CROATIA HNL
--.--.---- --:--
Gradski stadion Varazdin
Referee: D. Strukan
NK Varazdin
Match Timeline
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
M. Vuk · Assist: I. Tavares
NK Varazdin
🔄
29'
M. Vesovic ↔ M. Lorber
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
42'
Tomislav Duvnjak
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
T. Duvnjak ↔ D. Puclin
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
M. Susak ↔ L. Belcar
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50'
L. Belcar · Assist: D. Vukovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
61'
M. Marina ↔ I. Canjuga
NK Varazdin
🔄
61'
A. Latkovic ↔ N. Tepsic
NK Varazdin
🔄
65'
I. Sabra ↔ A. Stojakovic
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
69'
L. Mamic ↔ S. Ilinkovic
NK Varazdin
🟨
75'
Iuri Tavares
NK Varazdin
🟨
77'
Ivan Canjuga
NK Varazdin
🟨
79'
Luka Dajčer
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🟨
81'
Denis Kolinger
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
🔄
89'
M. Vuk ↔ L. Posinkovic
NK Varazdin
🔄
90+2'
D. Vukovic ↔ D. Virgili
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
NK Varazdin Win 72.8%
Draw 0%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Varazdin1.36
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WWDLW
44 GF / 48 GA
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
WLDWL
38 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
22
BTTS Yes
21
18
Over 2.5
15
3.46
Shots on Goal
3.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 35 matches
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 33 matches
NK Varazdin Statistic NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
14 Wins 10
8 Draws 11
13 Losses 12
44 Goals For 38
48 Goals Against 50
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
22 BTTS Yes 21
29 Over 1.5 30
18 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 7
3.46 Shots On Goal 3.36
10.46 Total Shots 10.3
3.43 Corners 4.48
41.8% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with NK Varazdin expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward NK Lokomotiva Zagreb having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

NK Varazdin Analysis

NK Varazdin approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 47 points after 33 outings. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, together with goals at 42:45, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Mamut (9 goals), A. Latkovic (8 goals), I. Tavares (6 goals), with creative support from A. Latkovic (6 assists), F. Maglica (6 assists), I. Mamut (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Analysis

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 41 points after 33 outings. The return of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, together with goals at 38:50, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Stojakovic (9 goals), Marko Pajač (6 goals), Blaž Bošković (3 goals), with creative support from Marko Pajač (5 assists), M. Vesovic (4 assists), A. Stojakovic (2 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Varazdin won 3 times, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from NK Varazdin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: NK Varazdin 3-4-2-1 / NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Varazdin wins 3, draws 7, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins 5
Stats
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 5
15 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
41% Ball Possession 59%
3 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Goal 1
1 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 1
3 Shots insidebox 2
0 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
318 Total passes 465
229 Passes accurate 379
0.75 expected_goals 0.28
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

