GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Pankritio Stadium
Referee: A. Tsakalidis
OFI
Match Timeline
Aris Thessalonikis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Dudu · Assist: U. Racic
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
25'
Tino Kadewere
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
28'
Vasilis Lampropoulos
OFI
🟨
45'
Zisis Karachalios
OFI
🔄
62'
E. Salcedo ↔ A. Leya Iseka
OFI
🟨
64'
Noah Fadiga
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
66'
T. Kadewere ↔ C. Kouame
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
66'
N. Fadiga ↔ A. Tejero
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
69'
Benjamín Garré
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
72'
Carles Pérez
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
73'
B. Garre ↔ G. Gianniotas
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
79'
Z. Karachalios ↔ J. Neira
OFI
🔄
79'
T. Fountas ↔ I. Theodosoulakis
OFI
86'
G. Gianniotas · Assist: C. Kouame
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
90'
G. Kanellopoulos ↔ F. Bainovic
OFI
🔄
90'
T. Nuss ↔ T. Romano
OFI
🔄
90'
F. Jensen ↔ K. Galanopoulos
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
90'
Dudu ↔ M. Gning
Aris Thessalonikis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
OFI Win 57.7%
Draw 7.7%
Aris Thessalonikis Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
OFI1.24
Aris Thessalonikis1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
OFI OFI
WWDLW
37 GF / 46 GA
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
WLDWL
27 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
12
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
10
3.39
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

OFI OFI 28 matches
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 30 matches
OFI Statistic Aris Thessalonikis
11 Wins 7
3 Draws 14
14 Losses 9
37 Goals For 27
46 Goals Against 34
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
12 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 10
3.39 Shots On Goal 3.7
8.89 Total Shots 12.73
2.86 Corners 4.67
44.8% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aris Thessalonikis. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with OFI expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Aris Thessalonikis in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aris Thessalonikis having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

OFI Analysis

OFI arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 20 points after 28 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 37:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Eddie Salcedo (9 goals), Taxiarchis Fountas (8 goals), T. Nuss (7 goals), with creative support from T. Nuss (5 assists), B. Gonzalez (4 assists), G. Kanellopoulos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aris Thessalonikis Analysis

Placed 3 with 19 points from 28 outings, Aris Thessalonikis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, while the 24:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Moron (4 goals), U. Racic (3 goals), B. Garre (2 goals), with creative support from Álvaro Tejero (3 assists), Tino Kadewere (2 assists), L. Moron (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, OFI won 5 times, Aris Thessalonikis won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from OFI's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: OFI 5-4-1 / Aris Thessalonikis 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: OFI wins 5, draws 3, Aris Thessalonikis wins 7
Stats
OFI OFI
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
3 Corner Kicks 7
8 Fouls 21
2 Offsides 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
481 Total passes 349
405 Passes accurate 278
0.59 expected_goals 0.77
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

OFI
Formation
Aris Thessalonikis
K. Lilo
K. Lilo
K. Kostoulas
K. Kostoulas
V. Lampropoulos
V. Lampropoulos
K. Krizmanic
K. Krizmanic
L. Shengelia
L. Shengelia
Z. Karachalios
Z. Karachalios
G. Kanellopoulos
G. Kanellopoulos
N. Athanasiou
N. Athanasiou
T. Fountas
T. Fountas
E. Salcedo
E. Salcedo
T. Nuss
T. Nuss
G. Athanasiadis
G. Athanasiadis
N. Fadiga
N. Fadiga
Fabiano
Fabiano
L. Rose
L. Rose
M. Frydek
M. Frydek
B. Garre
B. Garre
F. Jensen
F. Jensen
U. Racic
🎯
U. Racic
Dudu
Dudu
T. Kadewere
T. Kadewere
C. Perez
C. Perez
OFI 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
K. Lilo
G
5
K. Kostoulas
D
24
V. Lampropoulos
🟨 28'
D
2
K. Krizmanic
D
27
L. Shengelia
M
6
Z. Karachalios
↓ 79' 🟨 45'
M
7
G. Kanellopoulos
↓ 90'
M
3
N. Athanasiou
M
11
T. Fountas
↓ 79'
F
9
E. Salcedo
↓ 62'
F
18
T. Nuss
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
13
P. Katsikas
G
10
J. Neira
↑ 79'
F
12
I. Chatzitheodoridis
D
25
F. Bainovic
↑ 90'
M
46
I. Theodosoulakis
↑ 79'
F
30
T. Romano
↑ 90'
M
4
N. Marinakis
D
99
A. Leya Iseka
↑ 62'
F
15
A. Poungouras
D
21
I. Apostolakis
M
23
S. Almasidis
90
P. Kenourgiakis
D
Aris Thessalonikis 4-4-2
Starting XI
33
G. Athanasiadis
G
27
N. Fadiga
↓ 66' 🟨 64'
D
4
Fabiano
D
92
L. Rose
D
17
M. Frydek
D
90
B. Garre
↓ 73' 🟨 69'
M
97
F. Jensen
↓ 90'
M
10
U. Racic
🎯 11'
M
28
Dudu
⚽ 11' ↓ 90'
M
9
T. Kadewere
↓ 66' 🟨 25'
F
7
C. Perez
🟨 72'
F
Substitutes
13
S. Dioudis
G
21
L. Majkic
G
70
G. Gianniotas
⚽ 86' ↑ 73'
F
11
A. Donis
F
6
K. Galanopoulos
↑ 90'
M
31
C. Kouame
🎯 86' ↑ 66'
F
49
O. Boussaid
M
22
M. Voriazidis
M
25
M. Gning
↑ 90'
F
20
N. Sonko Sundberg
D
15
A. Tejero
↑ 66'
D
88
M. Kerkez
M
Last matches: OFI
17.05.26
Sup
OFI
Volos NFC
3
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
OFI
Levadiakos
2
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
1
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
OFI
Levadiakos
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
OFI
Volos NFC
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
2
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
OFI
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
3
L
08.03.26
Sup
OFI
Volos NFC
1
1
D
04.03.26
Sup
OFI
Panathinaikos
1
4
L
28.02.26
Sup
OFI
Larisa
3
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
OFI
Panathinaikos
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
OFI
Kifisia
2
2
D
08.02.26
Sup
OFI
Levadiakos
3
2
W
31.01.26
Sup
OFI
Atromitos
2
1
W
25.01.26
Sup
OFI
Panetolikos
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
OFI
PAOK
0
3
L
11.01.26
Sup
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
4
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
OFI
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
13.12.25
Sup
OFI
Panserraikos
3
0
W
06.12.25
Sup
OFI
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
3
L
Last matches: Aris Thessalonikis
17.05.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Levadiakos
3
0
W
13.05.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Volos NFC
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Volos NFC
3
2
W
05.04.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Levadiakos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
0
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Panserraikos
0
0
D
07.03.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Kifisia
1
1
D
14.02.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Volos NFC
1
1
D
08.02.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
0
0
D
31.01.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Panetolikos
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Levadiakos
2
2
D
18.01.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
0
1
L
11.01.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
20.12.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Asteras Tripolis
1
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
07.12.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
1
3
L
29.11.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
2
1
W
H2H: OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis
10.05.26
H2H
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
3
1
L
03.05.26
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
2
L
22.03.26
H2H
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
0
2
W
04.10.25
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
2
0
L
05.01.25
H2H
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
0
2
W
15.09.24
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
2
W
17.12.23
H2H
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
1
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
2
W
20.02.23
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
3
L
30.10.22
H2H
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
1
1
D
23.12.21
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
2
L
16.12.21
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
1
1
D
01.12.21
H2H
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
3
1
L
Last matches: OFI
17.05.26
Sup
OFI
Volos NFC
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
OFI
Levadiakos
2
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
OFI
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
3
L
28.02.26
Sup
OFI
Larisa
3
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
OFI
Panathinaikos
0
2
L
08.02.26
Sup
OFI
Levadiakos
3
2
W
25.01.26
Sup
OFI
Panetolikos
1
0
W
11.01.26
Sup
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
4
0
W
13.12.25
Sup
OFI
Panserraikos
3
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
OFI
Volos NFC
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
OFI
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
25.10.25
Sup
OFI
Atromitos
1
3
L
04.10.25
Sup
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
0
W
28.09.25
Sup
OFI
Kifisia
1
3
L
14.09.25
Sup
OFI
PAOK
1
2
L
H2H at home: OFI
03.05.26
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
2
L
04.10.25
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
2
W
20.08.23
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
2
W
20.02.23
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
3
L
23.12.21
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
2
L
16.12.21
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
1
1
D
Last matches: Aris Thessalonikis
13.05.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Volos NFC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Levadiakos
1
1
D
14.03.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Panserraikos
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
14.02.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Volos NFC
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Panetolikos
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
0
1
L
20.12.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Asteras Tripolis
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
1
3
L
23.11.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
01.11.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
26.10.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Levadiakos
1
1
D
04.10.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
OFI
0
3
L
20.09.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Kifisia
1
0
W
13.09.25
Sup
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
2
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Aris Thessalonikis
Araz
1
2
L
H2H away: Aris Thessalonikis
03.05.26
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
2
W
04.10.25
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
0
L
03.05.25
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
2
L
20.08.23
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
3
2
L
20.02.23
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
3
W
23.12.21
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
0
2
W
16.12.21
H2H
OFI
Aris Thessalonikis
1
1
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6
OFI Home
26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round