Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nzoia Sugar
33 matches
Naivas
33 matches
| Nzoia Sugar | Statistic | Naivas |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 14 |
| 14 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 10 |
| 33 | Goals For | 40 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Naivas. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Naivas having the stronger overall control.
From their first 33 matches, Nzoia Sugar have collected 44 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 14 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 33:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Naivas sit 7 with 51 points after 33 league matches. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 40:27 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Nzoia Sugar won 2 times, Naivas won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Nzoia Sugar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
Mwatate United
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
Gucha Stars
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
Talanta
Naivas
3K
Naivas
Migori Youth
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
MCF
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
MOFA
Naivas
Luanda Villa
Naivas
Soy United
Naivas
Equity Bank
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
Migori Youth
Naivas
3K
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
3K
Naivas
Mwatate United
Naivas
Gucha Stars
Naivas
Talanta
Naivas
Migori Youth
Naivas
MCF
Naivas
MOFA
Naivas
Soy United
Naivas
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
3K
Naivas
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
Darajani Gogo
Naivas
Luanda Villa
Naivas
Equity Bank
Naivas
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
Fortune Sacco
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 77 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 58:25 | 33 | 73 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 36 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 49:31 | 18 | 72 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 36 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 71 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 50:29 | 21 | 62 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Naivas
Away
|
36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 45:27 | 18 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 57 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 46:37 | 9 | 54 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 31:30 | 1 | 53 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 30:27 | 3 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 |
Nzoia Sugar
Home
|
36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 12 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 29:49 | -20 | 42 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 41 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 31:36 | -5 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 21:45 | -24 | 36 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 29:50 | -21 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22:47 | -25 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 22:38 | -16 | 31 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 28:53 | -25 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 20 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 27:59 | -32 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
D
|