ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
22.08.2026 14:00
City Ground
Referee: Robert Jones, England
Nottingham Forest
Match Timeline
Leeds
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Ola Aina
Nottingham Forest
🟨
32'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
🟨
52'
Jair
Nottingham Forest
🔄
62'
D. Ndoye ↔ C. Wood
Nottingham Forest
🔄
66'
H. Wilson ↔ N. Okafor
Leeds
🔄
74'
O. Aina ↔ L. Netz
Nottingham Forest
🔄
74'
J. McAtee ↔ X. Schlager
Nottingham Forest
🔄
82'
B. Aaronson ↔ S. Longstaff
Leeds
88'
A. Stach
Leeds
🔄
90+3'
Murillo ↔ A. Kalimuendo
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nottingham Forest Win 66.9%
Draw 12.4%
Leeds Win 20.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nottingham Forest1
Leeds1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
WWDLW
13 GF / 9 GA
Leeds Leeds
WLDWL
7 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
4
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 9 matches
Leeds Leeds 3 matches
Nottingham Forest Statistic Leeds
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 0
13 Goals For 7
9 Goals Against 1
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
4 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham Forest won 5 times, Leeds won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Nottingham Forest's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 / Leeds 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nottingham Forest wins 5, draws 3, Leeds wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 7:2 5 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 6:1 5 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 3:0 3 7
D W W
4 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W
5 3 1 2 0 5:2 3 5
D D W
6 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
W D D
7 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
D W D
8 3 1 2 0 5:3 2 5
D D W
9
Leeds Away
3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
D D W
10 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
11 3 1 1 1 7:6 1 4
D W L
12 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
D W L
13 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
W L L
14 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L L W
15 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
D D L
16 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
D D L
17 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
18 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
19 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 0:5 -5 0
L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship