Northampton vs Oldham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Northampton
Oldham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Northampton
12 matches
Oldham
12 matches
| Northampton | Statistic | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 8 |
| 10 | Goals For | 15 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.43 | Shots On Goal | 4.13 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 5.14 | Corners | 6.13 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oldham. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Northampton expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Oldham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oldham having the stronger overall control. Oldham arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 22, Northampton still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 3:6, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh (1 goals), L. Briggs (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Oldham sit 16 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Kavanagh (1 goals), K. Appiah-Forson (1 goals), F. Fawunmi (1 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (2 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 4 times, Oldham won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Northampton's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 20 |
Oldham
Away
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 |
Northampton
Home
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|