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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
18.10.2026 18:30
Estadio Nueva Chicago

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nueva Chicago Win 33.6%
Draw 15.8%
Gimnasia Jujuy Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nueva Chicago0.96
Gimnasia Jujuy1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WWDLW
24 GF / 32 GA
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
WLDWL
54 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.54
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
10
BTTS Yes
24
8
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 33 matches
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 35 matches
Nueva Chicago Statistic Gimnasia Jujuy
9 Wins 15
9 Draws 12
15 Losses 8
24 Goals For 54
32 Goals Against 46
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
10 BTTS Yes 24
17 Over 1.5 31
8 Over 2.5 21
3 Over 3.5 9
11 Clean Sheets 6
17 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Gimnasia Jujuy's more proactive style and Nueva Chicago's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia Jujuy. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Gimnasia Jujuy carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 54 points while Nueva Chicago sit 15 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Jujuy having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

Nueva Chicago sit 15 with 36 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 23:30 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 54 points from 32 matches. The record of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 48:40 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Nueva Chicago won 3 times, Gimnasia Jujuy won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:15 from Nueva Chicago's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: Nueva Chicago wins 3, draws 5, Gimnasia Jujuy wins 5

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 15 14 4 32:15 17 59
D D W D D
2 33 16 11 6 40:27 13 59
W W L W D
3 33 18 4 11 39:30 9 58
W W W D W
4 33 15 10 8 50:42 8 55
D L D D W
5 33 14 9 10 38:26 12 51
W D L W W
6 33 13 10 10 34:30 4 49
D L W L D
7 33 13 9 11 40:32 8 48
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 32:31 1 47
D W W L W
9 33 12 10 11 35:33 2 46
D L L W D
10 33 10 13 10 35:33 2 43
L W D L W
11 33 11 9 13 27:34 -7 42
L L L W L
12 33 11 8 14 30:39 -9 41
W W L L D
13 33 10 10 13 27:35 -8 40
W D L W L
14 33 10 9 14 30:28 2 39
L D W L W
15 33 7 16 10 29:32 -3 37
W L W D D
16 33 9 9 15 24:32 -8 36
L L W D L
17 33 9 6 18 25:35 -10 33
L W L W L
18 33 5 8 20 23:56 -33 23
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation