GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
03.05.2026 14:00
Pankritio Stadium
Referee: A. Tsakalidis
OFI
Match Timeline
Aris Thessalonikis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Dudu · Assist: U. Racic
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
25'
Tino Kadewere
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
28'
Vasilis Lampropoulos
OFI
🟨
45'
Zisis Karachalios
OFI
🔄
62'
E. Salcedo ↔ A. Leya Iseka
OFI
🟨
64'
Noah Fadiga
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
66'
T. Kadewere ↔ C. Kouame
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
66'
N. Fadiga ↔ A. Tejero
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
69'
Benjamín Garré
Aris Thessalonikis
🟨
72'
Carles Pérez
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
73'
B. Garre ↔ G. Gianniotas
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
79'
Z. Karachalios ↔ J. Neira
OFI
🔄
79'
T. Fountas ↔ I. Theodosoulakis
OFI
⚽
86'
G. Gianniotas · Assist: C. Kouame
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
90'
G. Kanellopoulos ↔ F. Bainovic
OFI
🔄
90'
T. Nuss ↔ T. Romano
OFI
🔄
90'
F. Jensen ↔ K. Galanopoulos
Aris Thessalonikis
🔄
90'
Dudu ↔ M. Gning
Aris Thessalonikis

OFI vs Aris Thessalonikis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
OFI Win 57.7%
Draw 7.7%
Aris Thessalonikis Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
OFI1.24
Aris Thessalonikis1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
OFI OFI
WWDLW
37 GF / 46 GA
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis
WLDWL
27 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
12
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
10
3.39
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

OFI OFI 28 matches
Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 30 matches
OFI Statistic Aris Thessalonikis
11 Wins 7
3 Draws 14
14 Losses 9
37 Goals For 27
46 Goals Against 34
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
12 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 10
3.39 Shots On Goal 3.7
8.89 Total Shots 12.73
2.86 Corners 4.67
44.8% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aris Thessalonikis. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with OFI expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Aris Thessalonikis in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aris Thessalonikis having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

OFI Analysis

OFI arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 20 points after 28 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 37:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Eddie Salcedo (9 goals), Taxiarchis Fountas (8 goals), T. Nuss (7 goals), with creative support from T. Nuss (5 assists), B. Gonzalez (4 assists), G. Kanellopoulos (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aris Thessalonikis Analysis

Placed 3 with 19 points from 28 outings, Aris Thessalonikis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 13 draws, and 8 losses, while the 24:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Moron (4 goals), U. Racic (3 goals), B. Garre (2 goals), with creative support from Álvaro Tejero (3 assists), Tino Kadewere (2 assists), L. Moron (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, OFI won 5 times, Aris Thessalonikis won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from OFI's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.3%)
Predicted formations: OFI 5-4-1 / Aris Thessalonikis 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: OFI wins 5, draws 3, Aris Thessalonikis wins 7

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6
OFI Home
26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round