ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: G. Osomkov
Nõmme United
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
M. Skvortsov · Assist: V. Iboro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
26'
Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟥
33'
V. Iboro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
45+1'
Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
N. Vassiljev ↔ A. Radomskiy
Nõmme United
🔄
46'
I. Krasnov ↔ K. Oostenbrink
Nõmme United
🔄
46'
G. Kabal ↔ Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
🔄
46'
F. Liivak ↔ Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
49'
R. Chanda
Nõmme United
62'
Z. Beglarishvili · Assist: A. Truuvaart
Nõmme United
🔄
63'
R. Chanda ↔ E. Ounapuu
Nõmme United
🔄
63'
A. Truuvaart ↔ B. Chisala
Nõmme United
🟨
72'
O. Dacosta
Nõmme United
🔄
77'
Alexandre ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
77'
J. Saliste ↔ M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
77'
E. Otoo ↔ B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn
85'
A. Nwankwo · Assist: M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
90+2'
Wendell
FC Levadia Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds 1.16
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.28
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.9%
1.16
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.28
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.03
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Nõmme United Win 23.8%
Draw 3.3%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 72.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nõmme United1.74
FC Levadia Tallinn2.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WWDLW
49 GF / 56 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
51 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
2.55
2.55
Average Goals Conceded
1
18
BTTS Yes
13
21
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nõmme United Nõmme United 22 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 20 matches
Nõmme United Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
9 Wins 14
2 Draws 4
11 Losses 2
49 Goals For 51
56 Goals Against 20
2.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.55
2.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1
18 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 17
21 Over 2.5 14
15 Over 3.5 10
1 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Nõmme United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 36 points while Nõmme United sit 8 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Nõmme United Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Nõmme United have collected 13 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 27:36 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Frolov (4 goals), O. Dacosta (4 goals), Z. Beglarishvili (4 goals), with creative support from Z. Beglarishvili (4 assists), H. Jarvelaid (4 assists), A. Frolov (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 36 points after 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 39:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on B. Tambedou (11 goals), Wendell (8 goals), E. Otoo (4 goals), with creative support from M. Ainsalu (6 assists), M. Skvortsov (5 assists), J. Saliste (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme United won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:18 from Nõmme United's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.7%)
H2H summary: Nõmme United wins 1, draws 2, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 5

Lineups

Nõmme United
Formation
FC Levadia Tallinn
G. Lagus
G. Lagus
K. Laanelaid
K. Laanelaid
R. Chanda
R. Chanda
Y. Morishige
Y. Morishige
M. Palts
M. Palts
N. Vassiljev
N. Vassiljev
K. Matas
K. Matas
G. Kabal
G. Kabal
O. Dacosta
O. Dacosta
A. Truuvaart
🎯
A. Truuvaart
I. Krasnov
I. Krasnov
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
F. Liivak
F. Liivak
V. Iboro
🎯
V. Iboro
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
J. Saliste
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
R. Peetson
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
E. Otoo
E. Otoo
Alexandre
Alexandre
M. Skvortsov
M. Skvortsov
Wendell
Wendell
Nõmme United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Lagus
23
K. Laanelaid
55
R. Chanda
↓ 63' 🟨 49'
2
Y. Morishige
6
M. Palts
14
N. Vassiljev
↓ 46'
20
K. Matas
24
G. Kabal
↓ 46'
16
O. Dacosta
🟨 72'
13
A. Truuvaart
🎯 62' ↓ 63'
19
I. Krasnov
↓ 46'
Substitutes
91
R. Ortega
71
G. Purg
3
S. Merilai
9
E. Ounapuu
↑ 63'
11
B. Chisala
↑ 63'
22
A. Radomskiy
↑ 46'
26
K. Oostenbrink
↑ 46'
45
H. Jarvelaid
49
Z. Beglarishvili
⚽ 62' ↑ 46'
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
23
F. Liivak
↓ 46'
35
V. Iboro
🎯 15' 🟥 33'
20
A. Nwankwo
⚽ 85'
29
J. Saliste
↓ 77'
6
R. Peetson
36
Joao Pedro
🟨 26'
33
E. Otoo
↓ 77'
18
Alexandre
↓ 77' 🟨 45+1'
21
M. Skvortsov
⚽ 15'
10
Wendell
🟨 90+2'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
4
T. Tammik
↑ 77'
5
M. Roosnupp
🎯 85' ↑ 77'
7
G. Lehtmets
9
B. Tambedou
↑ 77'
19
M. Sambe
71
Kaua Davi
↑ 46'
Last matches: Nõmme United
13.06.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2
1
W
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
20.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
1
2
L
15.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
1
3
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
02.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
3
2
W
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kalju Nomme
1
7
L
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
08.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
1
3
L
04.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Viimsi
5
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
3
3
D
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
4
L
H2H: Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn
17.06.26
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
04.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
4
W
22.10.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
04.08.24
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
19.06.24
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
6
L
13.04.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
0
L
24.02.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
3
1
L
Last matches: Nõmme United
29.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Flora Tallinn
0
4
L
10.05.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Paide
2
3
L
25.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
2
1
W
18.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Laagri
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
5
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Tammeka
2
3
L
14.03.26
Mei
Nõmme United
Vaprus
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
01.02.26
Fri
Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Nõmme United
Tammeka
0
6
L
H2H at home: Nõmme United
17.06.26
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
04.08.24
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
19.06.24
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
6
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
3
2
W
29.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
15.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Levadia Tallinn
17.06.26
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
W
04.08.24
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
19.06.24
H2H
Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
6
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.16
Draw 7.72
Home 12.08
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.46
Draw 3.36
Home 8.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 3.0 1.33
Over 3.25 1.50
Over 3.5 1.68
Over 3.75 1.84
Over 4.0 2.06
Over 4.25 2.28
Over 4.5 2.52
Under 3.0 3.07
Under 3.25 2.46
Under 3.5 2.14
Under 3.75 1.95
Under 4.0 1.72
Under 4.25 1.57
Under 4.5 1.48
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.17
Draw 6.50
Home 12.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.44
Draw 3.20
Home 9.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.36
Draw 3.75
Home 8.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 3.5 1.67
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 5.5 4.00
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 7.50
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.5 2.10
Under 4.5 1.50
Under 5.5 1.22
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.11
Draw 7.00
Home 14.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.48
Draw 2.97
Home 10.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.31
Draw 4.15
Home 9.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.02
Over 1.75 1.03
Over 2.0 1.04
Over 2.25 1.14
Over 2.5 1.23
Over 2.75 1.27
Over 3.0 1.33
Over 3.25 1.51
Over 3.5 1.67
Over 3.75 1.78
Over 4.0 1.98
Over 4.25 2.26
Over 4.5 2.42
Over 4.75 2.78
Over 5.0 3.42
Over 5.25 3.72
Over 5.5 3.98
Over 6.0 6.45
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.0 14.50
Under 1.5 7.70
Under 1.75 7.20
Under 2.0 6.75
Under 2.25 4.45
Under 2.5 3.42
Under 2.75 3.14
Under 3.0 2.83
Under 3.25 2.38
Under 3.5 2.08
Under 3.75 1.84
Under 4.0 1.67
Under 4.25 1.57
Under 4.5 1.44
Under 4.75 1.34
Under 5.0 1.23
Under 5.25 1.20
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.0 1.05
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.15
Draw 7.00
Home 12.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 3.30
Home 8.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.38
Draw 3.95
Home 7.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.03
Over 2.0 1.08
Over 2.25 1.17
Over 2.5 1.23
Over 2.75 1.29
Over 3.0 1.35
Over 3.25 1.50
Over 3.5 1.65
Over 3.75 1.83
Over 4.0 2.06
Over 4.25 2.28
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 4.75 2.88
Over 5.0 3.55
Over 5.25 3.80
Over 5.5 4.00
Over 5.75 4.80
Over 6.0 6.25
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.0 6.25
Under 2.25 4.35
Under 2.5 3.45
Under 2.75 3.15
Under 3.0 2.85
Under 3.25 2.30
Under 3.5 2.02
Under 3.75 1.86
Under 4.0 1.67
Under 4.25 1.54
Under 4.5 1.43
Under 4.75 1.35
Under 5.0 1.24
Under 5.25 1.21
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 5.75 1.13
Under 6.0 1.08

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 3 0 44:12 32 42
W W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 16 9 2 5 28:13 15 29
L D L W W
4 16 7 4 5 24:20 4 25
W D D L L
5 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
W D L W W
6 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
7 16 6 1 9 20:27 -7 19
L L W L L
8 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
9 16 5 1 10 30:39 -9 16
L W L L L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga