Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
86.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
23.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
27%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Northampton
Plymouth
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Northampton
46 matches
Plymouth
46 matches
| Northampton | Statistic | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 21 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 29 | Losses | 18 |
| 38 | Goals For | 72 |
| 74 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 19 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 2.76 | Shots On Goal | 4.54 |
| 9.04 | Total Shots | 13.02 |
| 4.76 | Corners | 5.39 |
| 43.6% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Plymouth's more proactive style and Northampton's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Plymouth. Plymouth carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 70 points while Northampton sit 24 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Northampton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Northampton sit 24 with 35 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 28 defeats with a 37:71 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Eaves (8 goals), Cameron McGeehan (7 goals), S. Hoskins (6 goals), with creative support from D. Campbell (5 assists), N. Guinness-Walker (3 assists), Terry Taylor (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Plymouth have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 70 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses with goals at 72:61 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pepple (16 goals), O. Oseni (7 goals), C. Watts (6 goals), with creative support from M. Boateng (8 assists), Bali Mumba (5 assists), A. Pepple (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 6 times, Plymouth won 8 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Northampton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Northampton
4
10
1
9
2
7
Lineups
Northampton
Barnsley
Northampton
Cardiff
Northampton
Doncaster
Northampton
Luton
Northampton
Wigan
Northampton
Bradford
Northampton
Mansfield Town
Northampton
Stockport County
Northampton
Burton Albion
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
Peterborough
Northampton
Port Vale
Northampton
Leyton Orient
Northampton
Lincoln
Northampton
Exeter City
Northampton
Stevenage
Northampton
Barnsley
Northampton
Reading
Northampton
Rotherham
Northampton
Blackpool
Plymouth
Port Vale
Plymouth
Bradford
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
Exeter City
Plymouth
Barnsley
Plymouth
Bolton
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Plymouth
Stevenage
Plymouth
Reading
Plymouth
Wigan
Plymouth
Doncaster
Plymouth
Rotherham
Plymouth
Cardiff
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
Plymouth
Blackpool
Plymouth
Lincoln
Plymouth
Stockport County
Plymouth
Mansfield Town
Plymouth
Luton
Plymouth
Peterborough
Northampton
Barnsley
Northampton
Doncaster
Northampton
Wigan
Northampton
Burton Albion
Northampton
Peterborough
Northampton
Port Vale
Northampton
Leyton Orient
Northampton
Stevenage
Northampton
Reading
Northampton
Wycombe
Northampton
Stockport County
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
Northampton
Huddersfield
Northampton
Cardiff
Northampton
Mansfield Town
Northampton
Luton
Northampton
Rotherham
Northampton
Bolton
Northampton
Blackpool
Northampton
Exeter City
Plymouth
Bradford
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth
Barnsley
Plymouth
Reading
Plymouth
Wigan
Plymouth
Rotherham
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
Plymouth
Blackpool
Plymouth
Stockport County
Plymouth
Peterborough
Plymouth
Stevenage
Plymouth
Doncaster
Plymouth
Wycombe
Plymouth
Port Vale
Plymouth
Huddersfield
Plymouth
Wycombe
Plymouth
Mansfield Town
Plymouth
Exeter City
Plymouth
Burton Albion
Plymouth
Luton
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Plymouth
Away
|
46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 |
Northampton
Home
|
46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|