BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: G. Bauermann
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Betão
Nautico Recife
VAR
16'
Robson
Novorizontino
🟨
29'
Matheus Bianqui
Novorizontino
31'
Dodo
Nautico Recife
🟨
39'
Reginaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Matheus Bianqui ↔ Luis Oyama
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Diego Galo ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
63'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
66'
Reginaldo ↔ Matheus Ribeiro
Nautico Recife
🔄
66'
Victor Andrade ↔ Junior Todinho
Nautico Recife
67'
Juninho · Assist: Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
71'
Leonai Souza ↔ Luiz Felipe
Nautico Recife
🟨
74'
Jordi
Novorizontino
76'
Dodo
Nautico Recife
79'
Robson
Novorizontino
🔄
86'
N. Castrillon ↔ Kauan Alemao
Novorizontino
🔄
86'
Igor Fernandes ↔ Arnaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
86'
↔ Felipe Saraiva
Nautico Recife
🔄
88'
Romulo ↔ Tavinho
Novorizontino
🟨
90+3'
Juninho
Novorizontino
🟨
90+5'
Derek Freitas
Nautico Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.19
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.7%
1.36
BTTS Yes
75%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.19
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.5%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 47.5%
Draw 8.3%
Nautico Recife Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.3
Nautico Recife1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
18 GF / 11 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 12 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 12 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Nautico Recife
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 1
2 Losses 5
18 Goals For 16
11 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.92 Total Shots 15.83
5.17 Corners 5.92
45.4% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Novorizontino Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Novorizontino have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Robson (3 goals), Carlao (2 goals), Romulo (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 19 points after 11 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 16:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Vinícius (5 goals), Dodo (2 goals), Junior Todinho (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 1 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Novorizontino's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 1, draws 1, Nautico Recife wins 1
Stats
Novorizontino Novorizontino
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 21
4 Offsides 4
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
335 Total passes 337
246 Passes accurate 262
1.75 expected_goals 1.28
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Novorizontino
Formation
Nautico Recife
Jordi
Jordi
N. Castrillon
N. Castrillon
Gabriel Bahia
Gabriel Bahia
Patrick
Patrick
Maykon Jesus
Maykon Jesus
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
Leo Naldi
Leo Naldi
Vinicius Paiva
Vinicius Paiva
Romulo
Romulo
Diego Galo
Diego Galo
Robson
Robson
Muriel Becker
Muriel Becker
Reginaldo
Reginaldo
Wanderson
Wanderson
Betao
Betao
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Leonai Souza
Leonai Souza
Wenderson
Wenderson
Vinicius
Vinicius
Dodo
⚽ 2
Dodo
Victor Andrade
Victor Andrade
Derek
Derek
Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
93
Jordi
🟨 74'
G
20
N. Castrillon
↓ 86'
D
26
Gabriel Bahia
D
4
Patrick
D
66
Maykon Jesus
D
17
Matheus Bianqui
↓ 46' 🟨 29'
M
18
Leo Naldi
M
16
Vinicius Paiva
↓ 63'
M
10
Romulo
↓ 88'
M
19
Diego Galo
↓ 46'
M
11
Robson
⚽ 79'
F
Substitutes
31
Cesar Augusto
G
6
Luis Oyama
↑ 46'
M
27
Diego Mathias
F
15
Tavinho
↑ 88'
F
21
Kauan Alemao
↑ 86'
D
8
C. Ortiz
F
30
Nicolas Careca
F
14
Eduardo Brock
D
77
Helio Borges
F
50
Juninho
⚽ 67' ↑ 46' 🟨 90+3'
M
22
Ivan Alvarino
M
9
Carlao
🎯 67' ↑ 63'
F
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel Becker
G
93
Reginaldo
↓ 66' 🟨 39'
D
34
Wanderson
D
3
Betao
🟨 11'
D
23
Igor Fernandes
↓ 86'
D
19
Leonai Souza
↓ 71'
M
8
Wenderson
M
7
Vinicius
M
10
Dodo
⚽ 31' ⚽ 76'
M
11
Victor Andrade
