ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
City Ground
Referee: P. Tierney
Nottingham Forest
Match Timeline
Newcastle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
N. Dominguez ↔ R. Yates
Nottingham Forest
🟨
49'
Igor Jesus
Nottingham Forest
🟨
54'
Ryan Yates
Nottingham Forest
🔄
61'
N. Woltemade ↔ J. Ramsey
Newcastle
🔄
61'
J. Murphy ↔ H. Barnes
Newcastle
🔄
64'
D. Bakwa ↔ O. Hutchinson
Nottingham Forest
🔄
71'
W. Osula ↔ Y. Wissa
Newcastle
🔄
73'
T. Awoniyi ↔ C. Wood
Nottingham Forest
74'
H. Barnes · Assist: J. Ramsey
Newcastle
🔄
83'
L. Netz ↔ J. McAtee
Nottingham Forest
🔄
83'
Igor Jesus ↔ L. Lucca
Nottingham Forest
88'
E. Anderson · Assist: J. McAtee
Nottingham Forest
🔄
90+5'
Bruno Guimaraes ↔ K. Trippier
Newcastle

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nottingham Forest Win 77.2%
Draw 0%
Newcastle Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nottingham Forest1.42
Newcastle1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
WWDLW
71 GF / 65 GA
Newcastle Newcastle
WLDWL
84 GF / 75 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
22
BTTS Yes
34
29
Over 2.5
35
4.73
Shots on Goal
5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 52 matches
Newcastle Newcastle 50 matches
Nottingham Forest Statistic Newcastle
19 Wins 20
13 Draws 10
20 Losses 20
71 Goals For 84
65 Goals Against 75
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
22 BTTS Yes 34
40 Over 1.5 41
29 Over 2.5 35
14 Over 3.5 20
16 Clean Sheets 12
18 Failed To Score 8
4.73 Shots On Goal 5.08
13.73 Total Shots 13.38
5.4 Corners 5.9
48.9% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Newcastle. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nottingham Forest expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Newcastle in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Newcastle having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Nottingham Forest come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Nottingham Forest Analysis

Nottingham Forest sit 16 with 42 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 44:46 goal record continues to suggest very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Gibbs-White (13 goals), Igor Jesus (6 goals), T. Awoniyi (4 goals), with creative support from M. Gibbs-White (4 assists), Igor Jesus (4 assists), C. Hudson-Odoi (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Newcastle Analysis

With 45 points from 35 games and a place of 13, Newcastle still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 49:51, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Guimarães (9 goals), N. Woltemade (8 goals), Anthony Gordon (6 goals), with creative support from Bruno Guimarães (5 assists), L. Miley (4 assists), N. Woltemade (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham Forest won 4 times, Newcastle won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:30 from Nottingham Forest's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Nottingham Forest 4-4-2 / Newcastle 4-3-3
Missing players: Nottingham Forest 8, Newcastle 4
H2H summary: Nottingham Forest wins 4, draws 2, Newcastle wins 8
Stats
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Newcastle Newcastle
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 1
16 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 9
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
421 Total passes 495
343 Passes accurate 421
1.10 expected_goals 1.48
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nottingham Forest
Formation
Newcastle
M. Sels
M. Sels
N. Milenkovic
N. Milenkovic
Cunha
Cunha
Morato
Morato
N. Williams
N. Williams
N. Dominguez
N. Dominguez
E. Anderson
E. Anderson
L. Netz
L. Netz
D. Bakwa
D. Bakwa
Igor Jesus
Igor Jesus
T. Awoniyi
T. Awoniyi
N. Pope
N. Pope
L. Hall
L. Hall
M. Thiaw
M. Thiaw
S. Botman
S. Botman
D. Burn
D. Burn
S. Tonali
S. Tonali
Bruno Guimaraes
Bruno Guimaraes
J. Murphy
J. Murphy
N. Woltemade
N. Woltemade
Joelinton
Joelinton
W. Osula
W. Osula
Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
26
M. Sels
G
31
N. Milenkovic
D
23
Cunha
D
4
Morato
D
3
N. Williams
M
16
N. Dominguez
↓ 46'
M
8
E. Anderson
⚽ 88'
M
25
L. Netz
↓ 83'
M
29
D. Bakwa
↓ 64'
F
19
Igor Jesus
↓ 83' 🟨 49'
F
9
T. Awoniyi
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
27
S. Ortega
G
11
C. Wood
↑ 73'
F
22
R. Yates
↑ 46' 🟨 54'
M
24
J. McAtee
🎯 88' ↑ 83'
M
17
E. da Silva Moreira
F
20
L. Lucca
↑ 83'
F
21
O. Hutchinson
↑ 64'
F
51
A. Whitehall
M
61
J. Sinclair
M
Newcastle 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Pope
G
3
L. Hall
D
12
M. Thiaw
D
4
S. Botman
D
33
D. Burn
D
8
S. Tonali
M
39
Bruno Guimaraes
↓ 90+5'
M
23
J. Murphy
↓ 61'
M
27
N. Woltemade
↓ 61'
M
7
Joelinton
M
18
W. Osula
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
32
A. Ramsdale
G
2
K. Trippier
↑ 90+5'
D
28
J. Willock
M
9
Y. Wissa
↑ 71'
F
10
A. Gordon
F
41
J. Ramsey
🎯 74' ↑ 61'
M
11
H. Barnes
⚽ 74' ↑ 61'
M
20
A. Elanga
F
37
A. Murphy
D
Last matches: Nottingham Forest
24.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
2
3
L
07.05.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
3
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
5
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
4
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
04.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
0
1
L
19.02.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
3
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
0
0
D
Last matches: Newcastle
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brighton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Bournemouth
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
1
1
D
07.03.26
FA
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
3
L
04.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
2
3
L
24.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
3
2
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Brentford
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Liverpool
1
4
L
H2H: Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle
10.05.26
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
05.10.25
H2H
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
2
0
L
23.02.25
H2H
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
4
3
L
10.11.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
3
L
28.08.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
2
3
L
26.12.23
H2H
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
1
3
W
17.03.23
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
2
L
06.08.22
H2H
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
2
0
L
29.08.18
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
3
1
W
23.08.17
H2H
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
2
3
W
30.12.16
H2H
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
3
1
L
02.12.16
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.11
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
3
4
L
Last matches: Nottingham Forest
24.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
4
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
26.02.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
0
1
L
11.02.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Wolves
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
17.01.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Everton
0
2
L
27.12.25
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
1
2
L
14.12.25
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
3
0
W
30.11.25
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
0
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Malmo FF
3
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
3
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
2
2
D
H2H at home: Nottingham Forest
10.05.26
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
10.11.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
3
L
28.08.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
2
3
L
17.03.23
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
2
L
29.08.18
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
3
1
W
02.12.16
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
2
1
W
20.09.11
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
3
4
L
Last matches: Newcastle
24.05.26
Pre
Newcastle
Fulham
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Arsenal
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pre
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
Newcastle
Barcelona
2
7
L
14.03.26
Pre
Newcastle
Chelsea
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.02.26
UEF
Newcastle
Qarabag
6
1
W
14.02.26
FA
Newcastle
Aston Villa
3
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Newcastle
Tottenham
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Liverpool
1
4
L
28.01.26
UEF
Newcastle
Paris Saint Germain
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pre
Newcastle
Wolves
0
0
D
30.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Burnley
3
1
W
26.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Manchester United
0
1
L
14.12.25
Pre
Newcastle
Sunderland
0
1
L
10.12.25
UEF
Newcastle
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
29.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Everton
4
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Newcastle
Marseille
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
Brentford
1
3
L
02.11.25
Pre
Newcastle
West Ham
1
3
L
H2H away: Newcastle
10.05.26
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
10.11.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
3
W
28.08.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
2
3
W
17.03.23
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
2
W
29.08.18
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
3
1
L
02.12.16
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
2
1
L
20.09.11
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
3
4
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Missing Players

Nottingham Forest 8 missing
-
W. Boly
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
John Victor
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Savona
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Z. Abbott
Questionable Concussion
OUT
-
O. Aina
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
Murillo
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Gibbs-White
Questionable Head Injury
OUT
-
C. Hudson-Odoi
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Newcastle 4 missing
-
E. Krafth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Miley
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
F. Schar
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
V. Livramento
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT