UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Obolon Arena
Referee: M. Balakin
Obolon'-Brovar
Match Timeline
LNZ Cherkasy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Mark Assinor
LNZ Cherkasy
🟨
21'
Dmytro Semenov
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
46'
M. Assinor ↔ M. Jashari
LNZ Cherkasy
🟨
61'
Taras Moroz
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
64'
S. Sukhanov ↔ A. Kulakovskyi
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
66'
A. Yakubu ↔ A. Mykytyshyn
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
66'
D. Kuzyk ↔ J. Bennette
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
71'
T. Lyakh ↔ D. Teslyuk
Obolon'-Brovar
81'
A. Mykytyshyn · Assist: J. Bennette
LNZ Cherkasy
🔄
84'
I. Medynskyi ↔ K. Bychek
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
84'
M. Tretyakov ↔ R. Lyashchuk
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
86'
Yevhenii Pastukh
LNZ Cherkasy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Obolon'-Brovar Win 24.9%
Draw 11.7%
LNZ Cherkasy Win 63.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Obolon'-Brovar0.77
LNZ Cherkasy1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
WWDLW
25 GF / 48 GA
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
WLDWL
38 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.59
14
BTTS Yes
6
15
Over 2.5
8
1.73
Shots on Goal
3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 28 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 29 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Statistic LNZ Cherkasy
6 Wins 17
10 Draws 6
12 Losses 6
25 Goals For 38
48 Goals Against 17
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.59
14 BTTS Yes 6
21 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 19
11 Failed To Score 8
1.73 Shots On Goal 3.31
6.15 Total Shots 8.69
2.58 Corners 3.81
27.8% Ball Possession 32.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by LNZ Cherkasy's more proactive style and Obolon'-Brovar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. LNZ Cherkasy carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 57 points while Obolon'-Brovar sit 11 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Obolon'-Brovar expected to line up in 4-4-2 and LNZ Cherkasy in 4-1-2-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LNZ Cherkasy having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors LNZ Cherkasy. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Obolon'-Brovar Analysis

So far, Obolon'-Brovar have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 31 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 28:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Ustymenko (6 goals), S. Sukhanov (4 goals), T. Lyakh (3 goals), with creative support from Dmytro Semenov (2 assists), Oleh Illin (2 assists), Yevgeniy Shevchenko (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

LNZ Cherkasy Analysis

LNZ Cherkasy arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 57 points after 29 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 38:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Obah (10 goals), Mark Assinor (8 goals), Artur Ryabov (3 goals), with creative support from P. Obah (3 assists), Denys Kuzyk (3 assists), M. Jashari (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Obolon'-Brovar won 4 times, LNZ Cherkasy won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Obolon'-Brovar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Obolon'-Brovar 4-4-2 / LNZ Cherkasy 4-1-2-3
H2H summary: Obolon'-Brovar wins 4, draws 2, LNZ Cherkasy wins 4

Lineups

Obolon'-Brovar
Formation
LNZ Cherkasy
N. Fedorivsky
N. Fedorivsky
P. Polehenko
P. Polehenko
O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko
O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko
D. Semenov
D. Semenov
Y. Shevchenko
Y. Shevchenko
I. Medynskyi
I. Medynskyi
R. Volokhatyi
R. Volokhatyi
T. Moroz
T. Moroz
M. Tretyakov
M. Tretyakov
T. Lyakh
T. Lyakh
S. Sukhanov
S. Sukhanov
O. Palamarchuk
O. Palamarchuk
G. Pasich
G. Pasich
N. Muravskyi
N. Muravskyi
R. Didyk
R. Didyk
O. Drambayev
O. Drambayev
A. Yakubu
A. Yakubu
A. Ryabov
A. Ryabov
Y. Pastukh
Y. Pastukh
D. Kravchuk
D. Kravchuk
M. Assinor
M. Assinor
D. Kuzyk
D. Kuzyk
Obolon'-Brovar 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
N. Fedorivsky
G
28
P. Polehenko
44
O. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko
D
50
D. Semenov
🟨 21'
D
5
Y. Shevchenko
D
13
I. Medynskyi
↓ 84'
M
20
R. Volokhatyi
M
4
T. Moroz
🟨 61'
M
75
M. Tretyakov
↓ 84'
M
90
T. Lyakh
↓ 71'
55
S. Sukhanov
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
31
D. Marchenko
G
21
K. Bychek
↑ 84'
F
12
O. Kozlov
M
70
K. Korkh
M
8
A. Kulakovskyi
↑ 64'
M
91
R. Lyashchuk
↑ 84'
D
10
O. Slobodyan
M
99
D. Teslyuk
↑ 71'
F
19
M. Titov
D
22
O. Feshchenko
17
R. Chernenko
M
7
A. Chornyi
M
LNZ Cherkasy 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
O. Palamarchuk
G
11
G. Pasich
D
34
N. Muravskyi
D
29
R. Didyk
D
14
O. Drambayev
D
8
A. Yakubu
↓ 66'
M
16
A. Ryabov
M
19
Y. Pastukh
🟨 86'
M
23
D. Kravchuk
F
90
M. Assinor
↓ 46' 🟨 12'
F
17
D. Kuzyk
↓ 66'
D
Substitutes
1
D. Ledviy
G
72
K. Samoylenko
G
7
A. Mykytyshyn
⚽ 81' ↑ 66'
M
24
M. Podolyak
4
A. Dajko
D
33
I. Putrya
6
V. Tankovskiy
M
27
J. Bennette
🎯 81' ↑ 66'
M
18
Awudu Abdul
10
M. Jashari
↑ 46'
M
22
Y. Tverdokhlib
M
Last matches: Obolon'-Brovar
24.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Livyi Bereh
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Kolos Kovalivka II
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Chernihiv
3
2
W
10.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
UCSA
0
0
D
07.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Nyva Vinnytsya
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Kolos Kovalivka
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Polessya
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
SK Poltava
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Veres Rivne
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
22.03.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Karpaty
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Dynamo Kyiv
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Kryvbas KR
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Pakhtakor
1
1
D
Last matches: LNZ Cherkasy
23.07.26
UEF
LNZ Cherkasy
Gent
0
0
D
16.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Göztepe
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Olimpija Ljubljana
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
MTK Budapest
4
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Koper
2
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Sturm Graz
6
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
HNK Hajduk Split
0
1
L
18.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kudrivka
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kryvbas KR
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Oleksandria
2
0
W
09.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Veres Rivne
3
0
W
H2H: Obolon'-Brovar vs LNZ Cherkasy
24.05.26
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
06.12.25
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
Obolon'-Brovar
3
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
09.11.24
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
Obolon'-Brovar
0
1
W
20.07.24
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
2
0
W
09.07.24
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
Obolon'-Brovar
2
0
L
04.05.24
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
29.10.23
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
Obolon'-Brovar
3
0
L
15.10.22
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
LNZ Cherkasy
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
Last matches: Obolon'-Brovar
24.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Kolos Kovalivka II
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Chernihiv
3
2
W
10.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
UCSA
0
0
D
07.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0
0
D
03.07.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Nyva Vinnytsya
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
SK Poltava
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Zorya Luhansk
3
3
D
07.03.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Kryvbas KR
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Pakhtakor
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
HB Koge
3
3
D
05.02.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Petrocub
0
1
L
28.01.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Prishtina
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Obolon'-Brovar
Feronikeli
1
1
D
12.12.25
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
3
L
28.11.25
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
6
L
H2H at home: Obolon'-Brovar
24.05.26
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
10.05.25
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
2
0
W
04.05.24
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
15.10.22
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
W
Last matches: LNZ Cherkasy
14.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Olimpija Ljubljana
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
MTK Budapest
4
0
W
05.07.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Koper
2
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Sturm Graz
6
2
W
18.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kudrivka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Karpaty
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Kryvbas KR
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Veres Rivne
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Kolos Kovalivka
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
21.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
LNZ Cherkasy
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
21.11.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
SK Poltava
2
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
H2H away: LNZ Cherkasy
24.05.26
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
W
10.05.25
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
0
0
D
20.07.24
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
2
0
L
04.05.24
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
L
15.10.22
H2H
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
1
0
L

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga