WORLD › WORLD CUP
26.06.2026 19:00
Gillette Stadium
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Norway
Match Timeline
France
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
O. Dembele · Assist: K. Mbappe
France
🟨
10'
Patrick Berg
Norway
⚽
20'
O. Dembele · Assist: K. Mbappe
France
⚽
21'
T. Aasgaard · Assist: A. Schjelderup
Norway
⚽
32'
O. Dembele · Assist: A. Tchouameni
France
🔄
46'
K. Thorstvedt ↔ M. Thorsby
Norway
🔄
46'
F. Bjorkan ↔ M. Pedersen
Norway
⚽
50'
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Norway
🔄
65'
M. Olise ↔ R. Cherki
France
🔄
65'
O. Dembele ↔ B. Barcola
France
🔄
66'
H. Falchener ↔ S. Langas
Norway
🟨
74'
Aurélien Tchouaméni
France
🔄
76'
D. Upamecano ↔ I. Konate
France
🔄
83'
A. Schjelderup ↔ J. Hauge
Norway
🔄
83'
O. Bobb ↔ A. Nusa
Norway
🔄
87'
J. Kounde ↔ M. Gusto
France
🔄
87'
K. Mbappe ↔ J. Mateta
France
⚽
90'
D. Doue · Assist: B. Barcola
France

Norway vs France Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Norway Win 49.4%
Draw 12.2%
France Win 38.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Norway1.6
France1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norway Norway
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
France France
WLDWL
15 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Norway Norway 6 matches
France France 6 matches
Norway Statistic France
3 Wins 5
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
12 Goals For 15
7 Goals Against 6
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 5.33
11 Total Shots 15.5
5.5 Corners 5
51.5% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Norway won 0 times, France won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Norway's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Norway 4-3-3 / France 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Norway wins 0, draws 0, France wins 1

Standings

Group I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
L L W W W
2 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W L W
3 3 1 0 2 8:6 2 3
L W L L
4 3 0 0 3 1:12 -11 0
L L L
Round of 32