CROATIA HNL
16.08.2026 16:30
Stadion Varteks
Referee: Ivan Vukančić, Croatia
NK Varazdin
Match Timeline
HNK Rijeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Gregor Sikošek
NK Varazdin
🔄
17'
R. Puncec ↔ N. Tepsic
NK Varazdin
20'
I. Mamut · Assist: I. Tavares
NK Varazdin
31'
I. Mamut
NK Varazdin
🔄
46'
T. Dantas ↔ I. Cubelic
HNK Rijeka
🔄
46'
A. Gojak ↔ J. Puljic
HNK Rijeka
🟨
51'
Aleksa Latković
NK Varazdin
🟨
65'
Moreno Živković
HNK Rijeka
🔄
67'
G. Rukavina ↔ A. Orec
HNK Rijeka
🔄
67'
M. Zivkovic ↔ Y. Kabadayi
HNK Rijeka
🔄
75'
I. Mamut ↔ L. Skaricic
NK Varazdin
🔄
75'
A. Latkovic ↔ M. Vuk
NK Varazdin
🔄
76'
D. Adu Adjei ↔ T. Fruk
HNK Rijeka
🔄
84'
M. Marina ↔ T. Duvnjak
NK Varazdin
🔄
84'
I. Tavares ↔ E. Uchegbu
NK Varazdin

NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
NK Varazdin Win 46%
Draw 13.3%
HNK Rijeka Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Varazdin1.54
HNK Rijeka1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
WWDLW
38 GF / 19 GA
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WLDWL
16 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.24
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
10
BTTS Yes
4
11
Over 2.5
4
2.75
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 17 matches
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 10 matches
NK Varazdin Statistic HNK Rijeka
12 Wins 8
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
38 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 5
2.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
10 BTTS Yes 4
14 Over 1.5 7
11 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 0
2.75 Shots On Goal 5.8
8.5 Total Shots 5.8
1.5 Corners 3.8
22.3% Ball Possession 37.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Varazdin won 7 times, HNK Rijeka won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from NK Varazdin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1 / HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Varazdin wins 7, draws 3, HNK Rijeka wins 5

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:5 11 16
W W W W W
2 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
D W L W L
3 8 4 3 1 13:7 6 15
D D D W L
4 6 4 1 1 14:7 7 13
L W D W W
5 6 3 2 1 10:7 3 11
D W D W L
6 8 2 3 3 14:13 1 9
L W D D L
7 7 2 1 4 9:13 -4 7
D L L L L
8 8 2 1 5 7:16 -9 7
D L W L W
9 8 1 2 5 5:12 -7 5
W D L D L
10 8 1 1 6 10:24 -14 4
D L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL