BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: G. Bauermann
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Betão
Nautico Recife
VAR
16'
Robson
Novorizontino
🟨
29'
Matheus Bianqui
Novorizontino
31'
Dodo
Nautico Recife
🟨
39'
Reginaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Matheus Bianqui ↔ Luis Oyama
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Diego Galo ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
63'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
66'
Reginaldo ↔ Matheus Ribeiro
Nautico Recife
🔄
66'
Victor Andrade ↔ Junior Todinho
Nautico Recife
67'
Juninho · Assist: Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
71'
Leonai Souza ↔ Luiz Felipe
Nautico Recife
🟨
74'
Jordi
Novorizontino
76'
Dodo
Nautico Recife
79'
Robson
Novorizontino
🔄
86'
N. Castrillon ↔ Kauan Alemao
Novorizontino
🔄
86'
Igor Fernandes ↔ Arnaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
86'
↔ Felipe Saraiva
Nautico Recife
🔄
88'
Romulo ↔ Tavinho
Novorizontino
🟨
90+3'
Juninho
Novorizontino
🟨
90+5'
Derek Freitas
Nautico Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 47.5%
Draw 8.3%
Nautico Recife Win 44.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.3
Nautico Recife1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
18 GF / 11 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 12 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 12 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Nautico Recife
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 1
2 Losses 5
18 Goals For 16
11 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.92 Total Shots 15.83
5.17 Corners 5.92
45.4% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Novorizontino Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Novorizontino have collected 17 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Robson (3 goals), Carlao (2 goals), Romulo (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 19 points after 11 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 16:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Vinícius (5 goals), Dodo (2 goals), Junior Todinho (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), Yuri (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 1 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Novorizontino's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 1, draws 1, Nautico Recife wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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