Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nottingham Forest
52 matches
Newcastle
50 matches
| Nottingham Forest | Statistic | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 20 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 20 | Losses | 20 |
| 71 | Goals For | 84 |
| 65 | Goals Against | 75 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 34 |
| 40 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 35 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 18 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.73 | Shots On Goal | 5.08 |
| 13.73 | Total Shots | 13.38 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 5.9 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 51.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Newcastle. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nottingham Forest expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Newcastle in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Newcastle having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Nottingham Forest come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Nottingham Forest sit 16 with 42 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 44:46 goal record continues to suggest very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Gibbs-White (13 goals), Igor Jesus (6 goals), T. Awoniyi (4 goals), with creative support from M. Gibbs-White (4 assists), Igor Jesus (4 assists), C. Hudson-Odoi (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 45 points from 35 games and a place of 13, Newcastle still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 49:51, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Guimarães (9 goals), N. Woltemade (8 goals), Anthony Gordon (6 goals), with creative support from Bruno Guimarães (5 assists), L. Miley (4 assists), N. Woltemade (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham Forest won 4 times, Newcastle won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:30 from Nottingham Forest's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
Home
|
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|