Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
81.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Ogre United
Riga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ogre United
18 matches
Riga
23 matches
| Ogre United | Statistic | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 16 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 14 | Losses | 3 |
| 14 | Goals For | 64 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.78 |
| 2.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Riga's more proactive style and Ogre United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Riga. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Riga having the stronger overall control. Riga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 39 points while Ogre United sit 10 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
So far, Ogre United have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 4 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 13:38 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by K. Cudars (5 goals), K. Johnson (2 goals), E. Evelons (1 goals), with creative support from K. Cudars (1 assists), M. Kalnins (1 assists), D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Riga arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 39 points after 16 matches. The record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 50:17 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Badamosi (11 goals), D. Lemajic (8 goals), S. Panic (7 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (7 assists), Reginaldo Ramires (5 assists), A. Salazar (5 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ogre United won 0 times, Riga won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:8 from Ogre United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.
Lineups
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Ogre United
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
Tukums
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
Auda
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Tukums
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
Rīgas FS
Riga
Grobiņa
Riga
Super Nova
Riga
FS Jelgava
Riga
Legia Warszawa
Riga
Auda
Riga
FK Liepaja
Riga
Flora Tallinn
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
Riga
Dubai United
Riga
Sparta Praha
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
Riga
Dila
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Riga
Away
|
22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Home
|
22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|