ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
09.09.2026 18:45
Carrow Road

Norwich vs Birmingham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds 3.87
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.2%
3.87
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.3%
1.20
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Norwich Win 25.6%
Draw 4.2%
Birmingham Win 70.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Norwich1.2
Birmingham1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norwich Norwich
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
18 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
5.8
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Norwich Norwich 12 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 10 matches
Norwich Statistic Birmingham
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 0
16 Goals For 18
10 Goals Against 10
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 1
5.8 Shots On Goal 3.8
16.4 Total Shots 11.8
4.6 Corners 6.4
53% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Norwich won 9 times, Birmingham won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:18 from Norwich's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Norwich 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Norwich 4, Birmingham 4
H2H summary: Norwich wins 9, draws 2, Birmingham wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 14:9 5 11
W W W D L
2 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L D W W D
3 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
W D W L W
4 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 9:7 2 10
W W W D L
6 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W D L W W
7 5 3 1 1 6:7 -1 10
L D W W W
8 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L L W W
9 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
W L W D D
10 5 2 2 1 13:10 3 8
D L W W D
11 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W L L D D
12 6 3 2 1 14:7 7 7
W D D W W
13 6 1 4 1 7:5 2 7
D D W L D
14 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D W D D
15 6 2 1 3 9:10 -1 7
D W W L L
16 5 2 0 3 8:8 0 6
W L W L L
17 5 2 0 3 7:8 -1 6
W L L W L
18 6 1 2 3 7:9 -2 5
L L D L W
19 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
D D W L L
20 6 0 4 2 7:10 -3 4
D L L D D
21 5 1 1 3 5:10 -5 4
L W L D L
22 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L L D
23 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
D L D L L
24 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L W L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One