ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.07.2026 18:30
Estadio Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
Match Timeline
Club Atlético Güemes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
M. Vera · Assist: T. Ocampo
Nueva Chicago
🔄
46'
M. Perez ↔ T. Rodriguez
Nueva Chicago
🔄
60'
M. Vera ↔ D. Gissi
Nueva Chicago
🔄
60'
E. Cardozo ↔ M. Rogoski
Nueva Chicago
🔄
60'
D. Barros ↔ L. Ambrogio
Nueva Chicago
🟨
63'
B. Palazzo
Nueva Chicago
🔄
68'
S. G. Sala ↔ M. Gerez
Club Atlético Güemes
73'
L. Ambrogio · Assist: M. Rogoski
Nueva Chicago
🔄
76'
S. Cocimano ↔ F. Castro
Nueva Chicago
🔄
77'
M. Benitez ↔ S. Farrera
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
77'
D. Veliz ↔ G. Pugliese
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
81'
W. Juarez ↔ F. Melillan
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
81'
G. Baier ↔ T. Amilivia
Club Atlético Güemes
🟨
88'
G. Paz
Nueva Chicago
🟨
88'
E. Lazza
Club Atlético Güemes

Nueva Chicago vs Club Atlético Güemes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nueva Chicago Win 76.2%
Draw 15.3%
Club Atlético Güemes Win 8.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nueva Chicago1.2
Club Atlético Güemes0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WWDLW
15 GF / 16 GA
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WLDWL
18 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
6
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 17 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 18 matches
Nueva Chicago Statistic Club Atlético Güemes
5 Wins 5
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 9
15 Goals For 18
16 Goals Against 30
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
6 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Club Atlético Güemes having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club Atlético Güemes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Atlético Güemes.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

Nueva Chicago are currently 11 in the standings with 22 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

Club Atlético Güemes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 19 points from 18 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 18:30, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Nueva Chicago won 2 times, Club Atlético Güemes won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Nueva Chicago's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Nueva Chicago 4-1-4-1 / Club Atlético Güemes -
H2H summary: Nueva Chicago wins 2, draws 0, Club Atlético Güemes wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation