ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
03.07.2026 16:00
Referee: J. Lorenz
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
T. Baptista · Assist: O. Musolitin
Kalju Nomme
21'
R. Chanda · Assist: Y. Morishige
Nõmme United
26'
O. Musolitin · Assist: M. Orlov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
35'
S. Cisakowski
Nõmme United
45'
M. Orlov · Assist: E. E. Lotar Eyang
Kalju Nomme
🔄
60'
O. Musolitin ↔ D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
66'
S. Merilai ↔ E. Ounapuu
Nõmme United
🔄
66'
R. Chanda ↔ K. Matas
Nõmme United
🔄
66'
O. Dacosta ↔ T. Vendelin
Nõmme United
🔄
67'
M. Orlov ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
67'
E. E. Lotar Eyang ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🔄
71'
A. Truuvaart ↔ B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
77'
A. Nikolajev ↔ A. Borolinstsikov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
82'
B. Vain
Nõmme United
🔄
89'
Y. Morishige ↔ A. Radomskiy
Nõmme United
🟨
90'
A. Radomskiy
Nõmme United
🟨
90+2'
T. Vendelin
Nõmme United

Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 21.1%
Draw 11.2%
Kalju Nomme Win 67.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United1.71
Kalju Nomme2.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
53 GF / 59 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
50 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.85
2.46
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
20
BTTS Yes
14
23
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 24 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 27 matches
Nõmme United Statistic Kalju Nomme
10 Wins 13
2 Draws 7
12 Losses 7
53 Goals For 50
59 Goals Against 26
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
2.46 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
20 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 22
23 Over 2.5 12
16 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Nõmme United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. Kalju Nomme carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 30 points while Nõmme United sit 7 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Nõmme United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kalju Nomme.

Nõmme United Analysis

Nõmme United sit 7 with 19 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 33:40, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Kalju Nomme arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 30 points after 17 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 0 times, Kalju Nomme won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:18 from Nõmme United's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 0, draws 2, Kalju Nomme wins 4

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga