SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
14.09.2026 17:00
Norrby IF
Match Timeline
Varbergs BoIS FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
charlie axede
Norrby IF
58'
Wilhelm Arlig · Assist: N.Johansson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
62'
N.Johansson ↔ Niklas·Dahlstrom
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
62'
Jonathan nilsson ↔ Dante Oliver Alfonsi
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
62'
Albin Winbo ↔ Lucas Kåhed
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
75'
Karl Jamie Bichis ↔ Ibrahim Adewale
Norrby IF
🔄
75'
olle backlund ↔ aldin nedzibovic
Norrby IF
🔄
75'
Laorent Shabani ↔ Olle Werner
Varbergs BoIS FC
🟨
79'
filip gustafsson
Norrby IF
🟨
84'
Erion Sadiku
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
85'
Wilhelm Arlig ↔ Shanyder Borgelin
Varbergs BoIS FC
90'
Lucas Kåhed · Assist: Dante Oliver Alfonsi
Varbergs BoIS FC

Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.2%
1.30
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.75
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.3%
1.50
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Norrby IF Win 45.2%
Draw 4.9%
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 49.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Norrby IF1.27
Varbergs BoIS FC1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Norrby IF Norrby IF
WWDLW
43 GF / 47 GA
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WLDWL
48 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
22
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
17
1.85
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Norrby IF Norrby IF 32 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 30 matches
Norrby IF Statistic Varbergs BoIS FC
7 Wins 16
13 Draws 6
12 Losses 8
43 Goals For 48
47 Goals Against 35
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
22 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 17
12 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
1.85 Shots On Goal 3.3
3.15 Total Shots 5.6
2.25 Corners 2.9
24.3% Ball Possession 31.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Varbergs BoIS FC's more proactive style and Norrby IF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Varbergs BoIS FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 38 points while Norrby IF sit 12 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Norrby IF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Varbergs BoIS FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Varbergs BoIS FC having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Varbergs BoIS FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Norrby IF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Norrby IF Analysis

Norrby IF sit 12 with 23 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 26:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Julius Johansson (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 38 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 39:28 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Severin Nioule (2 goals), Wilhelm Arlig (1 goals), Shanyder Borgelin (1 goals), with creative support from Wilhelm Arlig (1 assists), Emil Hellman (1 assists), Oliver Silverholt (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Norrby IF won 1 times, Varbergs BoIS FC won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:25 from Norrby IF's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.45 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Norrby IF 4-4-2 / Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Norrby IF wins 1, draws 3, Varbergs BoIS FC wins 7

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 4 4 45:15 30 52
D W D W W
2 24 13 5 6 46:33 13 44
W W L W L
3 23 10 9 4 32:24 8 39
D W D D D
4 23 11 5 7 39:30 9 38
L D W L D
5 24 9 9 6 37:32 5 36
D W W L W
6 23 9 8 6 36:35 1 35
L W L W D
7 23 9 7 7 31:25 6 34
L W D D D
8 23 10 3 10 34:34 0 33
L L D W W
9 23 8 6 9 36:32 4 30
L W D D L
10 23 8 5 10 36:44 -8 29
W L D L D
11 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
12 23 7 5 11 30:41 -11 26
W D W D D
13 23 4 11 8 27:33 -6 23
L L L D L
14 23 5 8 10 24:34 -10 23
W L D W D
15 23 5 7 11 36:44 -8 22
D L L L D
16 23 5 1 17 16:47 -31 16
L W W L D
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