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03.11.2026 19:45
Sixfields Stadium

Northampton vs Oldham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 2.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.8%
1.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
2.15 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Northampton Win 40.1%
Draw 31.7%
Oldham Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northampton1.18
Oldham1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northampton Northampton
D W L W D
6 GF / 3 GA
Oldham Oldham
L D L W D
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
6
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
9
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Northampton Northampton 17 matches
Oldham Oldham 17 matches
Northampton Statistic Oldham
5 Wins 4
7 Draws 3
5 Losses 10
16 Goals For 20
15 Goals Against 26
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
6 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 14
3 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 6
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.77
11.25 Total Shots 14.54
5.75 Corners 5
45.7% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oldham. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Northampton expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Oldham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oldham having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Northampton Analysis

Northampton approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 13 points from 11 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:8, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh (2 goals), Matthew Warhurst (2 goals), J. Guthrie (1 goals), with creative support from L. Evans (2 assists), E. Moore (1 assists), O. Dale (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oldham Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 20, Oldham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 14:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Kavanagh (3 goals), J. Robson (2 goals), F. Fawunmi (2 goals), with creative support from C. Kavanagh (3 assists), J. Robson (2 assists), F. Fawunmi (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 2 times, Oldham won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Northampton's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (71.8%)
Predicted formations: Northampton 4-4-2 / Oldham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Northampton wins 2, draws 1, Oldham wins 1

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 25:15 10 31
W W W W W
2 13 7 5 1 28:18 10 26
D W D L W
3 13 5 7 1 21:12 9 22
W L W D D
4 14 5 7 2 17:17 0 22
D L L W W
5 14 6 3 5 23:25 -2 21
L W W L L
6 14 5 5 4 24:18 6 20
W W D L L
7 14 5 5 4 24:21 3 20
L L W D D
8 14 5 5 4 20:19 1 20
W L D L W
9 14 4 7 3 23:17 6 19
D W D W D
10 14 5 4 5 24:21 3 19
L W D L D
11 14 4 7 3 19:17 2 19
W D W L D
12 14 5 4 5 11:9 2 19
L W W D W
13 14 5 4 5 15:17 -2 19
W D W D L
14 14 4 6 4 20:17 3 18
W L D D W
15 14 5 3 6 17:22 -5 18
L D W W L
16 14 4 5 5 18:18 0 17
W L L W D
17 14 5 1 8 17:23 -6 16
L D L L L
18 12 4 3 5 10:14 -4 15
W L D W W
19 14 4 3 7 17:26 -9 15
L L D L D
20 12 3 5 4 9:9 0 14
D W L W D
21 13 3 3 7 14:19 -5 12
L D L W D
22 14 2 6 6 18:25 -7 12
L D D L L
23 13 2 6 5 12:19 -7 12
L L D D L
24 12 2 3 7 13:21 -8 9
W D L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League