LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: K. Ratnieks
Ogre United
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
K. Cudars · Assist: M. Ivulans
Ogre United
17'
I. Diomande
Rīgas FS
28'
K. Cudars
Ogre United
🔄
34'
M. Talla ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
42'
E. Evelons · Assist: M. Kalnins
Ogre United
43'
J. Ikaunieks · Assist: I. Diomande
Rīgas FS
🟨
45+1'
Z. Lipuscek
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
M. Marusii ↔ R. Aditajs
Ogre United
🔄
46'
G. Mankenda ↔ A. Kouadio
Rīgas FS
🔄
55'
K. Cudars ↔ K. Hayashi
Ogre United
🔄
55'
M. Kalnins ↔ H. Silagailis
Ogre United
57'
Z. Lipuscek · Assist: R. Savalnieks
Rīgas FS
🔄
61'
D. Vejkrigers ↔ K. Kumakura
Ogre United
🔄
65'
I. Diomande ↔ D. Lemajic
Rīgas FS
🔄
67'
M. Ivulans ↔ K. Johnson
Ogre United
🔄
85'
R. Savalnieks ↔ H. Njie
Rīgas FS
90'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 91.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
91.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ogre United Win 8.6%
Draw 0%
Rīgas FS Win 91.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ogre United0.71
Rīgas FS1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ogre United Ogre United
WWDLW
6 GF / 18 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
43 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
2.05
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
6
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ogre United Ogre United 11 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 21 matches
Ogre United Statistic Rīgas FS
0 Wins 15
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 2
6 Goals For 43
18 Goals Against 20
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 2.05
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
6 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 15
4 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rīgas FS. Rīgas FS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 22 points while Ogre United sit 10 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control.

Ogre United Analysis

Ogre United sit 10 with 3 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 5:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Cudars (1 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), K. Volkovs (1 goals), with creative support from D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), F. Machado (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 22 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 16:6 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on J. Ikaunieks (4 goals), D. Lemajic (3 goals), S. Panic (3 goals), with creative support from L. Odisharia (3 assists), R. Savalnieks (3 assists), J. Ikaunieks (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ogre United won 0 times, Rīgas FS won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:12 from Ogre United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ogre United - / Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ogre United wins 0, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 3

Lineups

Rīgas FS
Formation
Ogre United
M. Maric
M. Maric
R. Savalnieks
🎯
R. Savalnieks
A. Filipovic
A. Filipovic
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
D. Zelenkovs
D. Zelenkovs
G. Mankenda
G. Mankenda
M. Saidy
M. Saidy
S. Panic
S. Panic
M. Talla
M. Talla
I. Diomande
🎯
I. Diomande
J. Ikaunieks
J. Ikaunieks
N. Parfjonovs
N. Parfjonovs
D. Vejkrigers
D. Vejkrigers
M. Lormanis
M. Lormanis
T. Mickevics
T. Mickevics
R. Ziemelis
R. Ziemelis
M. Marusii
M. Marusii
E. Evelons
E. Evelons
T. Marusiy
T. Marusiy
K. Cudars
⚽ 2
K. Cudars
M. Ivulans
🎯
M. Ivulans
M. Kalnins
🎯
M. Kalnins
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
35
M. Maric
11
R. Savalnieks
🎯 57' ↓ 85'
6
A. Filipovic
43
Z. Lipuscek
⚽ 57' 🟨 45+1'
18
D. Zelenkovs
77
G. Mankenda
↓ 46'
66
M. Saidy
26
S. Panic
⚽ 90'
70
M. Talla
↓ 34'
7
I. Diomande
⚽ 17' 🎯 43' ↓ 65'
10
J. Ikaunieks
⚽ 43'
Substitutes
16
J. Nerugals
22
D. Lemajic
↑ 65'
17
A. Kouadio
↑ 46'
21
N. Dusalijevs
5
N. Sliede
4
R. Veips
49
M. Kigurs
↑ 34'
30
H. Njie
↑ 85'
81
S. Rakic
Ogre United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Parfjonovs
6
D. Vejkrigers
↓ 61'
37
M. Lormanis
8
T. Mickevics
2
R. Ziemelis
77
M. Marusii
↓ 46'
18
E. Evelons
⚽ 42'
3
T. Marusiy
19
K. Cudars
⚽ 15' ⚽ 28' ↓ 55'
21
M. Ivulans
🎯 15' ↓ 67'
10
M. Kalnins
🎯 42' ↓ 55'
Substitutes
20
K. Biscuhis
14
R. Aditajs
↑ 46'
7
K. Kumakura
↑ 61'
5
K. Hayashi
↑ 55'
9
H. Silagailis
↑ 55'
11
M. Pacepko
23
E. Sprukts
99
F. Machado
47
K. Johnson
↑ 67'
Last matches: Ogre United
19.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
0
4
L
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
23.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Vestri
4
1
W
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
16.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
H2H: Ogre United vs Rīgas FS
22.06.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
L
02.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
06.03.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
2
0
L
Last matches: Ogre United
19.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ogre United
02.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
20.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Paide
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
2
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
0
1
L
H2H away: Rīgas FS
02.05.26
H2H
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
W