↓ 66'
M
72
Derek
🟨 90+5'
F
Substitutes
55
G. Guruceaga
G
5
Auremir
M
46
Gustavo Henrique
41
Samuel Felix
M
16
Luiz Claudio
F
77
Juninho
M
2
Arnaldo
↑ 86'
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
↑ 66'
D
29
Junior Todinho
↑ 66'
F
98
Felipe Saraiva
↑ 86'
F
27
Luiz Felipe
↑ 71'
M
66
Leo Jance
D
Last matches: Novorizontino
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
Last matches: Nautico Recife
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H: Novorizontino vs Nautico Recife
14.06.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
15.10.22
H2H
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
6
0
W
02.07.22
H2H
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
3
1
L
Last matches: Novorizontino
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
H2H at home: Novorizontino
14.06.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
15.10.22
H2H
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
6
0
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
H2H away: Nautico Recife
14.06.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
15.10.22
H2H
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
6
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 3.23
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.39
Draw 2.15
Home 2.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 1.75 1.47
Over 2.0 1.62
Over 2.25 1.91
Over 2.5 2.19
Over 2.75 2.55
Over 3.5 3.97
Under 1.5 3.18
Under 1.75 2.79
Under 2.0 2.38
Under 2.25 1.95
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.54
Under 3.5 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 3.20
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.10
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.30
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.15
Over 3.5 3.75
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.56
Draw 3.15
Home 2.11
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.41
Draw 1.97
Home 2.73
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.89
Draw 2.33
Home 2.42
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.06
Over 1.25 1.19
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.43
Over 2.0 1.56
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 2.75 2.44
Over 3.0 2.96
Over 3.25 3.23
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 3.75 4.44
Over 4.0 6.15
Over 4.25 6.49
Over 4.5 6.80
Over 5.5 17.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 7.20
Under 0.75 6.60
Under 1.0 6.05
Under 1.25 3.74
Under 1.5 2.83
Under 1.75 2.53
Under 2.0 2.20
Under 2.25 1.88
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 2.75 1.52
Under 3.0 1.32
Under 3.25 1.26
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 3.75 1.14
Under 4.0 1.06
Under 4.25 1.05
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.25
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.08
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.45
Home 2.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.34
Over 1.75 1.45
Over 2.0 1.60
Over 2.25 1.87
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 2.75 2.50
Over 3.0 3.20
Over 3.25 3.55
Over 3.5 3.95
Over 4.5 8.50
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.00
Under 1.75 2.65
Under 2.0 2.28
Under 2.25 1.89
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 2.75 1.50
Under 3.0 1.33
Under 3.25 1.27
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.05

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 4 2 20:10 10 25
D W D W D
2 13 7 4 2 18:12 6 25
L W W W W
3 14 6 7 1 17:9 8 25
D D D W W
4 13 6 3 4 15:14 1 21
L W L W L
5 13 5 6 2 20:13 7 21
D W D W D
6 13 5 6 2 15:11 4 21
D W W D D
7 13 6 2 5 18:14 4 20
D L L W W
8 13 5 4 4 13:8 5 19
W L W L D
9 13 5 4 4 15:17 -2 19
L W W D L
10 13 4 7 2 9:6 3 19
W W W L D
11 13 4 7 2 15:13 2 19
D D W W D
12 13 5 3 5 13:18 -5 18
D L D W W
13 14 4 6 4 16:16 0 18
D D W D L
14 13 4 5 4 15:15 0 17
D W L L W
15 13 4 3 6 22:23 -1 15
D L L W W
16 13 3 4 6 13:13 0 13
W L D L L
17 13 3 2 8 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
18 13 2 4 7 14:20 -6 10
L L L L L
19 13 2 2 9 10:25 -15 8
L L D L L
20 13 1 3 9 10:24 -14 6
W L L L D
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