SERBIA SUPER LIGA
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Gradski Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.1%
1.58
BTTS No
50.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.74
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.9%
1.02
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 3-0
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Novi Pazar Win 83.1%
Draw 8.5%
Macva Win 8.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novi Pazar1.06
Macva1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novi Pazar Novi Pazar
WWDLW
10 GF / 16 GA
Macva Macva
WLDWL
14 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
1
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
8
5.33
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 13 matches
Macva Macva 14 matches
Novi Pazar Statistic Macva
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
10 Goals For 14
16 Goals Against 21
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
5.33 Shots On Goal 2
13.67 Total Shots 8.33
4.5 Corners 2.5
47% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Macva. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Macva arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Novi Pazar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 7 points compared to Macva in 13 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Novi Pazar Analysis

So far, Novi Pazar have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 4:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Kaheim Dixon (1 goals), Vieiri Kotzebue (1 goals), Fejsal Mulić (1 goals), with creative support from Kaheim Dixon (1 assists), Dauda Agwom (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Macva Analysis

Macva sit 13 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 3:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Milan Vidakov (2 goals), with creative support from Slobodan Sladojević (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Novi Pazar won 1 times, Macva won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Novi Pazar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Novi Pazar 4-2-3-1 / Macva 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Novi Pazar wins 1, draws 1, Macva wins 1
Last matches: Novi Pazar
23.08.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
1
L
17.08.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Vojvodina
2
0
W
08.08.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
2
L
01.08.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
1
4
L
26.07.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Mladost Lucani
0
0
D
18.07.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnicki 1923
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Akhmat
1
1
D
01.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Macva
1
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Mladost Lucani
1
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Vojvodina
0
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Železničar Pančevo
2
2
D
09.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
2
2
D
22.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
1
5
L
09.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
2
3
L
04.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Železničar Pančevo
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Javor
0
0
D
Last matches: Macva
22.08.26
Sup
Macva
Radnicki NIS
1
0
W
15.08.26
Sup
Macva
Radnik Surdulica
1
2
L
09.08.26
Sup
Macva
IMT Novi Beograd
1
0
W
03.08.26
Sup
Macva
Vojvodina
0
2
L
26.07.26
Sup
Macva
FK Partizan
1
3
L
17.07.26
Sup
Macva
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
Macva
Naftagas
1
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Macva
Naftagas
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Macva
Loznica
0
0
D
05.07.26
Fri
Macva
Mladost Lucani
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Macva
Novi Pazar
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Macva
Petrovac
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Macva
Zemun
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Macva
Radnik Bijeljina
4
1
W
H2H: Novi Pazar vs Macva
01.07.26
H2H
Macva
Novi Pazar
2
1
L
27.02.21
H2H
Novi Pazar
Macva
4
0
W
23.08.20
H2H
Macva
Novi Pazar
1
1
D
Last matches: Novi Pazar
17.08.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Vojvodina
2
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
1
4
L
18.07.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnicki 1923
1
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Radnik Surdulica
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Akhmat
1
1
D
17.05.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Železničar Pančevo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
2
2
D
18.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
1
5
L
09.04.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
2
3
L
15.03.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
TSC Backa Topola
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
2
1
W
01.02.26
Sup
Novi Pazar
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2
2
D
20.01.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
1
L
16.01.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Karviná
2
1
W
13.01.26
Fri
Novi Pazar
Akhmat
1
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Radnicki NIS
1
0
W
29.11.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Napredak
2
1
W
02.11.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Železničar Pančevo
1
0
W
24.10.25
Sup
Novi Pazar
Javor
1
2
L
H2H at home: Novi Pazar
27.02.21
H2H
Novi Pazar
Macva
4
0
W
Last matches: Macva
15.08.26
Sup
Macva
Radnik Surdulica
1
2
L
03.08.26
Sup
Macva
Vojvodina
0
2
L
17.07.26
Sup
Macva
FK Crvena Zvezda
0
5
L
11.07.26
Fri
Macva
Loznica
0
0
D
05.07.26
Fri
Macva
Mladost Lucani
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Macva
Radnik Bijeljina
4
1
W
H2H away: Macva
27.02.21
H2H
Novi Pazar
Macva
4
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.85
Draw 3.93
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.34
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 1.95
Over 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 2.57
Over 3.5 2.87
Under 2.0 3.03
Under 2.25 2.37
Under 2.5 2.05
Under 2.75 1.84
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.38
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.75
Draw 4.10
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.50
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 8.50
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.06
Draw 3.90
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.36
Draw 2.26
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.96
Draw 2.67
Home 1.89
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.53
Over 2.5 1.72
Over 2.75 1.89
Over 3.0 2.17
Over 3.25 2.48
Over 3.5 2.74
Over 3.75 3.29
Over 4.0 4.40
Over 4.25 4.75
Over 4.5 5.10
Over 4.75 6.40
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 9.90
Over 6.5 12.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.30
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.30
Under 1.25 5.25
Under 1.5 3.78
Under 1.75 3.37
Under 2.0 2.92
Under 2.25 2.33
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 2.75 1.78
Under 3.0 1.55
Under 3.25 1.44
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 3.50
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.25
Home 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.82
Over 3.5 3.00
Under 1.5 3.30
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 3.5 1.30