ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
25.04.2026 14:00
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
15'
Nõmme United
Nõmme United
31'
K. Laanelaid · Assist: H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🟨
41'
O. Dacosta
Nõmme United
🔄
60'
O. Dacosta ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🔄
62'
A. Kivi ↔ G. Roivassepp
Kuressaare
🟥
71'
R. Saar
Kuressaare
77'
J. Vahermagi · Assist: R. Piil
Kuressaare
🔄
84'
R. Talu ↔ M. Leivategija
Kuressaare
🔄
86'
G. Kabal ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
86'
K. Laanelaid ↔ A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
88'
E. Demidov ↔ A. Visse
Kuressaare
🟨
89'
K. Matas
Nõmme United
🟨
90+1'
G. Lagus
Nõmme United
🟨
90+5'
R. Piil
Kuressaare
90'
A. Frolov
Nõmme United

Nõmme United vs Kuressaare Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
92.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 61.7%
Draw 12.4%
Kuressaare Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United2.5
Kuressaare1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
38 GF / 40 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
20 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.53
Average Goals Scored
1.54
2.67
Average Goals Conceded
2.46
12
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 15 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 13 matches
Nõmme United Statistic Kuressaare
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
38 Goals For 20
40 Goals Against 32
2.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
2.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.46
12 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 3 times, Kuressaare won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Nõmme United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Nõmme United 3-4-1-2 / Kuressaare 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 3, draws 4, Kuressaare wins 3

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 18 5 1 64:20 44 59
W W W W D
2 25 15 0 10 49:32 17 45
W L L W L
3 25 13 5 7 45:22 23 44
L L W W W
4 24 12 6 6 40:31 9 42
W W D W L
5 24 12 2 10 31:35 -4 38
L W W W W
6 25 10 1 14 36:41 -5 31
W W L L L
7 24 8 4 12 33:46 -13 28
D L L D L
8 25 8 1 16 42:60 -18 25
L L L L L
9 25 7 4 14 27:41 -14 25
D L W W L
10 25 5 2 18 18:57 -39 17
L L D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga