Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Notts County
Salford City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Notts County
49 matches
Salford City
52 matches
| Notts County | Statistic | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 28 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 16 |
| 77 | Goals For | 73 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 11.06 | Total Shots | 13.45 |
| 4.78 | Corners | 5.59 |
| 54.7% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Salford City have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Notts County needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Salford City controlled more possession in the first leg (53% against 47%). Salford City carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 7 shots on goal compared to 1. Salford City circulated the ball more often, making 365 passes to 326 and completing 250. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Salford City. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Salford City having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Notts County enter this tie with a season profile built on 80 points from 46 matches, placing them 5 in their league. The return of 24 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 74:52 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by M. Dennis (15 goals), A. Jatta (14 goals), J. Jones (8 goals), with creative support from Tom Iorpenda (7 assists), N. Tsaroulla (5 assists), J. Jones (4 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Salford City come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 81 points from 46 matches. Their record of 25 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with goals at 61:51 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on D. Udoh (10 goals), A. Oluwo (7 goals), K. Cesay (6 goals), with creative support from D. Udoh (7 assists), L. Garbutt (6 assists), K. N'Mai (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Notts County won 2 times, Salford City won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Notts County's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.88 goals per game.
Notts County
5
2
2
3
0
2
Lineups
Notts County
Chesterfield
Notts County
Chesterfield
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
Colchester
Notts County
Barnet
Notts County
Cambridge United
Notts County
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Notts County
Harrogate Town
Notts County
Oldham
Notts County
Cheltenham
Notts County
Accrington ST
Notts County
Chesterfield
Notts County
Walsall
Notts County
Grimsby
Notts County
Tranmere
Notts County
Shrewsbury
Notts County
Bromley
Notts County
Barrow
Notts County
Gillingham
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Crawley Town
Salford City
Bromley
Salford City
Oldham
Salford City
Gillingham
Salford City
Crewe
Salford City
Notts County
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford City
Cambridge United
Salford City
Barrow
Salford City
Harrogate Town
Salford City
Walsall
Salford City
Barnet
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Colchester
Salford City
Shrewsbury
Salford City
Cheltenham
Salford City
Newport County
Salford City
Manchester City
Notts County
Chesterfield
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
Notts County
Barnet
Notts County
Newport County
Notts County
Cheltenham
Notts County
Chesterfield
Notts County
Grimsby
Notts County
Tranmere
Notts County
Barrow
Notts County
Gillingham
Notts County
Swindon Town
Notts County
Crewe
Notts County
Accrington ST
Notts County
Walsall
Notts County
Milton Keynes Dons
Notts County
Colchester
Notts County
Harrogate Town
Notts County
Cambridge United
Notts County
Oldham
Notts County
Crawley Town
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Crawley Town
Salford City
Oldham
Salford City
Crewe
Salford City
Cambridge United
Salford City
Harrogate Town
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Colchester
Salford City
Cheltenham
Salford City
Manchester City
Salford City
Accrington ST
Salford City
Tranmere
Salford City
Swindon Town
Salford City
Barrow
Salford City
Barnet
Salford City
Fleetwood Town
Salford City
Bromley
Salford City
Milton Keynes Dons
Salford City
Gillingham
Salford City
Chesterfield
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Salford City
Away
|
46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 5 |
Notts County
Home
|
46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|