NK Varazdin
Formation
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
J. Silic
J. Silic
F. Maglica
F. Maglica
R. Puncec
R. Puncec
S. Lesjak
S. Lesjak
A. Borsic
A. Borsic
T. Duvnjak
T. Duvnjak
M. Marina
M. Marina
M. Vuk
M. Vuk
L. Mamic
L. Mamic
I. Tavares
🎯
I. Tavares
A. Latkovic
A. Latkovic
L. Savatovic
L. Savatovic
M. Vesovic
M. Vesovic
D. Kolinger
D. Kolinger
T. Jukic
T. Jukic
L. Dajcer
L. Dajcer
M. Subotic
M. Subotic
P. Smiljanic
P. Smiljanic
M. Susak
M. Susak
J. Vasilj
J. Vasilj
D. Vukovic
🎯
D. Vukovic
I. Sabra
I. Sabra
NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
J. Silic
G
23
F. Maglica
D
14
R. Puncec
D
2
S. Lesjak
D
25
A. Borsic
D
8
T. Duvnjak
↓ 46' 🟨 42'
M
24
M. Marina
↓ 61'
M
7
M. Vuk
⚽ 6' ↓ 89'
M
22
L. Mamic
↓ 69'
M
38
I. Tavares
🎯 6' 🟨 75'
M
10
A. Latkovic
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
21
T. Novak
G
12
P. Bockaj
D
6
D. Puclin
↑ 46'
M
15
S. Ilinkovic
↑ 69'
M
28
I. Canjuga
↑ 61' 🟨 77'
F
18
Paizinho
F
20
G. Sikosek
D
9
S. Juric
F
16
N. Tepsic
↑ 61'
D
30
L. Posinkovic
↑ 89'
D
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
32
L. Savatovic
G
23
M. Vesovic
↓ 29'
D
20
D. Kolinger
🟨 81'
D
5
T. Jukic
D
16
L. Dajcer
🟨 79'
D
10
M. Subotic
M
25
P. Smiljanic
M
11
M. Susak
↓ 46'
M
29
J. Vasilj
M
30
D. Vukovic
🎯 50' ↓ 90+2'
M
9
I. Sabra
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Posavec
G
33
D. Kamenovic
D
21
D. Virgili
↑ 90+2'
F
28
L. Belcar
⚽ 50' ↑ 46'
M
15
A. Stojakovic
↑ 65'
F
2
T. Kralevski
D
18
M. Situm
D
14
M. Lorber
↑ 29'
M
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.07.26
UEF
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
3
2
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Beltinci
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
3
1
W
12.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Bihor Oradea
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Radomlje
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
FC Voluntari
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
2
L
23.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
15.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
03.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
3
L
26.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
1
2
L
22.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
20.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
2
L
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
07.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
Last matches: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
17.07.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Karpaty
0
0
D
13.07.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
FK Partizan
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Bravo
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vllaznia Shkodër
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
2
1
W
23.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
16.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
03.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
3
L
25.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
0
0
D
21.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
17.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
11.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
2
0
W
07.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vukovar
1
1
D
21.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
5
L
15.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
07.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
01.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
21.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
3
1
W
13.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
0
2
L
H2H: NK Varazdin vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
27.06.26
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
2
1
L
09.05.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
07.03.26
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
2
W
20.09.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
0
L
26.04.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
21.02.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
1
0
L
18.01.25
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
3
2
L
23.11.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
02.02.24
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
0
0
D
21.10.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
04.08.23
H2H
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
3
3
D
26.05.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
Last matches: NK Varazdin
23.07.26
UEF
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
3
2
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Beltinci
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
CSKA 1948
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
FC Voluntari
2
1
W
23.05.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
2
0
W
22.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
12.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
03.04.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica
1
1
D
13.03.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Vukovar
2
0
W
28.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Hajduk Split
1
1
D
22.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
0
4
L
08.02.26
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kustosija
1
1
D
14.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Kairat Almaty
0
0
D
10.01.26
Fri
NK Varazdin
Sesvete
7
2
W
19.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
Istra 1961
1
3
L
07.12.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
2
W
09.11.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1
0
W
25.10.25
HNL
NK Varazdin
NK Slaven Belupo
1
3
L
H2H at home: NK Varazdin
09.05.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
13.04.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
26.05.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
Last matches: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
23.05.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
0
D
25.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
0
0
D
17.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
2
0
W
07.04.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vukovar
1
1
D
15.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
1
2
L
01.03.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0
2
L
13.02.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
0
2
L
30.01.26
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
1
1
D
16.01.26
Fri
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
4
2
W
20.12.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
0
2
L
07.12.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Varazdin
2
4
L
23.11.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
1
1
D
03.11.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Gorica
1
4
L
17.10.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Vukovar
1
1
D
27.09.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
13.09.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
23.08.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
2
1
W
09.08.25
HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
2
2
D
H2H away: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
09.05.26
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4
2
L
26.04.25
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1
1
D
13.04.24
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
2
W
21.10.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D
26.05.23
H2H
NK Varazdin
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0
0
D

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation