Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nzoia Sugar Win 0%
Draw 0%
Mwatate United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nzoia Sugar1.2
Mwatate United0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nzoia Sugar
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
Mwatate United
WLDWL
18 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
7
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nzoia Sugar
24 matches
Mwatate United
24 matches
| Nzoia Sugar | Statistic | Mwatate United |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 12 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 14 |
| 22 | Goals For | 18 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 39 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Nzoia Sugar won 1 times, Mwatate United won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Nzoia Sugar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
H2H summary: Nzoia Sugar wins 1, draws 1, Mwatate United wins 0
Last matches: Nzoia Sugar
13.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
3
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
0
2
L
24.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
3
3
D
03.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
0
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
3K
1
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
08.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
4
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
1
1
D
Last matches: Mwatate United
13.06.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Equity Bank
0
2
L
28.05.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Naivas
0
2
L
24.05.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
0
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
25.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
MOFA
2
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Talanta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Soy United
0
2
L
28.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
3
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
2
2
D
01.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Soy United
0
1
L
18.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Talanta
2
1
W
11.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
2
1
W
H2H: Nzoia Sugar vs Mwatate United
21.03.26
H2H
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
3
1
W
04.10.25
H2H
Mwatate United
Nzoia Sugar
2
2
D
Last matches: Nzoia Sugar
13.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Fortune Sacco
3
1
W
24.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Naivas
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Luanda Villa
3
3
D
19.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Darajani Gogo
2
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MOFA
0
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Equity Bank
0
1
L
01.03.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
15.02.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
18.01.26
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Soy United
0
2
L
22.12.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Migori Youth
1
0
W
12.12.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kabati Youth FC
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
MCF
0
0
D
23.11.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Kisumu All Stars
2
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
02.11.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Mombasa Elite
2
2
D
26.10.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
Talanta
0
0
D
28.09.25
Sup
Nzoia Sugar
3K
2
1
W
H2H at home: Nzoia Sugar
21.03.26
H2H
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
3
1
W
Last matches: Mwatate United
13.06.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Equity Bank
0
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Luanda Villa
0
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
25.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
MOFA
2
3
L
11.04.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Talanta
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kabati Youth FC
0
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Soy United
0
1
L
11.01.26
Sup
Mwatate United
Vihiga United FC
2
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Mombasa Elite
0
3
L
07.12.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
30.11.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Gucha Stars
0
2
L
16.11.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
02.11.25
Sup
Mwatate United
3K
1
1
D
25.10.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Naivas
1
3
L
28.09.25
Sup
Mwatate United
Migori Youth
0
1
L
H2H away: Mwatate United
21.03.26
H2H
Nzoia Sugar
Mwatate United
3
1
L
Standings
Super League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 28 | 81 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 36 | 77 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 19 | 76 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 74 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 21 | 64 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 20 | 63 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 12 | 57 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 4 | 52 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Nzoia Sugar
Home
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 50 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Mwatate United
Away
|
38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation