Northampton
Match Timeline
Luton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Northampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Northampton0.96
Luton1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Northampton
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Luton
WLDWL
14 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
2.46
Shots on Goal
3.83
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Northampton
13 matches
Luton
12 matches
| Northampton | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 10 | Goals For | 14 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2.46 | Shots On Goal | 3.83 |
| 7.85 | Total Shots | 12.83 |
| 4.54 | Corners | 7 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 57.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Northampton won 3 times, Luton won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Northampton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Northampton 4-1-4-1 / Luton 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Northampton wins 3, draws 0, Luton wins 7
Stats
Northampton
Luton
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
0
0
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
6
6
Lineups
Northampton
Formation
Luton
R. Fitzsimons
J. Wormleighton
J. Thorniley
M. Forbes
N. Guinness-Walker
T. Taylor
T. Fornah
C. McGeehan
J. Perkins
K. Swyer
S. Hoskins
J. Keeley
N. Lonwijk
T. Mengi
K. Naismith
C. Bramall
G. Saville
J. Richards
L. Fanne
J. Clark
G. Kodua
N. Wells
Northampton
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
34
R. Fitzsimons
G
16
J. Wormleighton
D
↓ 26'
15
J. Thorniley
D
18
M. Forbes
D
12
N. Guinness-Walker
D
23
T. Taylor
M
14
T. Fornah
M
8
C. McGeehan
M
21
J. Perkins
M
↓ 67'
🟨 13'
11
K. Swyer
M
↓ 67'
🟨 45+1'
7
S. Hoskins
F
Substitutes
1
L. Burge
G
6
J. Willis
D
↑ 67'
17
M. Jacobs
M
19
E. Wheatley
F
↑ 67'
22
K. Edwards
F
↑ 26'
36
O. Evans
Luton
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
17
N. Lonwijk
D
↓ 87'
15
T. Mengi
D
3
K. Naismith
D
🟨 52'
33
C. Bramall
D
23
G. Saville
M
27
J. Richards
M
↓ 87'
22
L. Fanne
M
⚽ 77'
🟨 40'
18
J. Clark
M
↓ 60'
30
G. Kodua
M
↓ 73'
21
N. Wells
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
5
M. Andersen
D
↑ 87'
9
J. Yates
F
↑ 60'
16
H. Odoffin
D
↑ 87'
20
L. Nordas
F
25
I. Jones
F
🎯 77'
↑ 73'
37
Z. Nelson
M
Last matches: Northampton
15.08.26
Lea
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
0
D
01.08.26
Fri
Northampton
Solihull Moors
4
2
W
28.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Cambridge United
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Southend
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Coventry
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Leicester
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
5
L
18.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Doncaster
1
3
L
15.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Wigan
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Bradford
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
1
4
L
17.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
H2H: Northampton vs Luton
15.04.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
L
04.03.26
H2H
Luton
Northampton
2
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
1
L
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
29.08.20
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
3
L
30.04.16
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
0
W
12.12.15
H2H
Luton
Northampton
3
4
W
28.03.15
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
1
W
25.10.14
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
L
12.11.11
H2H
Luton
Northampton
1
0
L
Last matches: Northampton
15.08.26
Lea
Northampton
Swindon Town
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Northampton
Coventry
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Northampton
Plymouth
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Barnsley
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Doncaster
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Northampton
Wigan
1
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Northampton
Burton Albion
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Peterborough
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lea
Northampton
Stevenage
3
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Reading
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Wycombe
1
2
L
01.01.26
Lea
Northampton
Stockport County
0
0
D
19.12.25
Lea
Northampton
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Northampton
Huddersfield
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lea
Northampton
Cardiff
1
3
L
08.11.25
Lea
Northampton
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
11.10.25
Lea
Northampton
Rotherham
1
2
L
27.09.25
Lea
Northampton
Bolton
2
0
W
H2H at home: Northampton
25.10.25
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
1
L
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
1
2
L
29.08.20
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
3
L
30.04.16
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
0
W
28.03.15
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
1
W
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
0
1
L
18.12.25
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
H2H away: Luton
25.10.25
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
1
W
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
0
D
16.07.22
H2H
Northampton
Luton
1
2
W
29.08.20
H2H
Northampton
Luton
0
3
W
30.04.16
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
0
L
28.03.15
H2H
Northampton
Luton
2
1
L
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 |
Northampton
Home
|
46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two