17.11.2025 19:45
Windsor Park
Referee: K. Tohver
Northern Ireland
Match Timeline
Luxembourg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
41'
Ciaron Brown
Northern Ireland
🟨
43'
Anthony Moris
Luxembourg
44'
J. Donley
Northern Ireland
🔄
46'
C. Bradley ↔ T. Devlin
Northern Ireland
🔄
52'
B. Lyons ↔ P. Smyth
Northern Ireland
🟨
56'
Seid Korać
Luxembourg
🔄
67'
J. Donley ↔ C. Marshall
Northern Ireland
🔄
67'
J. McDonnell ↔ J. Magennis
Northern Ireland
🔄
67'
M. Olesen ↔ T. de Sousa
Luxembourg
🔄
67'
A. Dardari ↔ K. Avdusinovic
Luxembourg
🔄
80'
O. Thill ↔ E. Muratovic
Luxembourg
🟨
81'
Ruairi McConville
Northern Ireland
🔄
82'
J. Lewis ↔ P. Kelly
Northern Ireland
🟨
85'
Paul Smyth
Northern Ireland
🟨
85'
Danel Sinani
Luxembourg
🔄
87'
M. Martins ↔ E. Dzogovic
Luxembourg
🟨
90+3'
Paddy McNair
Northern Ireland
🟨
90+1'
Conor Hazard
Northern Ireland
🟨
90+7'
Leandro Barreiro
Luxembourg
🟨
90+6'
Laurent Jans
Luxembourg
🟨
90+3'
Tomas de Sousa Moreira
Luxembourg

Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Northern Ireland Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luxembourg Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northern Ireland1.62
Luxembourg0.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland
WWDLW
17 GF / 9 GA
Luxembourg Luxembourg
WLDWL
4 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
0.36
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
3
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
3.2
Shots on Goal
2.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland 11 matches
Luxembourg Luxembourg 11 matches
Northern Ireland Statistic Luxembourg
5 Wins 0
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 8
17 Goals For 4
9 Goals Against 19
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.36
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
3 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 8
3.2 Shots On Goal 2.2
9.2 Total Shots 6.6
4.4 Corners 2.8
36% Ball Possession 40.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Northern Ireland won 5 times, Luxembourg won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:4 from Northern Ireland's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Northern Ireland 3-4-3 / Luxembourg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Northern Ireland wins 5, draws 1, Luxembourg wins 0

Standings

Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 16:3 13 15
W W W W W
2 6 4 0 2 6:8 -2 12
L W W L W
3 6 3 0 3 7:6 1 9
W L L W L
4 6 0 0 6 1:13 -12 0
L L L L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)