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24.10.2026 16:00
Stadion Varteks
Referee: Ante Terzić, Croatia
NK Varazdin
Match Timeline
NK Slaven Belupo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Iuri Tavares
NK Varazdin
🟨
37'
Silvijo Čabraja
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
37'
Josip Mitrović
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
45'
Petar Bočkaj ↔ David Puclin
NK Varazdin
🟨
54'
Iuri Tavares
NK Varazdin
🔄
63'
Leon Bošnjak ↔ Mihail Caimacov
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
64'
Iuri Tavares ↔ Matej Vuk
NK Varazdin
🔄
65'
Luka Posinković ↔ Sven Lesjak
NK Varazdin
⚽
66'
Josip Mitrović · Assist: Ilija Nestorovski
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
70'
Lovro Banovec · Assist: Ilija Nestorovski
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
71'
Ivan Canjuga ↔ Valentin Akrap
NK Varazdin
VAR
72'
Luka Mamić
NK Varazdin
🟥
79'
Ilija Nestorovski
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
84'
Novak Tepsic ↔ Stipe Jurić
NK Varazdin
🟨
90+1'
Karlo Sentic
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
90+2'
Aleksa Latkovic
NK Varazdin

NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Varazdin Win 87.6%
Draw 6.2%
NK Slaven Belupo Win 6.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Varazdin1.92
NK Slaven Belupo1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
L W D D D
3 GF / 3 GA
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
L W L D L
8 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
12
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
18
3
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 26 matches
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 22 matches
NK Varazdin Statistic NK Slaven Belupo
15 Wins 7
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 12
46 Goals For 39
25 Goals Against 47
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
12 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 5
3 Shots On Goal 4.2
11.25 Total Shots 11.6
3.75 Corners 4
38.8% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around NK Varazdin's more proactive style and NK Slaven Belupo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. NK Varazdin arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 18 points compared to NK Slaven Belupo in 7 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors NK Slaven Belupo.

NK Varazdin Analysis

NK Varazdin come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 18 points from 9 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 14:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Canjuga (2 goals), Ivan Mamut (2 goals), M. Mladenovski (2 goals), with creative support from I. Canjuga (2 assists), G. Sikošek (2 assists), Ivan Mamut (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

NK Slaven Belupo sit 7 with 10 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 11:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by I. Nestorovski (7 goals), J. Mitrović (1 goals), L. Banovec (1 goals), with creative support from M. Dabro (3 assists), J. Mitrović (2 assists), L. Banovec (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Varazdin won 7 times, NK Slaven Belupo won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from NK Varazdin's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.8%)
Predicted formations: NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1 / NK Slaven Belupo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Varazdin wins 7, draws 3, NK Slaven Belupo wins 5

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 26:11 15 26
W D W W L
2 11 7 1 3 25:14 11 22
L W W L W
3 12 6 2 4 22:17 5 20
W L D L D
4 12 5 4 3 16:11 5 19
D L L W D
5 11 5 3 3 18:15 3 18
D L W L W
6 12 4 4 4 21:18 3 16
W D L W L
7 12 4 1 7 14:25 -11 13
L W L W D
8 12 4 1 7 15:27 -12 13
W W L W D
9 12 3 2 7 14:20 -6 11
L D W L L
10 12 1 4 7 7:20 -13 7
L D D L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL