Notts County vs Bristol Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Notts County
46 matches
Bristol Rovers
47 matches
| Notts County | Statistic | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 14 | Losses | 23 |
| 75 | Goals For | 57 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 33 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 4.46 | Shots On Goal | 3.15 |
| 11.35 | Total Shots | 11.09 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 4.54 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Notts County's more proactive style and Bristol Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Notts County arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 79 points compared to Bristol Rovers in 14 on 61, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bristol Rovers. Bristol Rovers look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bristol Rovers having the stronger overall control.
Notts County approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 79 points from 45 matches. Their record of 24 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 73:51, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Dennis (15 goals), A. Jatta (14 goals), J. Jones (8 goals), with creative support from Tom Iorpenda (6 assists), N. Tsaroulla (5 assists), J. Jones (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 13 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Bristol Rovers sit 14 with 61 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 19 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 55:64 goal record continues to suggest very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Hutchinson (16 goals), E. Harrison (10 goals), F. Cavegn (10 goals), with creative support from I. Hutchinson (4 assists), Shaqai Forde (4 assists), A. Kilgour (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Notts County won 2 times, Bristol Rovers won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Notts County's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Notts County
Home
|
46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Bristol Rovers
Away
|
46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|