Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Novorizontino
14 matches
Vila Nova
14 matches
| Novorizontino | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 22 | Goals For | 22 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.71 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 13.79 | Total Shots | 13.21 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 4.64 |
| 47.9% | Ball Possession | 52.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vila Nova. Vila Nova look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Placed 5 with 21 points from 13 outings, Novorizontino continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 20:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Robson (6 goals), Romulo (3 goals), Carlao (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (6 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 2 place with 25 points from 13 games, Vila Nova bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 18:12, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Rafael Silva (3 goals), Ryan (3 goals), André Luís (2 goals), with creative support from Janderson (4 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Ryan (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 4 times, Vila Nova won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Novorizontino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.
Novorizontino
5
3
7
1
6
5
Lineups
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Goias
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
Ceara
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
Avai
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
CRB
Novorizontino
Juventude
Novorizontino
Londrina
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Avai
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Ceara
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
CRB
Novorizontino
Londrina
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 31 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Novorizontino
Home
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17:8 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 25 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 20 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 17 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11:33 | -22 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
