ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
23.06.2026 21:30
Estadio Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
Match Timeline
Atletico DE Rafaela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
F. Ponce
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
42'
F. Ponce ↔ L. Moscoloni
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
47'
L. Flores
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
61'
M. Vera ↔ L. Ambrogio
Nueva Chicago
🟨
64'
D. Barros
Nueva Chicago
🔄
68'
M. Pardo ↔ F. Nouet
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
68'
F. Soloa ↔ M. Fernandez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
75'
D. Barros ↔ T. Rodriguez
Nueva Chicago
🔄
75'
M. Perez ↔ R. Balbuena
Nueva Chicago
🔄
81'
N. Cainelli ↔ E. Pepino
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
81'
M. Moreno ↔ M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
84'
G. Paz ↔ E. Carrizo
Nueva Chicago
🔄
84'
T. Ocampo ↔ M. S. Romero
Nueva Chicago
🟨
90+2'
R. Ramirez
Atletico DE Rafaela

Nueva Chicago vs Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.5%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nueva Chicago Win 35.1%
Draw 25.5%
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nueva Chicago0.9
Atletico DE Rafaela0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WWDLW
15 GF / 16 GA
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 16 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 18 matches
Nueva Chicago Statistic Atletico DE Rafaela
5 Wins 7
6 Draws 5
5 Losses 6
15 Goals For 14
16 Goals Against 15
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico DE Rafaela having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atletico DE Rafaela. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico DE Rafaela carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 25 points while Nueva Chicago sit 14 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

With 18 points from 14 games and a place of 14, Nueva Chicago still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 13:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on S. Cocimano (5 goals), A. Ruiz (2 goals), L. Ambrogio (2 goals), with creative support from T. Ocampo (3 assists), E. Mendez (1 assists), B. Palazzo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

Atletico DE Rafaela come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 25 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:12 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on M. Moreno (6 goals), I. Protti (2 goals), A. Obando (1 goals), with creative support from L. Flores (2 assists), C. Leineker (2 assists), E. Wuattier (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nueva Chicago won 3 times, Atletico DE Rafaela won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Nueva Chicago's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.5%)
Predicted formations: Nueva Chicago 4-1-4-1 / Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nueva Chicago wins 3, draws 3, Atletico DE Rafaela wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 14 12 4 31:15 16 54
D D D W L
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 30 15 4 11 34:28 6 49
D W W L L
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 30 8 9 13 22:29 -7 33
D L W L L
16 30 5 16 9 24:31 -7 31
D D D L W
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation