ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Carrow Road
Referee: Matthew Corlett, England
Norwich
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
60'
L. Mahovo ↔ B. Chrisene
Norwich
🔄
60'
J. Wright ↔ J. Makama
Norwich
🟨
66'
Jeremy Ngakia
Watford
🔄
66'
I. Louza ↔ N. Mendy
Watford
🔄
66'
J. Ngakia ↔ J. Abankwah
Watford
🔄
71'
T. Springett ↔ L. Gibbs
Norwich
🔄
79'
O. Maamma ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
83'
O. Schwartau ↔ J. Stacey
Norwich
🔄
83'
J. Sargent ↔ M. Kvistgaarden
Norwich
🔄
86'
T. Ince ↔ M. Sissoko
Watford
90'
V. Semedo · Assist: N. Irankunda
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Norwich Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Norwich1.18
Watford1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norwich Norwich
WWDLW
26 GF / 35 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
33 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
17
BTTS Yes
17
11
Over 2.5
13
3.91
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Norwich Norwich 23 matches
Watford Watford 23 matches
Norwich Statistic Watford
5 Wins 9
6 Draws 8
12 Losses 6
26 Goals For 33
35 Goals Against 29
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
17 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
3.91 Shots On Goal 4.83
12.57 Total Shots 14.13
5.13 Corners 4.52
52.3% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Norwich won 5 times, Watford won 10 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:23 from Norwich's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Norwich 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-4-2
H2H summary: Norwich wins 5, draws 0, Watford wins 10
Stats
Norwich Norwich
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
8 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 2
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
446 Total passes 370
350 Passes accurate 278
0.95 expected_goals 0.36
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Norwich
Formation
Watford
V. Kovacevic
V. Kovacevic
K. Fisher
K. Fisher
R. McConville
R. McConville
H. Darling
H. Darling
L. Mahovo
L. Mahovo
P. Mattsson
P. Mattsson
K. McLean
K. McLean
T. Springett
T. Springett
J. Wright
J. Wright
O. Schwartau
O. Schwartau
J. Sargent
J. Sargent
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
M. Alleyne
M. Alleyne
M. Bola
M. Bola
T. Ince
T. Ince
H. Kyprianou
H. Kyprianou
I. Louza
I. Louza
O. Maamma
O. Maamma
G. Chakvetadze
G. Chakvetadze
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
Norwich 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Kovacevic
G
35
K. Fisher
D
15
R. McConville
D
6
H. Darling
D
47
L. Mahovo
↓ 60'
D
7
P. Mattsson
M
23
K. McLean
M
42
T. Springett
↓ 71'
M
16
J. Wright
↓ 60'
M
29
O. Schwartau
↓ 83'
M
9
J. Sargent
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
32
D. Grimshaw
G
3
J. Stacey
↑ 83'
D
14
B. Chrisene
↑ 60'
D
33
J. Cordoba
D
8
L. Gibbs
↑ 71'
M
20
A. Slimane
M
10
M. Jurasek
M
24
J. Makama
↑ 60'
F
30
M. Kvistgaarden
↑ 83'
F
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
↓ 66' 🟨 66'
D
6
M. Pollock
D
3
M. Alleyne
D
16
M. Bola
D
7
T. Ince
↓ 86'
M
5
H. Kyprianou
M
10
I. Louza
↓ 66'
M
42
O. Maamma
↓ 79'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
17
M. Sissoko
↑ 86'
M
18
V. Semedo
⚽ 90' ↑ 46'
F
22
J. Morris
D
23
N. Mendy
↑ 66'
M
25
J. Abankwah
↑ 66'
D
53
A. Nabizada
F
66
N. Irankunda
🎯 90' ↑ 79'
F
4
K. Keben
D
12
N. Baxter
G
Last matches: Norwich
15.08.26
Cha
Norwich
West Brom
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Norwich
Cambridge United
0
0
D
01.08.26
Fri
Norwich
Osasuna
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Norwich
Fulham
2
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Norwich
AFC Wimbledon
0
0
D
17.07.26
Fri
Norwich
FC ST. Gallen
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Norwich
Colchester
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Norwich
King's Lynn Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Norwich
Hull City
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Swansea
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Derby
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Bristol City
4
2
W
11.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Millwall
2
1
W
03.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Portsmouth
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Preston
2
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
08.03.26
FA
Norwich
Leeds
0
3
L
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
H2H: Norwich vs Watford
29.12.25
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
L
06.12.25
H2H
Watford
Norwich
3
2
L
12.08.25
H2H
Watford
Norwich
1
2
W
01.02.25
H2H
Watford
Norwich
0
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Norwich
Watford
4
1
W
13.02.24
H2H
Norwich
Watford
4
2
W
28.11.23
H2H
Watford
Norwich
3
2
L
02.01.23
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
L
15.10.22
H2H
Watford
Norwich
2
1
L
21.01.22
H2H
Watford
Norwich
0
3
W
18.09.21
H2H
Norwich
Watford
1
3
L
20.04.21
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
L
26.12.20
H2H
Watford
Norwich
1
0
L
07.07.20
H2H
Watford
Norwich
2
1
L
08.11.19
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
2
L
Last matches: Norwich
15.08.26
Cha
Norwich
West Brom
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Norwich
Cambridge United
0
0
D
01.08.26
Fri
Norwich
Osasuna
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Norwich
Colchester
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Norwich
King's Lynn Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Swansea
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Derby
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Portsmouth
1
1
D
14.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Preston
2
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
25.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Birmingham
1
2
L
14.02.26
FA
Norwich
West Brom
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Blackburn
2
0
W
26.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Coventry
2
1
W
11.01.26
FA
Norwich
Walsall
5
1
W
04.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Stoke City
0
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
13.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
2
1
W
H2H at home: Norwich
29.12.25
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
L
21.09.24
H2H
Norwich
Watford
4
1
W
13.02.24
H2H
Norwich
Watford
4
2
W
02.01.23
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
L
18.09.21
H2H
Norwich
Watford
1
3
L
20.04.21
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
L
08.11.19
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
2
L
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
29.12.25
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
W
21.09.24
H2H
Norwich
Watford
4
1
L
13.02.24
H2H
Norwich
Watford
4
2
L
02.01.23
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
W
18.09.21
H2H
Norwich
Watford
1
3
W
20.04.21
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
1
W
08.11.19
H2H
Norwich
Watford
0
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation