UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
03.05.2026 10:00
Obolon Arena
Referee: D. Kubryak
Obolon'-Brovar
Match Timeline
Kudrivka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
23'
P. Polehenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
40'
Oleksii Husiev
Kudrivka
🔄
41'
O. Belyaev ↔ Y. Morozko
Kudrivka
🟨
46'
Denys Ustymenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
46'
Yuriy Potimkov
Kudrivka
🟨
54'
Taras Moroz
Obolon'-Brovar
🟨
59'
Oleksandr Zhovtenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
64'
I. Medynskyi ↔ K. Bychek
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
66'
V. Adeoye ↔ B. Veklyak
Kudrivka
🔄
66'
O. Kozak ↔ D. Svityukha
Kudrivka
🔄
66'
R. Owusu ↔ A. Lyegostayev
Kudrivka
🔄
72'
D. Ustymenko ↔ D. Teslyuk
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
73'
S. Sukhanov ↔ Y. Shevchenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
79'
A. Glushchenko ↔ K. Makosso
Kudrivka
🔄
86'
M. Chekh ↔ R. Chernenko
Obolon'-Brovar
🔄
86'
M. Tretyakov ↔ A. Kulakovskyi
Obolon'-Brovar
⚽
90'
B. Veklyak · Assist: A. Lyegostayev
Kudrivka

Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Obolon'-Brovar Win 63.2%
Draw 6.6%
Kudrivka Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Obolon'-Brovar1.15
Kudrivka1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
WWDLW
19 GF / 42 GA
Kudrivka Kudrivka
WLDWL
26 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
11
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
13
1.86
Shots on Goal
1.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 24 matches
Kudrivka Kudrivka 25 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Statistic Kudrivka
5 Wins 5
8 Draws 6
11 Losses 14
19 Goals For 26
42 Goals Against 42
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
11 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 3
11 Failed To Score 8
1.86 Shots On Goal 1.86
6.77 Total Shots 7
2.91 Corners 2.95
31.3% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kudrivka. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Obolon'-Brovar Analysis

Obolon'-Brovar sit 11 with 26 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 22:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Ustymenko (6 goals), S. Sukhanov (4 goals), O. Slobodyan (2 goals), with creative support from Oleh Illin (2 assists), Yevgeniy Shevchenko (2 assists), O. Slobodyan (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kudrivka Analysis

With 21 points from 25 games and a place of 13, Kudrivka still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 26:42, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Storchous (8 goals), Oleksandr Kozak (4 goals), Vladyslav Shapoval (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Morozko (3 assists), Oleksii Husiev (2 assists), A. Storchous (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Obolon'-Brovar won 1 times, Kudrivka won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Obolon'-Brovar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Obolon'-Brovar 4-2-3-1 / Kudrivka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Obolon'-Brovar wins 1, draws 2, Kudrivka wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga