ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
Wembley Stadium
Referee: T. Reeves
Notts County
Match Timeline
Salford City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Nick Tsaroulla
Notts County
32'
A. Jatta · Assist: J. Jones
Notts County
🟨
44'
Haji Mnoga
Salford City
45'
L. Ness · Assist: R. McDonald
Notts County
🔄
46'
M. Butcher ↔ B. Woodburn
Salford City
🟨
57'
Lucas Ness
Notts County
🔄
60'
B. Cooper ↔ F. Borini
Salford City
🔄
60'
R. Longelo-Mbule ↔ K. Harris
Salford City
🔄
68'
J. Luker ↔ C. Grant
Notts County
70'
J. Jones · Assist: C. Grant
Notts County
🔄
78'
O. Norburn ↔ M. Palmer
Notts County
🔄
85'
J. Austerfield ↔ C. Stockton
Salford City
🔄
86'
J. Jones ↔ Q. Kouhyar
Notts County
🔄
86'
A. Jatta ↔ L. Ndlovu
Notts County
🔄
87'
N. Tsaroulla ↔ K. Bennetts
Notts County
🟨
90+3'
Ben Woodburn
Salford City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Notts County Win 47.2%
Draw 18.6%
Salford City Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Notts County1.39
Salford City1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Notts County Notts County
WWDLW
77 GF / 54 GA
Salford City Salford City
WLDWL
73 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
27
BTTS Yes
26
27
Over 2.5
24
4.35
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Notts County Notts County 49 matches
Salford City Salford City 52 matches
Notts County Statistic Salford City
25 Wins 28
10 Draws 8
14 Losses 16
77 Goals For 73
54 Goals Against 59
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
27 BTTS Yes 26
36 Over 1.5 35
27 Over 2.5 24
14 Over 3.5 15
15 Clean Sheets 16
9 Failed To Score 14
4.35 Shots On Goal 4.53
11.06 Total Shots 13.45
4.78 Corners 5.59
54.7% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Salford City have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Notts County needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Salford City controlled more possession in the first leg (53% against 47%). Salford City carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 7 shots on goal compared to 1. Salford City circulated the ball more often, making 365 passes to 326 and completing 250. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Salford City. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Salford City having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Notts County Analysis

Notts County enter this tie with a season profile built on 80 points from 46 matches, placing them 5 in their league. The return of 24 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 74:52 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by M. Dennis (15 goals), A. Jatta (14 goals), J. Jones (8 goals), with creative support from Tom Iorpenda (7 assists), N. Tsaroulla (5 assists), J. Jones (4 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Salford City Analysis

Salford City come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 81 points from 46 matches. Their record of 25 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with goals at 61:51 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on D. Udoh (10 goals), A. Oluwo (7 goals), K. Cesay (6 goals), with creative support from D. Udoh (7 assists), L. Garbutt (6 assists), K. N'Mai (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Notts County won 2 times, Salford City won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Notts County's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Notts County 4-4-2 / Salford City 4-4-2
H2H summary: Notts County wins 2, draws 0, Salford City wins 6
Stats
Notts County Notts County
Salford City Salford City
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 3
0 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
416 Total passes 274
340 Passes accurate 196
0.99 expected_goals 0.54
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Salford City
Formation
Notts County
M. Young
M. Young
H. Mnoga
H. Mnoga
A. Oluwo
A. Oluwo
B. Cooper
B. Cooper
L. Garbutt
L. Garbutt
R. Graydon
R. Graydon
M. Butcher
M. Butcher
J. Austerfield
J. Austerfield
R. Longelo-Mbule
R. Longelo-Mbule
K. Cesay
K. Cesay
D. Udoh
D. Udoh
J. Belshaw
J. Belshaw
L. Ness
L. Ness
R. McDonald
🎯
R. McDonald
J. Bedeau
J. Bedeau
N. Tsaroulla
N. Tsaroulla
O. Norburn
O. Norburn
S. Robertson
S. Robertson
J. Jones
🎯
J. Jones
T. Iorpenda
T. Iorpenda
J. Luker
J. Luker
A. Jatta
A. Jatta
Salford City 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
M. Young
G
19
H. Mnoga
🟨 44'
D
22
A. Oluwo
D
15
B. Cooper
↓ 60'
D
29
L. Garbutt
D
26
R. Graydon
M
18
M. Butcher
↓ 46'
M
17
J. Austerfield
↓ 85'
M
45
R. Longelo-Mbule
↓ 60'
M
21
K. Cesay
F
23
D. Udoh
F
Substitutes
33
M. Howard
G
16
F. Borini
↑ 60'
F
9
C. Stockton
↑ 85'
F
7
B. Woodburn
↑ 46' 🟨 90+3'
M
24
A. Dorrington
D
6
O. Turton
D
14
K. Harris
↑ 60'
F
Notts County 3-4-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
J. Belshaw
G
12
L. Ness
⚽ 45' 🟨 57'
D
3
R. McDonald
🎯 45'
D
4
J. Bedeau
D
25
N. Tsaroulla
↓ 87' 🟨 22'
M
8
O. Norburn
↓ 78'
M
20
S. Robertson
M
10
J. Jones
⚽ 70' 🎯 32' ↓ 86'
M
14
T. Iorpenda
F
16
J. Luker
↓ 68'
F
29
A. Jatta
⚽ 32' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
21
H. Griffiths
G
18
M. Palmer
↑ 78'
M
17
Q. Kouhyar
↑ 86'
M
19
M. Dennis
F
39
L. Ndlovu
↑ 86'
F
47
K. Bennetts
↑ 87'
M
11
C. Grant
🎯 70' ↑ 68'
M
Last matches: Notts County
15.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Colchester
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Cambridge United
0
4
L
06.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Newport County
3
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Harrogate Town
2
0
W
24.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Oldham
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Cheltenham
5
2
W
17.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Accrington ST
4
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Walsall
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Grimsby
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Tranmere
5
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Shrewsbury
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Bromley
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Barrow
2
1
W
03.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Gillingham
1
0
W
Last matches: Salford City
15.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Crawley Town
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Bromley
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Oldham
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Gillingham
0
0
D
06.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Crewe
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Notts County
2
1
W
28.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Cambridge United
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Barrow
3
1
W
14.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Walsall
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Barnet
2
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Colchester
1
0
W
24.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Shrewsbury
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Cheltenham
2
3
L
17.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Newport County
1
3
L
14.02.26
FA
Salford City
Manchester City
0
2
L
H2H: Notts County vs Salford City
25.05.26
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
3
0
W
03.04.26
H2H
Salford City
Notts County
2
1
L
09.08.25
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
11.04.25
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
3
L
14.12.24
H2H
Salford City
Notts County
3
0
L
23.03.24
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
15.09.23
H2H
Salford City
Notts County
0
2
W
06.11.15
H2H
Salford City
Notts County
2
0
L
Last matches: Notts County
15.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Newport County
3
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Cheltenham
5
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Grimsby
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Tranmere
5
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Barrow
2
1
W
03.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Gillingham
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Swindon Town
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Crewe
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Accrington ST
0
1
L
20.12.25
Lea
Notts County
Walsall
0
0
D
09.12.25
Lea
Notts County
Milton Keynes Dons
3
2
W
22.11.25
Lea
Notts County
Colchester
1
3
L
15.11.25
Lea
Notts County
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lea
Notts County
Cambridge United
2
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Notts County
Oldham
3
1
W
20.09.25
Lea
Notts County
Crawley Town
4
0
W
H2H at home: Notts County
25.05.26
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
3
0
W
09.08.25
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
11.04.25
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
3
L
23.03.24
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
Last matches: Salford City
10.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Salford City
Crawley Town
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Oldham
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Salford City
Crewe
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Cambridge United
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
03.03.26
Lea
Salford City
Grimsby
1
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Colchester
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Cheltenham
2
3
L
14.02.26
FA
Salford City
Manchester City
0
2
L
05.02.26
Lea
Salford City
Accrington ST
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Tranmere
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Swindon Town
3
2
W
01.01.26
Lea
Salford City
Barrow
2
1
W
20.12.25
Lea
Salford City
Barnet
3
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Salford City
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lea
Salford City
Bromley
0
2
L
15.11.25
Lea
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
0
2
L
25.10.25
Lea
Salford City
Gillingham
2
1
W
11.10.25
Lea
Salford City
Chesterfield
0
2
L
H2H away: Salford City
25.05.26
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
3
0
L
09.08.25
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
W
11.04.25
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
3
W
23.03.24
H2H
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
W

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L