44
Over 4.75 3.08
Under 4.75 1.28
Over 5.0 3.85
Under 5.0 1.18
Over 7.5 12.00
Under 7.5 1.01
Over 5.5 4.40
Under 5.5 1.14
Over 5.25 4.14
Under 5.25 1.16
Over 6.5 8.50
Under 6.5 1.05
Over 6.0 6.95
Under 6.0 1.04
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 12.50
Draw 7.00
Away 1.13
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.29
Under 2.5 3.10
Over 3.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.89
Over 4.5 2.63
Under 4.5 1.38

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 21 3 2 65:20 45 66
D W W W D
2 26 20 5 1 79:24 55 65
D W W W W
3 26 16 4 6 43:26 17 52
W W W W D
4 27 10 7 10 33:31 2 37
D W W L W
5 27 11 4 12 36:39 -3 37
L W W L W
6 25 8 4 13 26:37 -11 28
D L W L W
7 27 7 7 13 28:46 -18 28
W L L L L
8 27 4 9 14 19:50 -31 21
L L L D L
9 27 4 8 15 40:54 -14 20
L L W L L
10 26 3 5 18 26:68 -42 14
L L D L W