ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
Kuressaare
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
15'
Nõmme United
Nõmme United
31'
K. Laanelaid · Assist: H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🟨
41'
O. Dacosta
Nõmme United
🔄
60'
O. Dacosta ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🔄
62'
A. Kivi ↔ G. Roivassepp
Kuressaare
🟥
71'
R. Saar
Kuressaare
77'
J. Vahermagi · Assist: R. Piil
Kuressaare
🔄
84'
R. Talu ↔ M. Leivategija
Kuressaare
🔄
86'
G. Kabal ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
86'
K. Laanelaid ↔ A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
88'
E. Demidov ↔ A. Visse
Kuressaare
🟨
89'
K. Matas
Nõmme United
🟨
90+1'
G. Lagus
Nõmme United
🟨
90+5'
R. Piil
Kuressaare
90'
A. Frolov
Nõmme United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 92.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
92.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 61.7%
Draw 12.4%
Kuressaare Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United2.5
Kuressaare1.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
38 GF / 40 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
20 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.53
Average Goals Scored
1.54
2.67
Average Goals Conceded
2.46
12
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 15 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 13 matches
Nõmme United Statistic Kuressaare
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
38 Goals For 20
40 Goals Against 32
2.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
2.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.46
12 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 11
14 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 3 times, Kuressaare won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Nõmme United's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 3, draws 4, Kuressaare wins 3

Lineups

Nõmme United
Formation
Kuressaare
G. Purg
G. Purg
R. Chanda
R. Chanda
Y. Morishige
Y. Morishige
M. Palts
M. Palts
K. Laanelaid
K. Laanelaid
G. Kabal
G. Kabal
A. Frolov
A. Frolov
H. Jarvelaid
🎯
H. Jarvelaid
Z. Beglarishvili
Z. Beglarishvili
O. Dacosta
O. Dacosta
K. Matas
K. Matas
K. Nomm
K. Nomm
R. Saar
R. Saar
R. Piil
🎯
R. Piil
M. Lukka
M. Lukka
J. Vahermagi
J. Vahermagi
S. Sinilaid
S. Sinilaid
D. Andreas
D. Andreas
E. Demidov
E. Demidov
R. Talu
R. Talu
T. Jurisoo
T. Jurisoo
A. Kivi
A. Kivi
Nõmme United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
71
G. Purg
55
R. Chanda
2
Y. Morishige
6
M. Palts
23
K. Laanelaid
⚽ 31' ↓ 86'
24
G. Kabal
↓ 86'
10
A. Frolov
⚽ 90'
45
H. Jarvelaid
🎯 31'
49
Z. Beglarishvili
16
O. Dacosta
↓ 60' 🟨 41'
20
K. Matas
🟨 89'
Substitutes
1
G. Lagus
🟨 90+1'
3
S. Merilai
4
A. Alteberg
8
B. Vain
↑ 86'
9
E. Ounapuu
11
B. Chisala
↑ 60'
12
M. Marmei
13
A. Truuvaart
↑ 86'
22
A. Radomskiy
26
K. Oostenbrink
Kuressaare 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
K. Nomm
23
R. Saar
🟥 71'
36
R. Piil
🎯 77' 🟨 90+5'
21
M. Lukka
68
J. Vahermagi
⚽ 77'
5
S. Sinilaid
8
D. Andreas
77
E. Demidov
↓ 88'
7
R. Talu
↓ 84'
11
T. Jurisoo
10
A. Kivi
↓ 62'
Substitutes
22
S. Ristna
13
A. Visse
↑ 88'
17
G. Roivassepp
↑ 62'
18
M. Dzemesjuk
25
J. Lonks
28
R. Lukas
37
M. Leivategija
↑ 84'
44
O. Joost
Last matches: Nõmme United
09.08.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
31.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
1
2
L
17.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
11.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
2
W
03.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
3
L
20.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
3
1
W
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
15.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
22.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
7
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
07.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
02.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
11.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
3
L
02.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
H2H: Nõmme United vs Kuressaare
11.07.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
2
W
20.05.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
L
25.04.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
07.02.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
19.01.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
L
28.09.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
4
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
2
D
16.06.24
H2H
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
1
D
17.02.23
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
1
W
Last matches: Nõmme United
31.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
1
2
L
11.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
2
W
03.07.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
3
L
17.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
H2H at home: Nõmme United
11.07.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
2
W
25.04.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
1
D
17.02.23
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
1
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
02.08.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
11.07.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
3
L
26.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
13.06.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H away: Kuressaare
11.07.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
2
L
25.04.26
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
1
D
17.02.23
H2H
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 5 1 55:17 38 50
W D W L D
2 22 12 5 5 40:17 23 41
W W D W D
3 20 13 0 7 40:21 19 39
W L W W L
4 21 10 5 6 33:28 5 35
W L W D W
5 21 8 3 10 29:39 -10 27
D L W L W
6 19 8 2 9 22:31 -9 26
L L W W W
7 22 8 1 13 40:53 -13 25
L L W W L
8 22 8 1 13 32:38 -6 25
L L W W L
9 22 6 3 13 22:36 -14 21
W L D L L
10 22 5 1 16 17:50 -33 16
L W W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga