ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
03.10.2026 14:00
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton vs Oldham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Northampton Win 56%
Draw 16.5%
Oldham Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northampton1.17
Oldham1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northampton Northampton
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Oldham Oldham
WLDWL
15 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
7
3.43
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northampton Northampton 12 matches
Oldham Oldham 12 matches
Northampton Statistic Oldham
3 Wins 3
5 Draws 1
4 Losses 8
10 Goals For 15
12 Goals Against 20
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
4 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 11
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 3
3.43 Shots On Goal 4.13
10 Total Shots 15
5.14 Corners 6.13
47% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oldham. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Northampton expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Oldham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oldham having the stronger overall control. Oldham arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Northampton Analysis

With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 22, Northampton still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh (1 goals), L. Briggs (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oldham Analysis

Oldham sit 16 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Kavanagh (1 goals), K. Appiah-Forson (1 goals), F. Fawunmi (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 4 times, Oldham won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Northampton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Northampton 4-4-2 / Oldham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Northampton wins 4, draws 3, Oldham wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
2 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
W D W D W
3 8 5 0 3 13:11 2 15
W L L W W
4 8 4 2 2 16:10 6 14
W L W D L
5 8 3 5 0 11:5 6 14
D W D D D
6 8 3 4 1 12:8 4 13
L W W D D
7 8 4 1 3 12:10 2 13
W W D W W
8 8 3 3 2 11:9 2 12
L W W W D
9 8 2 6 0 8:6 2 12
D D D D D
10 8 2 5 1 10:8 2 11
D D L W D
11 8 3 2 3 11:10 1 11
L W W D D
12 8 3 2 3 9:12 -3 11
D L L W W
13 8 2 4 2 11:11 0 10
D W D L D
14 8 2 4 2 9:9 0 10
L L D W D
15 8 2 4 2 10:12 -2 10
D D D L L
16 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
W W D L W
17 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
W D D L L
18 8 2 2 4 7:13 -6 8
D D W L L
19 8 1 4 3 11:14 -3 7
D D L W D
20 8 2 1 5 9:13 -4 7
L L L L D
21 8 1 3 4 4:6 -2 6
L D L D D
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League